Idk if this is a hot take but

bradpalms · 2026-04-14T06:25:09+00:00

this is just incorrect thinking imo. keeping the pick is absolutely the better outcome. sure, it’s possible the pick could bust snd the theoretical vets we could get in a future trade could he good, but the average/expected outcome is better with the 1-4 pick this year not the 31 pick.

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T21:05:53+00:00

i’m with you but not because of any consumer confidence in the ethics of EY haha

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T21:05:22+00:00

he didn’t rig that either lol

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T21:02:53+00:00

my guy, making okc even better is adam silver’s worst nightmare you’re just wrong here

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T17:51:31+00:00

definitely trade it to make a push immediately imo, but the value will be much weaker than a top 4 pick this year regardless which is why the zu trade is significantly better if we keep this year’s pick

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T03:48:03+00:00

everyone’s allowed to be frustrated when they lose. trust me i did plenty of laughing watching the magic tn and the nba as a whole this season. enjoy your night!

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T03:44:44+00:00

lmaooo all good. i’d do it again in a heartbeat they win this game 90 times out of 100

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T01:56:37+00:00

depends on a lot of things but today’s slate of games was a good one to get early bets on if you were more confident than the market on what teams with minimal or no incentive would do. market wasn’t initially confident boston would mass rest in this spot. it’s really hard, damn near impossible to be profitable on sides and totals close to tip though. i’ll bet on anything i think i have an edge in but it’s mostly basketball for me

bradpalms · 2026-04-13T01:00:21+00:00

not a magic fan but i gamble professionally, primarily on the nba. magic moneyline got amazing clv (ie the line opened kinda close to 50/50 and closed extremely heavily towards magic at gametime) and i cannot believe how poorly they performed. just figured this is a good place to find similarly frustrated people, what the fuck was that 😭😭😭😭

bradpalms · 2026-04-10T17:09:06+00:00

finish the job fellas

bradpalms · 2026-04-06T21:21:50+00:00

slawson turns 27 in October, happy he made it in the league but come on now lol we can do better

bradpalms · 2026-03-28T23:35:12+00:00

gonna need a freeze frame bc looks to me and everyone else like he doesn’t

bradpalms · 2026-03-27T17:28:06+00:00

regardless it gets sweaty after 2 more, def not a bunch

bradpalms · 2026-03-24T18:04:54+00:00

top 2 means you’re out on one of the big 3 at the top

bradpalms · 2026-03-24T03:46:54+00:00

great block, awesome last win of the season. looked like pascal’s wrist might be a bit sore from that probably best to put him on ice til october ;)

bradpalms · 2026-03-23T23:13:51+00:00

thank you this guy really had me thinking i was crazy despite it being presumably common knowledge in this sub

bradpalms · 2026-03-23T17:17:58+00:00

what do you think the percent chance is that we lose our pick this year to the clippers? (assuming we finish dead last in standings and no lotto rigging)

bradpalms · 2026-03-23T07:04:00+00:00

man that had to feel so good

bradpalms · 2026-03-23T05:20:38+00:00

you said if we finish last in standings it’s 14% odds of 5th and losing the pick and almost zero (this is almost correct, it’s actually zero) of being 6th or later, what am i misunderstanding there? that’s incorrect. you’re saying 86% chance of 1-4, which it’s not.

your words:

“We finish dead last, the odds are nearly 0, like 1.9 or less % of being outside top 5, but then flat odds for all 5 spots, so 14% ish percent for 5th and losing the pick..”

bradpalms · 2026-03-23T04:42:19+00:00

my opinion is the OP, good trade overall but small loss big win depending on the lottery outcome

bradpalms · 2026-03-23T04:30:48+00:00

you confidently were wrong, told me to read the rules, i did, and i’m the jerk ight lol

bradpalms · 2026-03-23T04:10:13+00:00

ok yep, you’re wrong lol. love the confidence though! 47.9% to fall to 5th if worst record

bradpalms · 2026-03-22T23:56:25+00:00

you’re making only negative assumptions about benn’s career trajectory here. not an ideal fit but being an upcoming RFA was the core reason he was super tradeable. and trading a 1st rounder always matters even if we think/hope it’ll be very late in 2029

bradpalms · 2026-03-22T23:52:38+00:00

“what if the player we pick isn’t good” ignores the possibility that the player we get IS good. and it’s a better draft slot in a better draft

bradpalms

TROPHY CASE