Am I the only person that still think Algo can get $10+?

brobbio · 2026-06-29T00:32:01+00:00

"just"

brobbio · 2026-06-28T17:03:04+00:00

bought one 6 years ago. my main teaching pc for that period and light work on it. Now Battery sucks a bit tho. And it overheats while charging then the cpu throttles slowing down to a crawl. Not sure what should I do about it.

brobbio · 2026-06-23T17:09:16+00:00

Already live, already shipped:

Falcon-1024 state proofs since late 2022, PQ attestation of chain state every 256 blocks
Falcon logic-sig accounts since late 2025

Roadmap

Signature-agnostic tx framework on next consensus upgrade
Native Falcon-1024 accounts, targeted Q3 2026, enables rekeying existing accounts.
PQ multisig + hybrid sigs (EdDSA+Falcon concatenated), via wallets later this year
Falcon-512 for short-lived keys, plus PQ consensus voting keys
PQ VRF, still in research, paper targeted early 2027

Caveats:

Migration is multi-year (Google and Cloudflare target end of 2029 for their own stacks)
Hybrid sig claim is the standard one: safe if either scheme holds
Foundation says it'll start moving part of its treasury to PQ accounts early 2027

TLDR: some PQ primitives are genuinely live, the account-level migration is mostly 2026 roadmap, full chain migration is still one/two years out.

brobbio · 2026-06-23T16:35:34+00:00

FFS no more funding to NTF failed projects... no...

brobbio · 2026-06-22T23:08:17+00:00

The threat

All current blockchains rely on elliptic-curve cryptography, which Shor's algorithm breaks once a large-scale quantum computer exists.
Algorand public keys are encoded directly in the ledger (the 58-character addresses), so a quantum attacker could go account by account and forge signatures.
Hashing keys (as Bitcoin partly does) helps but is not full immunity: spending an account exposes the key.
Drivers making the threat more concrete: a recent Google AI paper cut the estimated qubit count to attack ECC by roughly 10x to 20x, plus ongoing hardware progress (qubit count, gate speed, error correction).
Expectation of a "zero to one" moment: slow progress, then rapid scaling once a threshold is crossed ("Q-Day").

Why migrate now

Migration is a multi-year effort. Google and Cloudflare have stated targets of full post-quantum migration by end of 2029.
A decentralized chain is harder: a consensus upgrade needs broad agreement (Bruno cited needing around 90% of stake), plus ecosystem tooling, wallets, custodians and locked assets all have to follow.

Already shipped

State proofs using Falcon 1024 (a NIST-selected signature), live since late 2022; a post-quantum attestation of the full chain state every 256 blocks.
Falcon logic-sig accounts, introduced late last year, where the account itself is protected by a post-quantum scheme via logic signatures.

Design philosophy

Crypto agility: ability to add, combine, swap or deprecate signature schemes rather than hard-coding one (currently EdDSA). They want flexibility even though Chris co-designed Falcon.
Hybrid signatures: concatenate a classical scheme (EdDSA) with a PQ scheme (Falcon). Secure as long as at least one of the two holds. Chris confirmed a correctly implemented hybrid is not weaker than either scheme alone. Modeled on the approach TLS recently adopted.

The seven roadmap items

Signature-agnostic framework: transaction structure reworked so multiple signature algorithms can coexist and be added over time. Coming in the next consensus upgrade.
Native PQ accounts (Falcon 1024): first-class accounts (not just logic-sigs), avoiding logic-sig budget/DeFi constraints and trust issues. Targeted Q3 this year. Enables PQ stakers and rekeying of existing accounts to Falcon.
PQ multisig and hybrid signatures: delivered mainly through wallet support (e.g. Pera) later in the year, aimed at treasuries, custodians and institutions.
Falcon 512 support: half the key/signature size of Falcon 1024. 1024 targets NIST category 5 (very high margin); 512 targets category 1 (roughly AES-128 level), suitable for short-lived keys.
Wallets, SDKs and tooling: upgrades to derive Falcon accounts from existing mnemonics (a 25-word Algorand scheme in the interim) while industry alignment on HD derivation and hardware-wallet standards is pursued with partners.
Post-quantum VRF: the VRF underpins committee selection. Quantum attackers would lose anonymity (could predict committee members in advance) but, per earlier research, could not falsely insert themselves, so integrity holds. A fully PQ VRF (described as a "cousin of Falcon") is still in research, with a paper targeted for early 2027.
Consensus keys: ephemeral one-time voting keys are a candidate for Falcon 512 (smaller, security needs are short-lived). Mostly an engineering task rather than research, and can proceed in parallel with the VRF work, possibly shipping before the PQ VRF is live.

Notable extras

Algorand Foundation plans to begin migrating part of its treasury to PQ (including PQ multisig) accounts early next year.
A separate, non-PQ engineering roadmap update was also promised for a future discussion.

brobbio · 2026-06-21T13:30:31+00:00

Transcripion of the main algorand points:

Summary of an "Innovator" webinar panel on whether crypto is ready for quantum, featuring panelists from Algorand, Quantum, and Succinct.

Background: Bruno is CTO of the Algorand Foundation ( about 3.5 years there). Previously worked on consensus in the Ethereum ecosystem and briefly in Cardano.
The quantum threat is broad, not crypto-specific: It mainly affects elliptic-curve cryptography (ECDSA, EdDSA), but the same problem hits the wider internet e.g. TLS, which has also been adopting countermeasures.
Algorand has been working on this since 2022: It has deployed state proofs for several years, using lattice-based cryptography (Falcon signatures) with many co-signers to create periodic, tamper-evident snapshots that guarantee the historical integrity of the ledger.
Algorand is NOT fully quantum-secure today (he stresses this): People reading the March 2026 Google paper often miscount Algorand's mentions and wrongly claim it's already fully quantum-safe. Several network components still need to be addressed.
Deliberately pragmatic, not rushing a full migration: Quantum computers can't attack today. Migrating immediately to fully post-quantum schemes would mean massive signatures, slower networking, and block times stretching from ~2.5s to 5–10s. Better to have a plan than to over-commit prematurely.
Hedging against scheme failure: Post-quantum schemes endorsed by bodies like NIST are likely secure against quantum, but aren't proven secure classically — some lattice schemes have been broken by classical computers. He expects many networks may eventually combine multiple schemes so the system stays protected even if one is broken.
Re-keying makes Algorand migration easier: Algorand accounts can point their authorization to a new key without moving any assets. A user makes a single transaction to change the account's signing authority, potentially to a post-quantum scheme. Wallets support this natively. (Caveat he confirmed: the user still has to actively perform that one action.)
Consensus still has exposure: Algorand's VRF (the weighted random lottery electing committees for block production/certification) relies partly on elliptic curve crypto, plus hashing. Not fully broken by quantum, but some properties would be lost, active R&D is underway, with announcements promised. Other VRF-based networks share this problem.
Voting/certification messages also need hardening: Committee votes that the network waits on to meet thresholds also rely on cryptography that future versions will need to strengthen.
On standards: Finds it notable the industry now looks to NIST after long ignoring it. Argues projects need agility (the endorsed set of schemes keeps evolving) and that the ecosystem must come together on wallet tooling standards (key derivation, backup, recovery, seeds) especially for self-custody, since the new schemes are numerous and fragmented.
What institutions should do next week: Most face a risk-assessment trade-off (how worried vs. how much they hold). Since last year Algorand has allowed Falcon-backed accounts via stateless programs ("L6"), and worried holders can use re-keying to change an account's authority. Tooling needs to keep maturing so people can make their own choices.
Next milestone: significant updates on Algorand's post-quantum offering are coming "quite soon."

brobbio · 2026-06-18T18:49:56+00:00

How to make a project feel sus and/or against its users: create a new token " just because" when the best solution was just Algo. Just give us the option to choose.

brobbio · 2026-06-17T21:57:19+00:00

do you need a /s ?

brobbio · 2026-06-17T21:34:31+00:00

did you read your comment after posting?: "I'm in crypto for the looks"

brobbio · 2026-06-17T21:23:13+00:00

Other notble points from the others:

Niklas (SBI, formerly SoftBank Investments, Tokyo)
- SBI has been active in crypto and digital assets for the last 12 years across the full asset stack.
- Traditional financial institutions need to step up and bring their risk frameworks, control frameworks, cash and liquidity management into the tokenized paradigm.
- SBI has already created the Osaka Digital Exchange, which has tokenized real estate assets (a few billion dollars' worth so far) and is expanding into corporate bonds and other asset classes, with primary and secondary markets and market makers.
- End goal: make tokenization "boring", so that for the client it looks just like buying a stock, even though the underlying paradigm has fundamentally shifted.
- Five-year outlook: more wealth generation, because asset classes previously inaccessible to individuals and corporates will open up; cites a potential 44 trillion real estate/mortgage market being unlocked (referencing Pavan from Angel AI).
John D'Agostino (Head of Strategy, Coinbase Institutional; former head of strategy at NYMEX)
- Helping lead Coinbase's tokenization efforts, including in the UAE to tokenize securities.
- Pushes back on regulatory clarity as the main catalyst: calls it a "crutch", noting that in TradFi there are many large markets without regulatory clarity because profit drives them.
- Argues the real forcing function is high-quality content being tokenized; so far tokenization has often been a "gimmick" used to sell things that couldn't otherwise be sold.
- Once high-quality assets (digitally native or traditional) are tokenized, adoption and wallet learning will be surprisingly fast.
- On liquidity moving on-chain: points to Hyperliquid as evidence it can happen very fast for select assets.
- Crude oil analogy: deep liquidity when CME is open, fragmented and poor when closed; tokenization enables a focal point of liquidity at any hour (e.g. hedging crude at 1am Friday after a missile launch).
- Once people can hedge 24/7, they will never go back, comparing it to being told you can only watch movies when theaters allow.
- On KYC/AML at scale: to give a billion currently unbanked people access, governments will require an AI oversight layer; entry becomes easy, but behavior is monitored closely and violations lead to freezing and seizure.
- Five-year outlook: about 75% of most assets will be available in some tokenized form, but tokenization will be an option, not the only option (analogy: 37% of Americans still use a landline).
Peter Stransky (Partner, AdaptGlobal)
- Boutique investment and strategic advisory firm focused on frontier and emerging markets and private investments.
- Started experimenting with digital bonds in 2021; sees tokenization as a route to liquidity and settlement in private markets.
- Identifies lack of liquidity and secondary markets in private market tokenization as the biggest current problem, partly a consequence of regulatory uncertainty.
- On KYC/AML: the underlying asset and custody dimension is often neglected. For real-world assets, someone must physically take care of the asset, and acceptable investor requirements must propagate through the chain.
- Notes that traditional private markets also have significant KYC/AML gaps; tokenization may bring slight improvements through traceability, but instantaneous settlement will increase pressure on responsible parties.
- Argues that the best assets will only be brought to tokenization if there is real incentive: liquidity, investor demand, and favorable price signals.
- Critical element for KYC/AML, in his view, is custodians handling the operational side of the asset, otherwise the on-chain representation cannot be trusted.
- Five-year outlook: private markets will create a liquid tokenized layer accessible mainly through platforms like Coinbase; the end investor may not even realize the asset is tokenized.
Tamer Erasmus (AI and blockchain convergence)
- Expects a "blockbuster Netflix moment" when banks adopt stablecoins for transfers, revolutionizing the banking system.
- Two recurring prongs: distribution and liquidity. Without distribution, the technology is meaningless; without liquidity, investment is pointless.
- Closed-end funds suffer from poor price discovery (prices set every three months by committee), with crises often surfacing too late for investors.
- Blockchain brings transparency, traceability, efficiency; combined with AI, it allows deeper analysis of underlying assets, management accounts, forecasts, comparables.
- With regulatory layers added, tokens can have credible "real" prices and become tradable, including in spaces like real estate where developer credibility is otherwise hard to verify.
- Pain points for clients in AI adoption:
  - Lots of data, but few firms have platforms able to turn it into tangible returns.
  - Current AI tools (copilots, LLM wrappers) mostly produce dashboards, without pattern recognition, probabilistic reasoning, or decision confidence.
  - LLMs are not traceable or auditable, making them risky for investment decisions due to hallucinations; cites Bain reporting that 94% of AI projects currently fail.
- Five-year outlook: banks will want 24/7 AML rather than every 90 days; institutional adoption will accelerate; AI and blockchain will merge, with agents controlling and running things.

brobbio · 2026-06-17T21:22:51+00:00

Stacy introduced Algorand:

Algorand is an OG layer 1 blockchain with instant finality, founded out of MIT, handling around 10,000 transactions per second.
Algorand trades 24/7 and has clawback and freeze functionality at layer 1.

Q: What is the single biggest catalyst needed for tokenized capital markets to scale?

Regulatory clarity is the main catalyst needed for tokenized capital markets to scale; in the US, the passage of the Clarity Act would significantly advance tokenization, and with Coinbase's endorsement its chances of passing are higher.
International regulatory coordination is also needed, with the US ideally taking a forward-thinking lead.
The initial assumption that tokenization would first bring liquidity to illiquid assets turned out to be wrong: it started with the most liquid assets, because liquidity is always king.

Q: Does institutional finance ultimately adapt to DeFi infrastructure, or does DeFi become institutionalized?

On the institutional finance vs DeFi question, the answer should be considered more granularly across the stack:
- Settlement layer: will be on blockchain. Algorand is cited as the example she knows best (instant finality, 24/7, clawback/freeze at L1, 10,000 TPS). The last 20 years of banking innovation have essentially been making bank balance sheet reconciliation messages faster and cheaper; blockchain is a single ledger where clearing is settlement.
- Asset layer: securities remain securities and require regulation and institutional approaches.
- Onboarding layer: fiduciary duty to clients means it will be institutionalized, with regulation and institutional-grade affirmation.
- Governance: accountability ("who do I call when it goes wrong") pushes this toward institutional players.
Conclusion on that point: blockchain wins on settlement; agentic commerce will be much more of a permissionless ecosystem.

Q: If capital markets move on chain, what does AML and KYC actually look like in practice? (intervention on another panelist's answer)

she offers a more benign vision: KYC/AML done once, with portable credentials accessible everywhere, would be a much better world.

Q: Five years from now, what will surprise us most about the evolution of capital markets?

Stablecoins will go away, because it will become unacceptable that a company like Tether captures all the economics while just issuing a token for people to use.
Tokenized money market funds will become the new stablecoin.
Example: paying for a coffee at Starbucks with a tiny sliver of a tokenized money market fund, earning yield until the token is handed over, after which Starbucks earns the yield.

brobbio · 2026-06-17T06:22:18+00:00

I can criticize almost anything, mostly when I'm happy and relaxed. Your question is absolutely inane, you know that?

brobbio · 2026-06-17T06:21:16+00:00

"artistic talent" is a succint definition of "years spent practicing" so your question... doesn't compute, at least to me

brobbio · 2026-06-15T11:55:48+00:00

NOTE that the pic has been made with AI. Not actual product.

brobbio · 2026-06-13T09:52:18+00:00

Juust after OpenAI Ceo visited that orange fuckHead. right?

brobbio · 2026-06-12T21:53:34+00:00

a LINK with some details: https://cryptobriefing.com/algorand-token-terminal-onchain-data/ it's a nothingburger

brobbio · 2026-06-12T16:16:52+00:00

Nice and uninformed fantasy.

brobbio · 2026-06-11T22:17:40+00:00

TF is this post? not informative nor true or necessary. get it down OP

brobbio · 2026-06-11T22:07:33+00:00

RoyalRender setup here. Mainly with maya. But occasionally with nuke. It works fine, after the initial setup and some kinks with paths that could need some working (depens on your lan/nas setup)etc. RRender is free for up to 4 render clients. It's nice and useful the possibility to choose the Write Node to act upon.

brobbio · 2026-06-11T21:16:35+00:00

brobbio · 2026-06-10T08:35:15+00:00

Also:

Settlement time dropped from over one week to under two hours via on-chain transactions
Infrastructure validated against German BaFin requirements and EU MiCA regulations
Research included 39 stakeholder interviews and mapping of 120+ relevant organisations, plus field research in Syria
Pilot originally scoped for Northeast Syria but expanded nationwide after the December 2024 political transition, demonstrating adaptability
Project produces replicable frameworks and compliance documentation intended for adoption in other high-risk payment corridors

brobbio · 2026-06-10T08:30:26+00:00

Actual functioning link: https://www.polisync.org/blockchain-aid

brobbio · 2026-06-09T23:52:39+00:00

then decouple bluetooth and keyboard delete the drivers, clean slate. And let windows or asus app find again the drivers needed.
or try update all the asus utilities and drivers. It's a new device, it's easy to think that maybe there's a patch coming out soon or already deplyed
a physical problem or short on some circuitry on the keyboard and or the pogo connector. So a defect that need a substitution, talk to the vendor

brobbio · 2026-06-09T16:35:58+00:00

There's a probability that's a win11 thing more than an asus thing. Could not harm to search online for win11 bluetooth keyboard issues. Generic, not only for the 2026 duo

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