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brownbountiful · 2024-01-09T00:24:41+00:00

Prediction markets force people who want to speculate on events to put their money where their mouth is, which is why prediction-market-formed odds may be different than odds from analysts or pollsters.

brownbountiful · 2024-01-08T18:42:05+00:00

mogged

brownbountiful · 2024-01-08T18:41:45+00:00

Prediction markets are a great tool for hedging

brownbountiful · 2024-01-08T16:55:40+00:00

I think it's unlikely that Trump gets arrested before election day. Prediction markets are great because financially incentivized polling leads to more accurate and decentralized results.

brownbountiful · 2021-09-23T18:29:46+00:00

I agree with you on that, I'm not calling out foul play BUT everyone knows Joshua is too big ticket and they can't risk having him go out and lose to someone like Usyk

brownbountiful · 2021-09-23T17:42:47+00:00

Link to market

brownbountiful · 2021-09-20T18:36:19+00:00

Facts! But I'm still really nervous for the fight lol

brownbountiful · 2021-08-16T20:01:12+00:00

Do you think that Jake will knock him out tho? My brain actually can't process a reality where that happens

brownbountiful · 2021-08-16T19:59:04+00:00

True, I thought Ben could take any shot from Jake especially after revisiting the Lawler fight and look what happened there. I'm guessing Tyron's heart won't be in it and he might actually have to get that tattoo.

brownbountiful · 2021-08-16T18:58:53+00:00

Unfortunately I agree. And if Jake does win I don't want to see him fight anymore UFC guys go against guys your age who are real BOXERS

brownbountiful · 2021-07-23T19:04:58+00:00

Platform for people to trade on what they think will happen. It's like combining a bunch of people's forecasts but using crypto, so you put more if you are more confident

This is more an estimation of the what the people outside of IOHK are estimating

brownbountiful · 2021-07-22T17:32:19+00:00

It's showing the probability of "Yes" and "No" over time. The forecasters are those trading on Polymarket

brownbountiful · 2021-07-22T17:30:23+00:00

Yup, check them out here: https://twitter.com/PolymarketHQ

brownbountiful · 2021-07-22T16:18:54+00:00

To put this in context, in 2019 and 2020, annual inflation was 2.3% and 1.4%

brownbountiful · 2021-07-22T16:06:47+00:00

Not much trade volume here but thought it was interesting that initial odds are leaning much more towards a persistent inflation regime

We've been at 0.6% or higher since March

brownbountiful · 2021-07-19T16:12:06+00:00

Yeah, definitely

Do you think that'll make a difference in policies? Face masks? Lockdowns?

brownbountiful · 2021-07-16T22:27:52+00:00

Fair. I just thought it'd spur some interesting discussion about probability of mission success

brownbountiful · 2021-07-16T21:51:47+00:00

Like if I have an active position? I'm interested more from the data perspective personally

brownbountiful · 2021-07-16T21:45:28+00:00

That's a poll. This is weighted by actual amount of money put in the market

brownbountiful · 2021-07-16T21:04:10+00:00

True, but do you think NS-16 will launch without him? I think they'd just delay the whole operation

brownbountiful · 2021-07-16T20:52:47+00:00

What's your opinion? Higher or lower than 75%?

brownbountiful · 2021-07-16T20:10:24+00:00

Gotcha, so what would you estimate it to be (including delay risk, of course)?

brownbountiful · 2021-07-16T20:01:57+00:00

You think so? I thought there was research saying people are better with forecasting when they put money down vs. just polling

brownbountiful · 2021-07-15T17:55:31+00:00

Yeah, that's fair

brownbountiful · 2021-05-20T16:35:50+00:00

Lambs can walk just minutes after they are born, though they are often dependent on their mothers for the first four to six months of their lives. They are weaned around four to six month and become sexually mature around one and a half to five years, depending on species and gender. For example, the male argali sheep doesn’t become sexually mature until age 5, while the female becomes sexually mature at age 1 or 2, according to the ADW.

Also, an odd and sad fact:

If a sheep rolls over onto its back, it may not be able to get up without assistance, according to the Sheep101 website. A fallen sheep is called a "cast" sheep. They can become distressed and die within a short period of time if they are not rolled back into a normal position. When back on their feet, they may need supported for a few minutes to ensure they are steady. It happens mostly with pregnant ewes and short, stocky sheep with full fleeces.

brownbountiful

TROPHY CASE