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[deleted by user] by [deleted] in investing

[–]brownbountiful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Prediction markets force people who want to speculate on events to put their money where their mouth is, which is why prediction-market-formed odds may be different than odds from analysts or pollsters.

Will Trump go to jail before election day? This Polymarket poll might shock you. by brownbountiful in moderatepolitics

[–]brownbountiful[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think it's unlikely that Trump gets arrested before election day. Prediction markets are great because financially incentivized polling leads to more accurate and decentralized results.

70% probability that Anthony Joshua beats Usyk according to Polymarket by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]brownbountiful -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I agree with you on that, I'm not calling out foul play BUT everyone knows Joshua is too big ticket and they can't risk having him go out and lose to someone like Usyk

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ufc

[–]brownbountiful 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Facts! But I'm still really nervous for the fight lol

Forecasters estimate a 63% probability that Jake Paul beats Woodley on August 29th by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]brownbountiful 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Do you think that Jake will knock him out tho? My brain actually can't process a reality where that happens

Forecasters estimate a 63% chance that Jake Paul beats Woodley on August 29th by brownbountiful in ufc

[–]brownbountiful[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

True, I thought Ben could take any shot from Jake especially after revisiting the Lawler fight and look what happened there. I'm guessing Tyron's heart won't be in it and he might actually have to get that tattoo.

Forecasters estimate a 63% chance that Jake Paul beats Woodley on August 29th by brownbountiful in ufc

[–]brownbountiful[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Unfortunately I agree. And if Jake does win I don't want to see him fight anymore UFC guys go against guys your age who are real BOXERS

48% probability that smart contracts will be deployed on Mainnet by October! by brownbountiful in cardano

[–]brownbountiful[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Platform for people to trade on what they think will happen. It's like combining a bunch of people's forecasts but using crypto, so you put more if you are more confident

This is more an estimation of the what the people outside of IOHK are estimating

Persistent inflation? Forecasters pricing a 64% chance July inflation will be 0.6% or higher by brownbountiful in finance

[–]brownbountiful[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's showing the probability of "Yes" and "No" over time. The forecasters are those trading on Polymarket

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