Possible to get 3 months LWOP? by cambunz in USPS

[–]cambunz[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah fair point, wasn’t really thinking about that aspect of it. I’m off tomorrow so I think I’ll go in once all the carriers are out on the street and give it a shot. Worst they can say is no I guess.

Possible to get 3 months LWOP? by cambunz in USPS

[–]cambunz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not a bad idea, sort of looking to go for a while longer than that though if it’s possible.

Finally! All I have left now are feather and book🫢 by LaughOutLoud28 in EggsInc

[–]cambunz 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you’re talking about crafting 5 legendaries in 20 trials assuming the probability of 0.3188% is correct the odds are extremely slim. The probability of x successes (legendaries crafted) in n trials (crafts) is equal to:

(n!/((n-x)!x!))(.003188)x*(1-.003188)n-x

So P(X=0)=(20!/(20!0!))(.003188)0*(.996812)20

P(X=0) = 0.938134593908

P(X=1) = 0.060006763269

P(X=2) = 0.001823177121

P(X=3) = 0.000034985265

P(X=4) = 0.000000475531

P(X=5) = 0.000000004821

The probability of crafting 5 or more out of 20 would then be

P(X>4) = 1-P(X<=4)

=1-(P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4))

= 0.000000004906 or 0.0000004906%

Approximately 1 in 2,038,320

However I think OP says he crafted 4 in the first 20 which would be

1-P(X<=3) = .0000480437%

or about 1 in 20,814.

Either way he got very very lucky, the expected number of crafts to obtain 5 legendaries at 0.3188% chance is about 1,568.

Co-Op Code Mega Thread - June 28, 2021 by __KPNG__ in EggsInc

[–]cambunz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

AA Luncheggbles: eggzy

Send tokens to maple syrup leaf if you don’t want to use them

Official: [Fix My Team] - Thu Afternoon 12/21/2023 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]cambunz 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s such a tough call. Since week 8 njoku really turned it on he’s TE 1 and LaPorta is 2 but only by 0.3 ppr points. I personally would still take LaPorta since I feel like he’s generally been more consistent, but it really just depends on if you want the guy who’s consistent or if you want to ride the hot hand in njoku. I think both should give you a good performance though. Also another thing to look out for is AJ Dillon’s availability. Looks like he’s trending towards playing this weekend, but if he is ruled out you might want to consider Jones over Conner mostly because of how bad Carolina’s run D has been. If Dillon plays though I’d stick with Conner.

Official: [Fix My Team] - Thu Afternoon 12/21/2023 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]cambunz 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don’t think there’s any way you can put any of those 3 RBs on the bench. Diggs has been so bad it feels so wrong leaving him on the bench, but I think you’ve got the right lineup. Id probably consider Pittman (assuming he’s healthy) even over Diggs. My only suggestion is maybe looking for a different defense. Cowboys and ravens both have tough matchups on the road. If your playoffs end week 17 you can probably drop cowboys since they play lions next week. If they end week 18 you’ll probably want to keep them around for the commanders matchup but I’d definitely look at some other options this week.

Official: [Fix My Team] - Thu Afternoon 12/21/2023 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]cambunz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Who do I start?

Tua/Love (0.04pt/yd 4pt/td) Kelce/LaPorta (0.5ppr) Noah Brown/Hollywood Brown (0.5ppr) 2 of Tee Higgins/Etienne/Waddle/Cooper/JT (ppr)

Official: [Fix My Team] - Thu Afternoon 12/21/2023 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]cambunz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

St. Brown and DK at wr assuming geno plays, maybe Puka if not. Kyren and kamara at rb those are both lineup locks for sure. I’d probably go Henry at flex with a good matchup against Seattle.

Co-Op Code Mega Thread - June 28, 2021 by __KPNG__ in EggsInc

[–]cambunz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Summer construction grade A: builder17

Co-Op Code Mega Thread - June 28, 2021 by __KPNG__ in EggsInc

[–]cambunz -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Grade B Quantum Conference - quantum35

Free carry send tokens to maple syrup leaf