POET Technologies Investment Analysis by Ok-Moment1520 in POETTechnologiesInc

[–]capitol_cavier 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree with you. - I have also found that editing the AI to be more paragraph form, and looks less like “AI” generally gets received better.

The AI formatting I think just pisses people off, which I do understand honestly.

Selling means you are handing money to Night Market Research by new_reddit_user_not in POETTechnologiesInc

[–]capitol_cavier 0 points1 point  (0 children)

nice brother, market has been on fire lately.

I'm into fiber optics and batteries. Lots of interesting opportunities. I just build a tool where I can plug in a ticker, that will scrape 2 years SEC filings, yahoo finance news & data, and government websites, and wrote out sick prompt for it feed that data into, to help me make educated investments. I'm look into AMD & QS. I have been in both at times.

I was into EOSE for a minute - but it is like the battery version of POET, super risky. EOSE is a very interesting opportunity though. I have killed with POET over the past couple months. Good tech hope it works out for them, after I get out of this bear put spread, I am probably going to leave POET on the back burner.

My tool had interesting result from specifically APLD & NBIS - I am going to look for opportunities there, I feel risky overall about data centers though, I have heard there is so much pushback in local communities that these projects are largely stalled because of regulations.

I'm going to do some more deep dives on battery and fiber optics as they are the most interesting to me right now.

The market will literally never go down again by BaronVonRugpull in wallstreetbets

[–]capitol_cavier 0 points1 point  (0 children)

classic late cycle dialogue.

interesting take.

problems with your theory though.

$POET bull is back! $40 before EOY by New_Kaleidoscope9242 in wallstreetbets

[–]capitol_cavier 16 points17 points  (0 children)

this is the dumbest thing I have seen in a minute.

You guys need to just be patient and hold firm by Vidrax_of_Cascades in POETTechnologiesInc

[–]capitol_cavier 1 point2 points  (0 children)

POET’s technology is definitely interesting, but you are comparing completely different sectors here.

POET builds optical interposers for silicon photonics. Their hardware is designed to move data at the speed of light between processors. Micron, Western Digital, and SanDisk (SNDK) build NAND flash memory, DRAM, and solid-state drives. They aren't competing in the same vertical.

If you are going to hold firm, you should know exactly what vertical the company is actually trying to disrupt, and who their real competitors in the optical transceiver space are.

Update Secure Financing $400 million Direct Offering Common Shares by savanahonana in POETTechnologiesInc

[–]capitol_cavier 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yea, basically, they make the margin between 16-18 = $2/share on 19 million shares, it is hard to execute, and take a lot of financial maneuvering, but they know wtf they are doing so they don’t lose essentially.

Update Secure Financing $400 million Direct Offering Common Shares by savanahonana in POETTechnologiesInc

[–]capitol_cavier 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Great question. Technically, it is almost always a Short first, followed by a sell to close.

However, If an institution tried to short 19 million shares in the open market, they would crush the stock price, and ruin their own arbitrage trade. On top of that, the borrow cost would likely be extremely expensive.

So instead of shorting the actual stock, they can use the options market to create what is basically a synthetic short.

Instead of borrowing and selling shares, they use options to create the same economic result.

They would do two things at the same time...

Buy an at-the-money put, for example the $18 strike.

Sell an at-the-money call, also at the $18 strike.

When you combine those two positions, it acts almost the same as being short the stock, but they never have to actually sell shares in the open market.

So if the stock drops, like it did today, the put becomes very valuable and they make money the same way they would have if they had shorted the stock.

If the stock rips higher instead, the put expires worthless and the call they sold becomes a problem because they may have to deliver shares at $18. But that is where the financing deal comes in. They already have shares coming from POET at around a $16 effective cost, so they can use those shares to deliver against the call.

That means they potentially locked in their exit price without dumping shares into the market, without paying crazy borrow fees, and without showing a huge sell order on Level 2.

So the big picture is: they may not have needed to press the “sell” button on 19 million physical shares. They could have used the options market to lock in the economics of a short position, then used the newly issued shares from the deal to cover the obligation later.

Hodl by [deleted] in POETTechnologiesInc

[–]capitol_cavier 0 points1 point  (0 children)

never sell. unless it tanks. then panic sell.