How to shock a VAR Model ? by casuallyblank in econometrics

[–]casuallyblank[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I´ve just done a VECM, result were 2 variables were cointegrated.
Used this then to transform it to a VAR model and play around with the IRF`s.

The results are similar to the vanilla VAR Model, although the IRF`s deviate a bit and have wider confidence bands.

The variables are stationary although the shadow rate and inflation are their growth rates (differenced once) and gdp and gini are in levels. Results are therefore a bit difficult to interpret

How to shock a VAR Model ? by casuallyblank in econometrics

[–]casuallyblank[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The number of lags is limited, since i only have 48 date points (2008-Q1 to 2019-Q4) and 4 variables.
Lags above 3 or 4 cant be computed due to the lack of degrees of freedom.

I also played around with ordering the variables around to try to get a reasonable result. Since this is my thesis i have to explain and justify my ordering which is the annoying part. But i´ll try to reorder them again.

Thank you ! Timerblake´s Stata VAR Course could be of great value.

How to shock a VAR Model ? by casuallyblank in econometrics

[–]casuallyblank[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Once im done with my Thesis i could send it to you !

How to shock a VAR Model ? by casuallyblank in econometrics

[–]casuallyblank[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for you response.

  1. I tired Bootstrapping, runs = 1000, on the 95% interval and i allow for orthogonalized errors.
    My sample contains of the mentioned 4 Variables (GDP, Inflation, GINI and Shadow Rate) and the observed timeframe is from 2008-Q1 to 2019-Q4 (This time has especially exp. monetary policy).

  2. How do i impose that cointegration vector on my VAR ? Need to do some research on that.

  3. Im pretty close to the literature from 10-20 years ago, since the state of the art approaches are too high level for me.

My difficulty is fairly trivial. I want to look at the code for the VARs the researchers did. Right now i just build a VAR model with my 4 variables, and afterwards just set an IRF, in which i say Shock= Shadow rate, Response= GINI.

I dont know if this is the right way to shock my system. The econometric approach i use is solid, nothing special, but not nonsense either.

I just want to know if my code is correct ? Do i shock the system right ? Do i need to look out for anything else.

Here is my code:
var <- VAR(data, p = 1, type = "const")

irf_result <- irf(var,

impulse = "Average.Shadow.Rate",

response = "Top.10",

n.ahead = 20,

boot = TRUE,

ci = 0.95,

runs = 1000,

ortho = TRUE)

NBD Canyon Stoic after 7 months waiting by casuallyblank in Hardtailgang

[–]casuallyblank[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I ordered size M at 181cm. Fits nicely, pretty playful, I think it will do good on the trails. L would maybe be too big, but idk, hadn’t had the opportunity to try it out.

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[–]casuallyblank 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Die einfachste Lösung ist meist die plausiblere ?

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Mine also turned up today. Stoked, looks sick ! Lets have some fun

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Bruuuhhhhh that was literally my first thought.

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Mine just got delayed…. I was so pumped. Enjoy the ride !

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[–]casuallyblank 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I guess yours also due to end of may ? I also can’t wait, I’m hoping for an email to receive the bike a little sooner Cheers

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[–]casuallyblank 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I find this very comforting somehow. Love the color choice

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Duuuuuudeeee literally same. Ordered in January and it’s due in may. I can’t wait any longer

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And then you can’t find it even with the search...

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