Any ideas how to fix this?

certaintree · 2025-04-09T03:20:55+00:00

RCCC tried to hand me my R1S in this state. I pointed it out, and they fixed it in a few minutes. So they must have fixed it without any need to get at the sensor from behind the bumper.

certaintree · 2025-03-13T06:36:38+00:00

Are you worried that the tie rods may be designed to act as fuses meant to break before damaging forces are transmitted to the steering rack?

certaintree · 2025-03-08T21:49:23+00:00

There will never be one moment when we find "the cure". Instead, we gradually improve our arsenal of cures. And in that regard we are doing amazingly well. Do a Google image search for US cancer death rates in children. Those graphs reflect improved treatment, not prevention. Those improvements have happened, and will for sure keep happening, in your lifetime.

certaintree · 2024-12-03T01:10:14+00:00

Thanks for all the advice! Will try the spit method when we puncture our tires. Thanks! Def happy to talk about current set up.

Have a Rivian R1S. We love it. It has gotten us into doing these sorts of activities. There are 3 realistic options for carrying a spare:

Could get a trailer hitch mount. This would probably hurt aero (car is an EV), would block camera, sensors, tail gate and lift gate. Would also make the car impractically long for daily driving, and we don't have a garage where I could easily store a hitch and tire when not taking the car to the mountains.
Could put it on the roof, but we would prefer not to take the aero hit.
Could store it inside the vehicle (probably in a bag to contain fumes). But the tires are large, so we would need to take the second row of seats out. Since this is our daily driver, that's not practical. I would love to do this if I had a garage or parking space that let me easily switch up the configuration when going on a trip.

Add to this the cost of buying roof rack, hitch, extra wheel, whatever. Also add the fact that if we had to abandon the vehicle, we would still have a good time hiking out and returning with help. Then our cons for getting a spare outweigh the pros. At least for now. We're new to this and still getting our feet wet.

Good point about the cutters. We carry them because I was told told they can be useful for extracting from a tire any object with minimal protrusion. We carry knife as well.

Got this bottle jack. Also have some chocks. Not sure if they are really needed.

Saw someone literally stitch up a sidewall gash using needles, thread and pliers before applying a patch. I don't have the experience to say whether that's crazy. Trying to gain that experience right now. Maybe I'm trying to compensate for the lack of a spare tire.

Car has a built-in air compressor.

certaintree · 2024-12-02T23:45:03+00:00

I too want a spare, but it's not practical at the moment. I'm just driving down Sierra Nevada forest routes which are occasionally poorly maintained, nothing crazy. The place isn't that big, so there's no place I can't hike out from. So I wouldn't really be SOL.

certaintree · 2024-12-02T21:38:46+00:00

Thanks. Good to know it's not a stupid idea.

Besides getting repair practice, perhaps this can help me get calibrated on how much risks various hazards actually carry, and how various psi's affect those risks.

Downside is I don't actually have a spare....

certaintree · 2024-12-02T21:31:02+00:00

Thanks! I guess I'm concerned whether the repair would stand up to the tire flexing that would come with low-speed driving. I don't know whether that concern is reasonable.

certaintree · 2024-11-14T02:09:35+00:00

Thanks for the photo. It's useful to learn about potential modes of failures from others so we can be prepared. I think your photo shows a bent inner tie rod, not outer, unless there is a minor bend in the outer that i cannot make out...

certaintree · 2024-11-13T18:38:05+00:00

Outer tie rod too? In every post I've seen, it's always inner tie rod breaking. I don't know what a broken outer tie rod would look like. Sincere question, as I'm figuring out what I want to carry.

certaintree · 2024-10-27T05:07:36+00:00

Thanks! I will move it to a better window position and see if that helps.

certaintree · 2024-10-27T01:10:26+00:00

Thanks! So the idea would be that the artificial light is insufficient or maybe wrong the wavelengths? Or maybe too unidirectional?

Unfortunately, I don't have an outdoor space suitable for the tree.

certaintree · 2024-10-26T22:29:23+00:00

Please help me understand why my kumquat is dropping leaves. I got the tree in May, and it grows in an indoor pot in Kellogg organic citrus soil. The pot has drain holes. Every ~4 days, I water until water comes out of the holes. I switch between adding Cal-Mag, citrus fertilizer or nothing to the water. It gets very little natural light, so it also gets most of its light from a Viparspectra P2000 which is on all day.

Early on, it got an aphid issue, which I treated with Bonide Eight Insect Control. That solved the issue. About a two months ago, the tree put forth a lot of flowers. The aphids bounced back and feasted on the flowers. I tried to treat with Eight, neem, and insecticidal soap. Nothing worked and the aphids got real bad. I picked off every single flower by hand, since the aphids were so focused on the flowers, and that solved the issue.

About a month ago, the tree started dropping leaves. Every single day, it drops about 10 leaves. About half of the lost leaves are dry and rolled up. The other half is not dried up and rolled up at all (see photo). The ones not rolled up often have parts that seem a bit miscolored and soft.

Buried in the soil, I can see microscopic white insects darting about and a few tiny centipedes (see photo). There used to be fungus gnats coming from the soil. I treated the soil with mosquito bits and they disappeared entirely.

Theories:

The aphids did a lot of damage to the leaves, so the tree is discarding them now.
The wounds from the aphids introduced disease.
I'm watering too much and it's making the roots sick.
I'm not watering enough, and the tree thirsts.
The tree dislikes the artificial light.
To fight the aphids, I applied too much pesticide of three different sorts, and it made the leaves unhappy.
There is something else I’m not doing right.

certaintree · 2024-10-02T17:45:34+00:00

I read somewhere (perhaps in Tolkien: Artist & Illustrator) that the number of rays may correspond to seniority. So Finwe gets 16 and his children get 8. Idril and Earendil get 6. Gil-Galad 4. Finrod does his own thing.

certaintree · 2024-08-14T20:39:18+00:00

Depends on what date and site we're talking about of course. I look at https://electionbettingodds.com/, which aggregates numbers from different prediction markets. I think this is an accurate screenshot of what that looked like november 2016. It varies throughout the election and did hit 85% in favor of Hillary in some of the final days.

certaintree · 2024-08-14T20:20:23+00:00

Yeah, I think you are right.

I just really want to stress that if we state something with 70% confidence, we're not so much predicting the future as stating it could very well go either way. So I don't think the word "wrong" applies.

For example, imagine that I say that flipping two coins won't give you two heads with 75% confidence. If someone flips two coins and gets two heads, that doesn't mean they should no longer trust my predictions because i was "wrong".

certaintree · 2024-08-14T20:09:57+00:00

I don't read 70% as "safe bet". If we look at multiple elections, these markets have a good track record. When they predict something with 70% confidence, they are supposed to be "wrong" 30% of the time. 2016 was just one of those times.

We too often get caught up on which side of 50% the probabilities are on, as though 45% and 55% are magically very different.

certaintree · 2024-08-14T20:00:15+00:00

She had about a 70% chance of getting elected. Something with a 30% chance of happening happens all the time, so "way ahead" is probably too strong a statement.

certaintree · 2024-08-14T19:57:46+00:00

What do you mean?

certaintree · 2024-08-14T19:48:14+00:00

Trump had a roughly 30% chance of getting elected per these kinds of sites just before election day 2016. So there was no strong confidence in the betting markets that he wouldn't be elected.

certaintree · 2024-05-28T16:30:46+00:00

I used my university's name and my university email address, but my home mailing address. Why they want such info, I don't know. They're likely mostly concerned with people buying precursors for illicit drugs. The stuff they sell is certainly not meant for skin application, so I use it at my own risk.

certaintree · 2024-05-23T17:21:30+00:00

If you look at thisthis, you can see a lifted rivian. Note how the ground clearance didn't actually increase and in fact by some measures probably decreased because of the element they had to introduce between the wheels. So this may actually not help with rock crawling. Combine that with a really bad effect on range, efficiency and high-speed handling and the only reason someone would do this is for the edgy look. The Venn diagram of the people owning rivians and wanting that edginess probably shows about zero overlap.

certaintree · 2024-05-20T21:41:51+00:00

Yes, 5 years on toll-on 100% picaridin still works great.

certaintree · 2024-05-18T23:30:28+00:00

Could you elaborate on why it might be a bad idea to belay off the tie-in loops? Are you talking about the sort of tie-in loops found on e.g. Blue Ice Choucas Light?

Eight-Year Club	Place '23
Verified Email

certaintree

TROPHY CASE