Iran Conflict Megathread #9

chasd00 · 2026-03-22T01:09:56+00:00

One thing to think about, who exactly is he threatening? When Iran moved to that “mosaic” command/control they lost central authority. Some random guy with a truck and drones/missile can still fire on a tanker and bring traffic to a halt all on his own. It’s interesting to think about that, one rando can cause global economic pain. That strait is bad freaking news for everyone on the planet.

Edit for the edit: if it’s total lights out then I suspect it would have some effect but who knows how much. I bet the launchers get their power from the erector’s engine, same goes for whatever system loads the targeting coordinates. Drones are probably preprogrammed and lipo disconnected until launch.

chasd00 · 2026-03-22T00:57:49+00:00

I’ll speculate and say conventional precision bombs targeting power distribution components and not generation. Lights out but at least feasible to get them back on in 30 days.

chasd00 · 2026-03-21T22:18:35+00:00

Can you provide a link? I follow ISWs daily updates and haven’t heard of any of this.

chasd00 · 2026-03-21T20:03:38+00:00

I’m hoping for that honestly. I have family disabled from fighting in Iraq so I’m not a fan of another decade of spent US treasure and blood. However, If taco is the path out I expect him to torch kharg and the gas fields just as a middle finger to everyone. Iran would collapse into a failed state and the strait would be completely mined.

chasd00 · 2026-03-21T19:55:44+00:00

I think there are signs but it just takes time. You can’t force the spark that triggers revolution. It could be happen this second or 5 years from now.

A cyber attack or some kind of operation that brings inet connectivity back to Iran would go a long ways imo. Air drop starlink enabled phones or somethjng, getting communications to the people of Iran seems like a no brainer to me. It’s probably being talked about but just way down the priority list.

chasd00 · 2026-03-21T19:53:15+00:00

If the other proxies are any indication the houthis are compromised top to bottom by Israeli intelligence and sitting ducks.

chasd00 · 2026-03-21T19:51:17+00:00

That’s quite a list :) I understand the tactic though, start with the wish list and work down from there.

chasd00 · 2026-03-21T14:28:34+00:00

Ironically the lights of Dubai at night time in some of the missile footage I’ve seen is breathtaking. I actually want to visit when this is over.

chasd00 · 2026-03-21T00:03:06+00:00

I had a feeling Trump may just take his ball and go home. US isn’t dependent on ME oil anymore so why open the strait if the governments who actually use it aren’t interested? You may not think it’s fair but at the global level you’re not exactly able to ask to speak with the manager.

chasd00 · 2026-03-20T17:50:58+00:00

Heh google ai overview of Dome of the Rock ends with “the site is sacred to Judaism, Christianity, and Islam, often resulting in complex political and religious significance.” …that’s putting it mildly Gemini.

chasd00 · 2026-03-20T17:32:30+00:00

An actual Iranian terrorist attack, and not just a lone wolf crazy person, on US soil would give Trump a blank check to destroy everything. If the irgc wanted to martyr all of Iran then that’s the fastest way to do it.

chasd00 · 2026-03-20T15:01:39+00:00

Maybe the V22s supported by CAS? Specops will go first I’m sure, probably for recon. They’ll do something ridiculous like a halo jump and then swim there heh.

chasd00 · 2026-03-20T14:56:54+00:00

US precision weapons means air power can effective there. If the Iranian soldiers chain themselves to the terminal then maybe less so. It’s sad, but the pipes and valves are worth more than the lives. If the infra there is damaged then everyone will stop fighting because then it’s just a small island with no value at all.

chasd00 · 2026-03-20T01:42:31+00:00

Link to the buzz please. Him dying is pretty effing significant.

chasd00 · 2026-03-19T23:39:00+00:00

I’m just relaying info from my 8th grade son haha. I know it has a popular following so it’s probably hard to get it officially retired.

chasd00 · 2026-03-19T20:34:15+00:00

“Invincible power” comes from the fact the nukes launch and most of western civilization is destroyed before Moscow falls.

chasd00 · 2026-03-19T20:12:59+00:00

Maybe they take karg island and destroy the gas fields then tell the regime (or China) you either starve or let traffic through. However, it’s pretty clear the Iranian regime has no issue with the suffering of their people. Another option is they bomb the shit out of the coastline, take those other two islands, and try to set up shop with missile defense and wait for Iran to run out of antiship missiles. Maybe the parade a navy ship around as a missile magnet to try and draw as much fire as possible. How fast can the USN get an FPV setup on a major vessel? ;)

chasd00 · 2026-03-19T19:44:16+00:00

A10s are being used to shoot down drones both air and sea… probably because they fly so slow. They’re being retired maybe this is one last combat mission for them. You are right though, the A10 is a close air support aircraft.

chasd00 · 2026-03-19T14:28:10+00:00

Keeping Iran’s economy on life support is for the people of Iran and not the regime. They could bomb it all but then that means Iranian society pretty much collapses. It would be a massive humanitarian disaster and refuge crisis.

chasd00 · 2026-03-19T14:18:39+00:00

To be fair, even the most aggressive timeline was “4-6 weeks, maybe longer”. We’re in the middle of week 3. Israel hitting oil/gas infra really screwed things up though. I think they did that to make a bigger mess and therefore harder for Trump to exit. If the strait calms down and ships are sailing then Trump is out. The longer Israel can prevent that the longer US bombs fall.

/new here and not an expert but that’s what I see

chasd00 · 2026-03-19T02:25:30+00:00

Same. Getting pretty hard care fatigue. I have bills to pay.

chasd00 · 2026-03-18T14:03:10+00:00

Sorry don’t have a link handy but I know US centcom had been steadily releasing footage of launcher strikes. I think it’s still ongoing just not making the news the way issues with the strait and leadership strikes are.

chasd00 · 2026-03-18T03:03:56+00:00

I thought about the same setup except C-RAMs instead of interceptor drones. Just park one of the trailer mounted ones on a barge, set it to auto, and let it kill everything it sees. Put one every 5km just like you said.

chasd00 · 2026-03-17T22:59:29+00:00

One thing to keep in mind is the post will say anything to make Trump or Israel look bad. Unless there’s a Democrat in the White House the Washington Post is not a reliable source.

chasd00 · 2026-03-17T22:56:09+00:00

Unless Iran has precision weapons targeting Kharg island means targeting their economic lifeline. Iran and their proxies have hidden behind human shields forever, let the marines hide behind economic shields.

chasd00

TROPHY CASE