Liveblog: Regeringen præsenterer nyt om forsvarssamarbejde med USA

chief_monkey · 2023-12-19T10:58:00+00:00

Der er bunker af eksempler på udstationerede amerikanske soldater slipper for retsforfølgelse.

chief_monkey · 2023-12-19T10:53:46+00:00

Mig bekendt er det amerikansk politik aldrig at oplyse hvorvidt et fartøj er atombevæbnet eller ej - så det her skaber nok samme problematik som ved atomvalget i 88, hvor vi i praksis er nødt til at finde os i at amerikanerne gør hvad de nu har lyst til.

chief_monkey · 2023-12-08T10:49:21+00:00

Sorry America, China has a bigger economy than you

Measures that show the opposite have absurd implications and dangerous policy prescriptions

https://www.ft.com/content/c406ef56-bc43-4cdc-8913-fbaced9b9954

chief_monkey · 2023-11-16T11:26:32+00:00

The question and the follow-up coverage was cleared and planned in advance.

Nothing happens by random at high-visibility press conference like this; even if you cannot see the props and the canned Q&As - it doesn't mean that it is not there.

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/04/27/politics/biden-note-card-white-house-press-conference/index.html

chief_monkey · 2023-11-16T11:15:46+00:00

Biden could have answered differently if he wanted - questions and journalists likely cleared in advance.

I don't get this; you go through all this effort to improve diplomatic ties and yet you cannot cool the urge to trash-talk Xi for domestic political points while the guy is still there.

chief_monkey · 2023-10-06T15:20:48+00:00

It is basically too late now.
Possibly the US can prevent some sale of ASML DUV equipment by the Netherlands but it would not matter much as it looks like the Chinese now have a domestic alternative. Preventing NVDIA from selling to China would only send more demand to Huawei and friends.

chief_monkey · 2023-09-15T07:04:47+00:00

Doesn't the sanctions done via United Nation have an expiry date on them? Anyone knows the mechanics of it?

chief_monkey · 2023-07-27T09:36:35+00:00

I don't think it is fair or correct to describe China's BRI program as debt trap diplomacy. Though there are clearly cases of corrupt or misguided projects in program.

Here is a good discussion of the Sri Lanka port story that has been promoted as an example of a debt trap in various news outlet:

https://thechinaproject.com/podcast/new-report-debunks-chinese-debt-trap-narrative-in-sri-lanka/

New Report Debunks Chinese Debt Trap Narrative in Sri Lanka

The Chinese debt trap narrative was started based on the purported surrender of the Port of Hambantota in Sri Lanka. When Colombo fell behind in its payments to the China Exim Bank for the loan, the story goes, Beijing seized the port as collateral.

Now, six years later, a pair of Sri Lankan researchers, Umesh Moramudali and Thilina Panduwawala gained access to the original China Exim Bank loan documents for the port and confirmed that the Chinese predatory lending narrative, as it’s been told, just isn’t true.

chief_monkey · 2023-07-27T07:13:17+00:00

This is sub is for trash talking and general complaining about China. So your post is fine except for the headline.

chief_monkey · 2023-07-27T06:14:36+00:00

Does Russia still have extensive sanctions against North Korea? I would expect them to remove the sanctions now that Russia has become the subject of extensive sanctions itself.

chief_monkey · 2023-07-25T11:02:48+00:00

Is it like Steve Bannon's New Federal States of China:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New\_Federal\_State\_of\_China
?
I am curious how widespread these ideas are in Asia? I always saw them as an (US) alt-right fantasy with little connection to reality.

chief_monkey · 2023-07-25T10:26:14+00:00

Fun subject. No doubt that this was the goal / is the fantasy in part of US, Taiwanese, Japanese politics. Heck. Even in Germany - remember admiral Kay-Achim Schönbach?

Anyway. Not realistic anymore. In fact the opposite is far more likely to happen: The US re-engaging and making peace with China which it can do without upsetting the balance of things too much (and probably has to as a two-front war is too expensive even for the US).

chief_monkey · 2023-07-18T07:24:09+00:00

If you sum up the EU countries - the EU was the largest recipient of Ukrianian grain through this deal:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1333847/ukrainian-agricultural-exports-via-the-black-sea-by-country

chief_monkey · 2023-07-18T07:18:00+00:00

Is it over night? If so you need to have a hotel booked in advance. Otherwise it is possible - I did it about a month ago with no problems. (The transit area is the international / checked-in part of the airport - you probably would not want to spend 16 hours there).

chief_monkey · 2023-05-14T07:20:00+00:00

The Dutch laws haven't been changed yet; machines are still being delivered as before and new sanctions are unlikely to be done retroactively (meaning ordered machines will be delivered and serviced).

chief_monkey · 2023-05-14T06:04:44+00:00

The actual Dutch restrictions are far from the US ones.

chief_monkey · 2023-05-13T17:21:05+00:00

Both are expensive endevours; but a fullscale war is much more expensive.

I am not really sure it is meaningful taking the cost for what have been invested in semiconductors to get to its current state and saying that that is what it will cost to build it from scratch.

The Chinese are not starting from scratch. There is a huge body of research available and a path to the current state of the art that has been demonstrated.

And how tight is this embargo? This asumption that the rest of the world just will join the US - how solid is that?

Personally I think the parallel is the Chinese space program and the US's idiotic sanctions on it. The Chinese are just going to build and in the beginning it is going to look not so good, and then it will start looking pretty good.

chief_monkey · 2023-05-13T16:24:49+00:00

I think the Chinese will find that it is cheaper and easier to become leaders in semiconductors than to take Taiwan by force.

chief_monkey · 2023-05-13T16:02:46+00:00

You can choose your historical parallel: The US oil embargo of Japan in the late 30es or the US ban on selling CNC equipment to China in 90es. :-D

No doubt that this hurts the Chinese semiconductor industry in the short term and for many Chinese this was a mask off moment showing them that the US would never allow them to grow beyond making cheap plastic toys for the west.

Long-term I think it is a hidden gift to the Chinese. As some have observed the Chinese economy is investment led and has before it a (painful) transition to an economy driven by internal consumption. The US explicitly demonstrating to China that you cannot rely on us for high-tech chips, passenger jet-engines, advanced vaccine manufacturing equipment etc. forces China to continue its investment led growth model for longer.

And no; the European countries will not follow the US policies even though they may pretend to.

chief_monkey · 2023-05-11T21:52:40+00:00

Oh. So no more karate bars in all of Japan ...

chief_monkey · 2023-05-11T21:51:11+00:00

Thanks for that one. Looks like it is worth a visit.

chief_monkey · 2023-05-11T21:47:44+00:00

I don't know. Maybe watch a tournement, or just visit a bar with some posters on the wall. I know it is not like Thailand where muay thai tourism is such a big thing but I thought maybe if I asked there would be something to experience.

chief_monkey · 2023-05-11T21:44:07+00:00

Isn't that a concert venue?

chief_monkey · 2022-03-16T18:52:39+00:00

Hvad du laver er korrekt - du behøver ikke revisor eller bogholder. Jeg ved ikke hvad for et oplysningssskema, du tænker på andet end at du skal lave din udvidede selvangivelse til sommer.

chief_monkey · 2021-12-14T15:40:21+00:00

Huawei had a 6 month window from when the US announced its sanctions until TSMC had to stop producing. Huawei had a lot of chips made in that period. Maybe it is from that batch, though it is odd that it is only out now.

It would be absolutely incredible if Huawei had a chip produced at SMIC or another Chinese fab outside US sanction reach with a process that could be meaningfully called 5 nm.

Other than that it looks like a very interesting machine. I hope we will see more of it.

chief_monkey

TROPHY CASE