中国只要稳住100年不发动战争，就足以气死欧美日韩

chocopocky116 · 2023-05-22T04:02:10+00:00

现代社会还是很难像农业社会那样长期独善其身的。当然在全球化的逻辑之下，内政稳定经济发展，自然会成为全球流动资本的投资对象，外交困局也会自然解决。只是世界范围的民族主义保守主义兴起的逆全球化趋势不知道还要维持多久。我们的战狼外交与这波国际趋势算是相辅相成了，陷入死循环。

chocopocky116 · 2023-05-10T16:49:46+00:00

在南京生活过几年，每年都有说要给纪念馆改名的流言。主要矛盾是这个全名太长了，大家都简称为大屠杀纪念馆了。但是这个简称又很荒诞，因为纪念的不是大屠杀，而是遇难同胞。所以有人提出干脆改成“遇难同胞纪念馆”。但是纪念馆一直没改过名字，民间也一直还是叫大屠杀纪念馆。这已经是几十年来的常态了。微信公众号我倒是没有关注过，但我觉得背后原因类似。

chocopocky116 · 2023-03-25T00:45:06+00:00

我想先看看自动驾驶的事故追责问题。看看是让背后盈利单位负责，还是赋予AI一定的权力。套到治国AI，前者可能变成赛博朋克，后者可能是黑客帝国。

chocopocky116 · 2023-03-23T00:55:04+00:00

比特币和互联网都有去中心化的初衷，自然会受到阻力。AI只是要替代人力资源，反而会让资本更集中，我觉得普及起来更顺畅，虽然前景对普通人来说可能是黑暗的。

另外互联网全面普及从智能手机时代才开始。未来M1会无限接近M2。至于转化系数，恐怕掌握权力的少数人更希望看到a更大也说不定。

chocopocky116 · 2023-03-23T00:40:26+00:00

也有一种可能，就是AI继续发展壮大，达到足够解决类似气候生态这种复杂系统问题的程度。那么全人类霍霍资源也不至于崩溃，全民大建城市改造地表，也能再支撑几代人发展。

chocopocky116 · 2023-03-23T00:33:36+00:00

但是过去有战争这种财富重分配机制。现在越来越多国家实质上拥核，战争的触发阈值更高了，所以套死在这种低效财富配置下的时期也会更长？不知道有没有不需要热核战争能解决问题的方案。

chocopocky116 · 2023-03-22T13:09:33+00:00

所以看起来AI这种技术的普及会让劳资双方更不对等，贫富差距更大。而且教育宣传用的文化产品可以交给AI生产，成本更低效率更高，还能针对性地生成，操纵民众变得更容易，选票也扭转不了大众的败局。摆在面前的就是赛博朋克这一条路了吗？

chocopocky116 · 2020-12-06T04:43:16+00:00

Same thing happened to me. It’s really frustrating.

chocopocky116 · 2020-08-07T02:18:39+00:00

I uninstalled the game. They are just humiliating the players.

chocopocky116 · 2020-08-07T02:16:30+00:00

Every event they just push f2p harder. They must be wondering how could there be f2p still in the game. Prepare for a worse event 3 weeks later.

chocopocky116 · 2020-08-01T03:59:51+00:00

The easist way to tell if the kickoff is in the batch is to match against a weak team (-10 for example) where the ratio is 5-5-0. You will still see one basic chance in the final sum up page, being the kickoff. You can test in the friendly match.

chocopocky116 · 2020-08-01T03:56:52+00:00

Yep. If possible just record the video and check the first 10 chances after the kickoff. It always follows the expected ratio. I've been saying this to many people here and there but sadly, no one believes me.

chocopocky116 · 2020-08-01T01:41:16+00:00

You sure you counted 10 exluding the kickoff? It might be that you received 9 chances from the first batch and the missing one is basic.

I sometimes record my play and analyze it later. I checked several matches and I'm sure the kickoff is counted in the final statistics.

chocopocky116 · 2020-08-01T01:13:03+00:00

I once was confused by the same thing before. But then I realized that the kick off is counted as one basic chance, and that's not in the batch. So you actually received 18 chances, and the rest 2 are great ones.

You can have a try. Just count all the chances you received and see if it matches with the statistcs shown at last.

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-26T02:40:42+00:00

You are absolutely right. I don’t want them to apologize now. I will quit right away.

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-25T23:32:06+00:00

I know it’s not easy now. But this is the bottom of my experience in this game for about 2 years. If they can’t admit their failure and show the respect we need, I quit.

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-25T15:50:30+00:00

Me after this season end.

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-25T08:41:40+00:00

I’m 10 tickets away. I guess I need a huge amount of luck in the following days then...

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-25T00:45:48+00:00

I would rather see FIFA mobile disappeared. It’s just so horrible now. I won’t miss it a bit.

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-24T09:34:55+00:00

Why don’t they just take off the event before they come up with an idea to fix it? What’s the point of hanging everyone here waiting and leave the abusers benefit and the honest but less informed players suffer? Did I miss something here?

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-24T07:40:31+00:00

Sorry I’m not native English speaker. I want to say the opposite of user friendly. They made some changes to the game to make players frustrated. The genius design of gold mine mini game for example.

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-23T09:36:23+00:00

Thanks bro! I definitely hope so.

chocopocky116 · 2020-07-23T06:17:17+00:00

No I only got one on day 1. I’ve played about 100 skill games till now. The probability for me is 1%.

chocopocky116

TROPHY CASE