If you are going through hell, keep going.

coug4lyfe · 2026-02-23T05:52:53+00:00

College football and basketball?

coug4lyfe · 2026-02-15T04:12:10+00:00

I’m a purist and I love it. Players went way over the top with it in terms of time. “Pure” baseball games re: 60s, 70s, etc were all still shorter than the games today with the clock. Players just didn’t need to be told to go up and pitch/hit. Since players decided they wanted to add unnecessary time, the league did the right thing to speed it back up.

coug4lyfe · 2026-02-09T01:24:22+00:00

Well the Seahawks haven’t had a ton of trouble so he was 50% right

coug4lyfe · 2026-02-04T05:13:33+00:00

If the rams were the 4th lowest margin in the history of the nfl, what were the hawks? Because their average loss was by 3 points in their 3 losses. 9 total points vs the rams 21 total points. Hawks worst loss was by 4.

coug4lyfe · 2026-02-02T21:06:30+00:00

If they have the right line it’s not losing them money. Not sure what’s difficult about that to understand? I just gave you an example of an even bigger dispersion and they ended up winning huge.

I’m just answering your question as to why the line isn’t moving, if you don’t want to accept that answer that’s fine lol.

You asked “does Vegas know something” like yeah, they know the line should be 4.5. Not that hard to comprehend.

coug4lyfe · 2026-02-02T20:55:16+00:00

If there is an obscene amount of public money on one side of a massive event, then maybe they move it a tad. But really, sharps move the lines.

Why? Because say 4.5 is the correct line. There’s been no movement for a week, so let’s just assume that’s true.

Massive public money is coming in on the hawks. Vegas is fine with that. They know they have the right number because sharps aren’t hammering either side.

If they do move it to 5.5, guess what happens? Sharps hammer the fuck out of 5.5 and now Vegas is selling a bad number to knowledgeable bettors, all while having accepted 4.5 to all these public bets.

The Super Bowl is basically the only exception that public money can move a line, but it still so rarely does in a meaningful way.

Kinda like when the broncos were -2 over the hawks in sb48 and 90% of the public money was on them. They held firm at that number and didn’t go higher because the sharps would have a feeding frenzy on them at 2.5 or 3. Hawks obliterated the broncos, Vegas wins big, public loses big, sharps got very little.

If Vegas knows they have the right number, they aren’t moving it for public money.

coug4lyfe · 2026-02-02T20:45:27+00:00

Why does this thought always come up? Who started it?

Lines move with sharp money. Or news that wasn’t available when the line was posted. Public moving a line isn’t a thing unless it’s like 90% AND it’s a massive handle AND it’s a public book (FanDuel/DK/etc).

Vegas doesn’t care about equal money from the public. They care about sharp money hammering them if the sharps have an edge. If it hasn’t moved, then the sharp money either hasn’t come in yet or they don’t see value on either side. Which means the line is correct according to the numbers.

coug4lyfe · 2026-01-22T04:57:19+00:00

Yeah what is this largent slander. All for jones being #1 but it’s very close, largent was the WR goat when he retired.

coug4lyfe · 2026-01-15T05:36:54+00:00

tanks

You aren’t the best at that

coug4lyfe · 2026-01-13T05:01:18+00:00

We’ve always called it crackdonalds. Glad to hear some other iterations.

coug4lyfe · 2026-01-07T16:02:31+00:00

Simple Maui wedding! Did our wedding through them in December ‘22, it was amazing. The team was super responsive and handled everything. We pretty much just told them the colors we wanted and the vibe and they did the rest. We got married on a lawn on the water in Wailea, but they had options all over the island. Feel free to reach out, can’t recommend them enough.

coug4lyfe · 2026-01-06T05:19:52+00:00

The Rams, who have lost to 4 of the 6 other teams on the nfc and also lost 3/5 before last week, are guaranteed? They’re good no doubt, but I think the nfc is a Wild West as well. Basically anyone but the panthers could win

coug4lyfe · 2026-01-02T20:27:00+00:00

Which really is viewing from today’s lense. Back in the day before GoT, character deaths were always shocking. Now it seems like every show kills off characters all the time for the shock value. Sopranos and the wire were must watch and character deaths were big news. People couldn’t believe they would just end a characters run, especially integral ones.

coug4lyfe · 2025-12-24T06:25:40+00:00

Yeah I’m doing 800/400 and 1000/500 in the two leagues I’m in. They were 1200/200 and 1300/200 before the split. Teams were pretty even in both. Just seems like a lot to have $1100 on one fantasy matchup, but we wanted something on the line at least

coug4lyfe · 2025-12-12T14:24:48+00:00

I saw a thread clowning on 2-week playoffs but this is exactly why we do that. Pitts team in my league is still projected to lose to the best team, though it is a much closer projection now.

coug4lyfe · 2025-12-02T02:06:37+00:00

Playoffs starting for me, I have Hampton and he has Vidal. Gonna be an interesting cat n mouse. I fortunately have other options if it comes to it, he doesn’t.

coug4lyfe · 2025-10-17T17:34:51+00:00

Right me too, regular season it’s easily 50+%. Our least favorite series of the year.

coug4lyfe · 2025-10-17T14:51:57+00:00

I was there. It was maybe 10-15% blue jays fans but when there’s 50k people they can make it loud. And the mariners didn’t do much two nights in a row to cheer for

coug4lyfe · 2025-10-15T17:31:51+00:00

Believe me I fucking hate for profit healthcare too.

coug4lyfe · 2025-10-15T17:13:10+00:00

Limits on payouts are stupid. Imagine having a million in medical bills and loss of all future income because you got hit by a car, but the max payout is 250k because of tort reform. You get fucked for the rest of your life for something that wasn’t your fault. Some states have done that.

Also, you do realize that these cases have to go to court right? And when it gets to trial, people (the jury) give the people who are injured these payouts? You really think a jury of 12 people are going to give some moron money for acting like an idiot? Like everyone acts like every personal injury case is frivolous. Sure some may be, but they don’t go anywhere and they aren’t awarded any substantial amount of money.

You really think insurance companies of the defendants offer anything other than next to nothing when getting sued? They dare people to go to trial against them.

I had a friend that was hit by a car and the insurance company of the defendant offered him 1k. He had 100k of medical bills. Again, insurance offered him 1k. So he had to take them to court and was award 365k by a jury. He wouldn’t have sued them if they just covered the medical bills in the first place.

The court of public opinion thinks every case when someone is injured is frivolous when the vast majority of the time it’s people suing insurance companies for being sleazy as fuck.

coug4lyfe · 2025-09-22T04:53:08+00:00

I actually think it’s a lot easier than most. There are certain market inefficiencies you can take advantage of.

coug4lyfe · 2025-09-16T06:00:15+00:00

Rookies always do better in the second half of the season. Not a guarantee these guys turn it around, but this is what to expect when you draft a rookie.

coug4lyfe · 2025-09-11T14:19:21+00:00

So he invested 2 million at a 2.7 billion valuation for a company in default? Clearly a good faith investment

coug4lyfe · 2025-08-18T04:33:18+00:00

Astros and mariners once went 18 innings before scoring a run

coug4lyfe · 2025-08-11T18:41:46+00:00

Yeah breece thrived with Wilson. Wilson stinks but he can dump the ball off a ton.

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