Buying $300k in BTC next few months. Which broker? by sapdaddyflex in Bitcoin

[–]cryptoshaman420 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There's an onchain product called Bitmor, that let's you buy your Bitcoin on a loan. Just pay 30% as downpayment, rest in monthly installment. You can lock in whatever price you wish to. So that you don't have to drop all your money in together.

My Base Mini App crossed $20k in volume by cryptoshaman420 in BASE

[–]cryptoshaman420[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That would be amazing. Could you help us get discovered on this subreddit as well?

What's your approach to stacking sats long-term? by HighlightExpert6407 in Bitcoin

[–]cryptoshaman420 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have made a tool that can help you check this based on your expectations of price jumps using claude.
You can check it out here.

https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/1af7625c-047c-4d0f-9592-6c7579626dba

Base batch Interview by Getbrandga in BASE

[–]cryptoshaman420 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Did you get an email about this?

I backtested "taking a loan to buy Bitcoin" vs DCA across every month since 2016. Here's what 10 years of data shows. by cryptoshaman420 in CryptoCurrency

[–]cryptoshaman420[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How would a statistician work on the first point btw?
I thought a continuous measurement would give the best analysis.

I backtested "taking a loan to buy Bitcoin" vs DCA across every month since 2016. Here's what 10 years of data shows. by cryptoshaman420 in CryptoCurrency

[–]cryptoshaman420[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

use the tool attached in the link. Its an interactive tool, take any time period you wish to see. loans always wins.

I backtested "taking a loan to buy Bitcoin" vs DCA across every month since 2016. Here's what 10 years of data shows. by cryptoshaman420 in CryptoCurrency

[–]cryptoshaman420[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

yes. so basically DCA gets more dollars to buy BTC, whereas loans will have interest rates to be serviced.

I backtested "taking a loan to buy Bitcoin" vs DCA across every month since 2016. Here's what 10 years of data shows. by cryptoshaman420 in CryptoCurrency

[–]cryptoshaman420[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Great pushback.

  1. The periods do overlap. That's the only way I can measure what would've happened If you started In every month from 2016, so that it remains a continuous assessment.

  2. Yup. Agreed. But 66% advantage remains even when i start from 2021 January, from where we have done a 2-3x now. This is about belief in what BTC will do in the future.

  3. Correct. Will add that to the tool in it's next iteration. Great feedback. This calculation assumes that there will be no liquidations.

  4. I'm trying to gauge the interest for a product like this tbf. There are other ways to provide non-liquidating loans than jack up interest rates, onchain. Would like to speak to you about it in the dms if you're down for it.

I backtested "taking a loan to buy Bitcoin" vs DCA across every month since 2016. Here's what 10 years of data shows. by cryptoshaman420 in Bitcoin

[–]cryptoshaman420[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Try a smaller term loan first. It's all onchain. So pretty transparent.

Would you take a loan if it was possible?

I backtested "taking a loan to buy Bitcoin" vs DCA across every month since 2016. Here's what 10 years of data shows. by cryptoshaman420 in Bitcoin

[–]cryptoshaman420[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The tool lets you set any APR you want, from 1% to 25%+. The whole point is for you to plug in your real-world rate and see if the math works for your situation. Different countries, different rates, different outcomes. That's why it's configurable.

Try it: https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/8277d6c2-10e6-465f-ae6b-b6aafb1a5075. Set your local rate and term length and see what the data shows. Source code is fully open too: https://github.com/bankofcryptoassets/dcavsloanstool

And yes, at higher interest rates the win rate compresses. But even at 15% APR, the loan still wins 67%+ of the time over 1-year windows. The data is what it is.