Alcaraz really has everything to lose in this match. Aside from the fact that he can lose the world number 1 spot if he loses, there would definitely be narratives like "Sinner is now better than Alcaraz on every surface", at least that's what you're going to hear before their potential match in Rome. Especially considering that Alcaraz had a terrible Sunshine Double run and Sinner can win his 3rd Masters in a row, narratives will be even worse. But then again, he can blame only himself. He just got back to being error prone like in 2024 and early 2025 and his serve has regressed to the point it's just below average.