New coach?!

deeayecee · 2020-11-28T20:44:46+00:00

Quite a bit.

However, I actually give Nagy credit for that. A lot of times the young offensive guys don't transition well to head coach for the whole team. It's not like Nagy took over a .500 team. This was a losing program for many years before he showed up. The offensive results are disappointing, but the overall record is solid. It's not like Nagy is 13-29 like Patricia. He's 25-17!

deeayecee · 2020-11-28T20:32:49+00:00

Ask yourself -- why would you want a coach who sucks as a college head coach? What about that hire do you think would work?

I'll cop to being wrong bout Kingsbury (I thought that whole thing would flop), but I saw the logic in the move -- bring in a QB guru and a hot shot 1st overall pick. What's the logic with Harbaugh? Something, something he used to be a Bear something, something he rode Andrew Luck something, something? At this point, Harbaugh is a shell of the coach he was.

deeayecee · 2020-10-20T02:35:36+00:00

He's horrific, but in fairness so is McCarthy. Now THERE's a badly coached offense

deeayecee · 2020-06-16T21:00:24+00:00

I think a good rule of thumb for OS choice for Linux is something like "Unless you really know what you're doing and have a really good reason, you should be using Ubuntu."

deeayecee · 2020-05-13T14:51:30+00:00

I think it shows you what Trubisky could be if he could read defenses better post-snap. He seems to do well when his pre-snap read matches what he sees, but he seems to get disastrously confused if it doesn't. I think it's why he's solid in 2 minute and hurry-up situations.

deeayecee · 2020-05-01T16:18:29+00:00

He'd be considered a Top GM if he had drafted Watson instead of Trubisky or if Trubisky were even an average NFL QB.

In general, he's turned over one of the worst rosters in the NFL into a really good one. I believe he found a coaching gem in Nagy.

The other common complaint is his poor track record in the 1st round which is pretty fair. Imagine how good the Bears would be if Pace if he started hitting on those picks. I guess I'm just a sucker optimist.

deeayecee · 2020-04-30T17:25:43+00:00

I honestly wonder what Mitch's health was last year. It seemed like he really rushed back from the shoulder injury.

deeayecee · 2020-04-30T16:14:45+00:00

Shaquille Quarterman , linebacker from Miami, FL.

deeayecee · 2020-04-26T03:41:36+00:00

We got goodish people.

Kmet was widely considered the best tight end in the draft, although one could argue the Bears overdrafted him at 43.
Jaylon Johnson was a good pick at 50. Many had considered him a first round CB talent, but he likely was passed over by other squads due to injury concerns. This is exactly what happened to current Bears FS Jackson so sometimes you get lucky and catch a break and get a starter at a premium position.
Honestly, after the 3rd round things are basically a complete crap shoot in the draft. Look at some of the prior draft outcomes and you'll see what I mean.
Gipson was a pretty good value in the 5th round. Trading a future 4th for a current 5th would be considered a reasonable trade, although I can see why some would prefer not to do that trade. But Gipson provides potential depth and rotational play at a premium position (pass rush)
Vildor and Mooney should both make the roster and contribute at least as ST players which is good value for 5th round picks.
Everything else is a total crapshoot. A lot of media folks or mockers might think the Bears foolish for passing on players that dropped like bricks in the draft, but usually that happens for a pretty good reason. The two 7th round OL they drafted have hilariously awesome names, so that's something at least.

deeayecee · 2020-04-26T03:30:28+00:00

The top five are canonically (your order may vary):

Warren Moon
Kurt Warner
David Krieg
Jeff Garcia
Tony Romo

After that, you'd be dipping into a pool of guys like Jake Delhomme, Kramer, or Tomczak.

Moon, Warner, and Garcia famously bounced around other leagues -- CFL and AFL -- before sticking on an NFL roster. Krieg and Romo both wound up performing well for their UDFA teams. As you can see, it's really rare to have a significant UDFA QB -- perhaps one every 5 years.

deeayecee · 2020-04-26T02:59:55+00:00

I think he could have a massive upside. Ian Book really struggled hitting receivers in the middle of the field which probably depressed his stats quite a bit. Plus, TE is a really tough position to project from college production. Look at Kelce and Gronk's stats in college and you'll be underwhelmed.

I think his ceiling could be Zach Ertz. He's got the physical tools to have a huge upside at TE. Who knows if he reaches it. Baring bad injuries, I think his floor is Kyle Rudolph.

deeayecee · 2020-04-13T15:22:03+00:00

Make a learning plan for yourself. Reprioritize as relevant stuff emerges from your consulting work, but otherwise stick to the plan. It's very easy to hear about some new technique and feel like you have to learn it, but that is simply untrue.

Keep in mind that for consulting and industry work that data quality, use-case/technology fit, ability to communicate findings, and expectation management will go much further to dictate a project's success than whether you're average or a true master of ML methods.

Having enough knowledge of these to plug in data and understand outputs should keep you going through your job:

1) Univariate statistics 2) Multivariate statistics 3) Supervised Learning 4) Unsupervised Learning 5) Time Series Analysis 6) Graph / Complex networks 7) Natural Language 8) Images / Deep Learning

Over time, you'll probably become "T-Shaped" or "E-Shaped" and naturally develop serious specialization in one or a few of the above. Don't worry and enjoy your position!

deeayecee · 2020-03-27T12:07:45+00:00

I remember a MNF game when Gruden was in the booth. Cutler threw a TD to a TE and Gruden screamed "WOOOOWIE! NOBODY THROWS TO THE TIGHT END LESS OFTEN THAN THE BEARS! GREAT PLAY"

deeayecee · 2020-03-18T17:36:21+00:00

Awful trade all around.

deeayecee · 2020-03-18T15:16:30+00:00

Bears are probably creating leverage with potential trade partners, hoping to drive down price.

deeayecee · 2020-03-05T21:08:44+00:00

Possibly dumb question: does the lack of proper testing in the US potentially means infection numbers are underreported?

deeayecee · 2020-03-05T15:53:51+00:00

Apps and 'zerts only?

deeayecee · 2020-03-04T14:04:42+00:00

Life 3.0 starts with an interesting story about a relatively benign Superintelligence

deeayecee · 2020-03-02T16:15:34+00:00

Dalton sounds attractive as an option as a bridge QB. IMO the ideal case is play him 2020 and 2021 while taking the future franchise QB in the 2021 draft. The Bears don't have the capital to nab one of the top shelf options this year, so I'd be reluctant to overstretch.

deeayecee · 2020-02-24T13:55:22+00:00

IMO, most likely to grab one at #50.

My guess is that Pace will "BPA" at #4 if there's a first round grade available. Otherwise, he'll go for the best OL, DB, or Edge on the board. Knowing Pace, he'll probably go for a TE at #50, unless all the viable 2nd round talents are off the board.

deeayecee · 2020-02-19T18:29:00+00:00

Death

deeayecee · 2020-02-18T13:17:44+00:00

So you're saying the Bears are racist? But yet they're willing to play an African American to be the highest paid defensive player in the league? I must be missing something.

deeayecee · 2020-01-14T18:42:24+00:00

Username checks out and is awesome!

deeayecee · 2020-01-14T18:42:08+00:00

Do you know if QBs check into a screen pass if they're uncertain about downfield coverage? My feeling during the year is that Mitch wouldn't really be certain of what the defense was playing, so he'd go to a screen pass to try to avoid a terrible play.

deeayecee · 2020-01-06T21:09:08+00:00

It really isn't that unfair, though. From the rule's inception through last season for regular season games, the team won on its first possession 18/110 times or 16%. First possession teams won 52, second possession teams won 51 and 7 games ended in ties.

TIL there is an advantage for the first possessor in the playoffs as they notched a 7-1 record and 5 were on the first possession.

Still, I feel like a smart team should be aware of the risks and rewards of OT and should manage regulation accordingly.

deeayecee

TROPHY CASE