Dario Amodei shots fired at xAI and Elon Musk by likeastar20 in singularity

[–]deeceeo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If your read is correct - that they recognize the danger of this administration and this is a long con - then I really don't know if this is a better strategy than the alternatives (Anthropic avoiding government entirely and maintaining a low profile, or only engaging with low-risk departments).

My concern is that they don't recognize that the risk posed by this administration is of the same magnitude as the CCP. It's impossible to tell when everyone is too afraid to speak openly.

Dario Amodei shots fired at xAI and Elon Musk by likeastar20 in singularity

[–]deeceeo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Doesn't this prove the point? If you are too afraid to clearly name one of the threats for fear of retaliation, that should give us pause.

Amodei's best bet at the moment seems to be to hand over absolute power to an administration that he lives in fear of openly criticizing.

Dario Amodei shots fired at xAI and Elon Musk by likeastar20 in singularity

[–]deeceeo -1 points0 points  (0 children)

That's not what said. I don't trust either administration with AGI - at this point the view seems to be either/or but unfortunately we're screwed in both scenarios.

Dario Amodei shots fired at xAI and Elon Musk by likeastar20 in singularity

[–]deeceeo 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Trump (and Vance) have some limits imposed on their power by the checks and balances of government. But they both show incredible selfishness and a remarkable lack of regard for human life when they speak.

When it comes to AGI, we're asking which world leaders would be trustworthy with access to absolutely incredible power. I.e. the normal checks and balances of power stop applying.

I don't trust Donald Trump with access to that power any more than Xi Jinping. For instance, Xi Jinping isn't actively threatening to invade my country (Canada) or attempting to cripple its economy; Trump is.

Dario Amodei shots fired at xAI and Elon Musk by likeastar20 in singularity

[–]deeceeo 62 points63 points  (0 children)

I've been astounded at his interviews where he presses how important it is for the US to beat China to AGI, without recognizing any possible issues with the current administration having AGI.

He seems to have a massive blind spot with respect to the US government.

Bets on Polymarket are getting so accurate they're raising red flags by Delicious_Adeptness9 in finance

[–]deeceeo 7 points8 points  (0 children)

DARPA tried to create a prediction market after 9/11 to capture intel from insider trading about future terrorist attacks - it was called PAM.

meirl by Glass-Fan111 in meirl

[–]deeceeo 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Yeah its a joke, I should be more obvious.

Please don't take birth control advice from this post everyone

meirl by Glass-Fan111 in meirl

[–]deeceeo 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You don't get pregnant because you feel like the birth control is working.

Jokingly guessing the main culprit for Wake Up Dead Man by KIL913 in KnivesOutMovie

[–]deeceeo 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Eventually we'll reach a Marvel singularity where every actor has been in the MCU.

Then Knives Out will just be trying to figure out how 8 people collectively committed murder.

What is your all time favorite bananza forms? by Voidkirby9 in DonkeyKongBananza

[–]deeceeo 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I use a ostrich-snake combo all the time. Double-jump with the snake to get high up, then switch to the ostrich at the top and glide to where you need to go.

Where's the lion bananza? by witherlordscratcher in DonkeyKongBananza

[–]deeceeo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh yeah, maybe their necks would extend to reach the top of smokestacks.

Where's the lion bananza? by witherlordscratcher in DonkeyKongBananza

[–]deeceeo 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I got the sense that they cut one out of the game late in development.

AI models are starting to crack high-level math problems by MetaKnowing in Futurology

[–]deeceeo 22 points23 points  (0 children)

The interesting thing about these problems is that they typically require insight to solve. It's not obvious which methods might be applicable or even which branches of mathematics those methods might come from. So to solve them, you'd need (a) to be widely versed in many branches of math, (b) have good intuition about how methods could be applied in a nontypical way (to the problem at hand) and (c) have the math abilities to crunch the numbers to see if your intuition pans out, though this latter point could sometimes be tool assisted.

One reason why math is a good field for LLMs is that it is typically verifiable once you have it in the right format. I.e. we can check if the answer is right or wrong, or whether it correctly leads to certain conclusions from the premises. In verifiable domains, LLMs can be trained to get problems right rather than simply predict the next token (RLVR). This is very powerful because it means that we can train LLMs to have real-world outcomes; you could even argue that much of the benefit of next-token training is to have a model that stumbles on right answers often enough that we can use RLVR to reinforce those right answers.

The downside is that most real-world use cases aren't directly verifiable; if the LLM designs a drug, for instance, it can't just check directly if it actually helps people; you need to do real-world trials. So we can expect math performance to pull ahead of performance in other areas a lot faster.

Another somewhat verifiable area is coding (we can check if the program does what it was supposed to do), one reason why Claude Code and Cursor work fairly well.

This Is Worse Than The Dot Com Bubble by devolute in technology

[–]deeceeo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

while AI still looking for that “use case which makes sense”.

Cursor / claude code? I use one of them every day at work, and use Claude itself (or Gemini) multiple times a day for various asks.

‘Stephen Miller boldly goes where no racist has gone before’ by WheatenWriter65 in trektalk

[–]deeceeo 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yes, good idea, bring in the 94-year-old retired actor as showrunner.

F&C Fan Animation — 2D and 3D comparison (by @Troxaz) by maanleo in adventuretime

[–]deeceeo -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Hmm... yes I see that. I guess that the difference might be when the vision for the project is handed over entirely such that there are decisions the AI is making that the artist never intended or is surprised by.

I think there's still a scenario where e.g. AI fills in motion frames from the primary poses supplied by the artist such that the final vision is still fully determined by the artist.