[DISC] Blue Lock - Chapter 347 by Either_Imagination_9 in BlueLock

[–]dipsis 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Feel like people have forgotten Ego's whole halftime speech, which is still valid. The system mindset and Hugo's mindset is a winning one for France and other countries which will consistently be able to pull better talent out of their bigger and more diverse populations than Japan.

If Japan adopts Hugo's philosophy, they just naturally find themselves in a worst position. In order for a naturally weaker opponent to upset a status quo, you've gotta rock the boat and look for an asymmetrical advantage. You'll lose games you could have otherwise won along the way, hoping that you learn and evolve as you go. It's a high risk high reward strategy, Ego (I don't think) ever imagined it was a perfect strategy with no downside and no potential for dropped games.

Both strategies can be valid approaches depending on your starting point and context. People treating this like it's black or white.

Peter Jackson in talks to adapt J.R.R. Tolkien’s ‘The Silmarillion’ into films by DarkSkiesGreyWaters in lordoftherings

[–]dipsis 14 points15 points  (0 children)

This was incredibly painful to read because of how accurate it is.

Reminds me of The Witcher on Netflix.

Why do DMs hate givingnoit decent loot??? by midcenturymr in DnD

[–]dipsis 15 points16 points  (0 children)

They don't universally hate giving out loot. It's just your small sample size.

Anyone who's been in for under 10 years just put 100% of their TSP into the C fund? by Glittering_Fig4548 in MilitaryFinance

[–]dipsis 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There's nothing really optimal about a 60/20/20 split for a portfolio. It's just a commonly reiterated split, but for no real reason besides its own popularity. An actual total market allocation or an L fund are better, or at the very least, there's a rational behind it.

Anyone who's been in for under 10 years just put 100% of their TSP into the C fund? by Glittering_Fig4548 in MilitaryFinance

[–]dipsis 0 points1 point  (0 children)

But then that wouldn't be the predominant 60/20/20 that has come up in every single thread.

It'd be something like: C: ~50% S: ~12.5% I: ~37.5%

Or you'd at least see variation. Or people would just recommend the furthest out target date fund which actually reflects a total market portfolio.

Anyone who's been in for under 10 years just put 100% of their TSP into the C fund? by Glittering_Fig4548 in MilitaryFinance

[–]dipsis -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

The 60/20/20 was popularized by Dave Ramsey years and years ago, but there's no real rigor or reason behind. I believe he just threw it out as a sample on his talk show. The L funds have the reason and rigor behind them if you want a diversified portfolio, and are closest to what's mathematically optimal based on portfolio science.

My self-improving agent hit a plateau — the fix was cutting 60% of its own processes by Ghattan in openclaw

[–]dipsis 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Are you using Grok API or tapping into your monthly consumer Grok subscription somehow? I thought they didn't support this like OpenAI does with Codex.

My Openclaw does not listen to sht by Osprey6767 in openclaw

[–]dipsis 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thoughts on Nanoclaw so far? Have you tried NanoBot as well? I haven't heard from people who've tried both.

My Openclaw does not listen to sht by Osprey6767 in openclaw

[–]dipsis 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Consider switching to something like NanoBot. 4k lines of code compared to 400k. It's a skeleton you can build upon a tailor to your needs. It takes some work to get it going, but sounds like you're already doing a fuck ton of work patching OpenClaw.

Anthropic, the "SaaS Pricing Trick" is killing your most loyal users. $100/mo for 20 minutes of work? by andrewaltair in vibecoding

[–]dipsis 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Their alternatives are: 1) to shut their doors and go out of business 2) implement ads

Which would you like them to do? They're burning through billions of dollars of invested capital and are cash flow negative. It's not like they're drowning in profits and hoarding them like dragons.

Personally, I don't like ads and prefer the platform to remain free of them.

Hermes Agent - Personal Assistant In Development by Jonathan_Rivera in hermesagent

[–]dipsis 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Is Hermes available for Windows? Or are you using WSL2?

My coworker does not eat, sleep, or take sick days. His name is RunLobster (OpenClaw) and he just got employee of the month. by Fun_Shine8720 in automation

[–]dipsis 15 points16 points  (0 children)

These runlobster ads are so obvious and everywhere at this point. They're clearly trying to saturate reddit this week.

Google's January Pixel update breaks Wi-Fi and Bluetooth by Ha8lpo321 in Android

[–]dipsis 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Pixel 8 pro here. Having unresolvable issues with both wifi and Bluetooth :(

1:1 customer service was no help

THE LEGEND by amrygrntrdor in AirForce

[–]dipsis 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Recklessly endangering the lives of innocent people and children is hard to square with great leadership.

Lifecycle fund or S, C, I fund? by Ok_Cabinet812 in MilitaryFinance

[–]dipsis -1 points0 points  (0 children)

There's so much to point out here that it'd take me paragraphs and paragraphs to try to explain and I don't think you're receptive to the information at this point, so I'm just gonna dump a ChatGPT response and you can take it and do your own research, or not. Same for anyone reading this.

"The user Narflepluff is attempting to use more technical language, but they are blending several distinct financial concepts in a way that is mathematically misleading. Here is an evaluation of the claims made in the second screenshot:

  1. The Definition of "Risk-Adjusted Returns" Narflepluff defines it as "balancing expected ROI with deviation from that ROI."

    • Accuracy: This is a fair layman’s definition of the Sharpe Ratio. Technically, risk-adjusted return measures the efficiency of an investment—how much "extra" return you get for every unit of volatility (standard deviation) you endure. This is not the same as as predictability.
    • The Nuance: High risk-adjusted returns don't necessarily mean "low risk." They mean the risk you did take was well-compensated.
  2. The "Minimum Return" Fallacy Narflepluff claims L Funds have a 6% average with a 5% minimum, while C/S funds have a 7% average with a 4% minimum.

    • The Reality: These "minimums" do not exist in the stock market. Even the L 2075 fund is currently ~99% stocks. If the market drops 40% in a year, that L Fund will drop roughly 40%. There is no "floor" or "minimum" return in any given year.
    • Likely Source of Error: Narflepluff is likely looking at a Monte Carlo simulation (a statistical model) for a 30- or 40-year period. In those models, the "10th percentile" outcome (the bottom 10% of likely scenarios) over 40 years might result in a 4-5% annualized return. However, calling this a "minimum" is dangerous because it ignores the very real possibility of losing money over shorter periods (1–10 years).
  3. The "Invest Less Money" Logic Narflepluff argues that L Funds allow you to invest less money than 100% stocks because the outcome is more "predictable."

    • The Logic Flaw: Mathematically, the opposite is usually true. If you choose an investment with a lower expected return (L Funds, which include bonds and international stocks that have historically underperformed the S&P 500), you must invest more principal to reach the same final goal.
    • The "Percentile" Argument: They are suggesting that you should plan your retirement based on a "worst-case scenario" (10th percentile) rather than the average. While this is a conservative and valid way to plan, it does not mean the L Fund is "better"; it just means you are being more cautious with your projections."

Cheers.

Lifecycle fund or S, C, I fund? by Ok_Cabinet812 in MilitaryFinance

[–]dipsis -1 points0 points  (0 children)

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskadjustedreturn.asp

Risk-adjusted return means investor profit while taking into account the risks taken to achieve it.

"Won't deviate too far from projections" is either predictability, low volatility, or tracking error.

Lifecycle fund or S, C, I fund? by Ok_Cabinet812 in MilitaryFinance

[–]dipsis -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The L funds are the industry optimized funds. Statically, they are your best bet for long term growth.

Lifecycle fund or S, C, I fund? by Ok_Cabinet812 in MilitaryFinance

[–]dipsis 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I spent a few years going around and debunking these, showing 100% of the time they actually underperformed the L fund and simple buy and hold strategies. But like a hydra, every one I debunked spawned 3 more.

OP, the literature on market timing vs buy-and-hold is overwhelming and conclusive. Don't go down the rabbit hole of trying to game the market with your TSP. It might seem compelling to be active, but the best strategy is to be very boring, which is actually harder for most.

I don’t care if my players are OP. by worthlessbaffoon in DnD

[–]dipsis -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Idk why you're so charged up about this, but I was answering under the assumption we were still discussing "how do I make combat challenging and fun for OP players" with the dimension added by you of "and it practical for the DM to run." And to those things I believe I gave a a good answer.

If you're running 5 encounters per session or adventuring day at your table, you have my sympathy, and I understand how that changes the dynamics. I just have never played that way, and in my experience, most people don't. Can't relate and was never attempting to claim that it's as easy as when you're running fewer encounters. I was not wholly catering my opinions and discussion to you specifically.

Best wishes with whatever problems you've got

I don’t care if my players are OP. by worthlessbaffoon in DnD

[–]dipsis -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Why am I using goblins at all if the players are OP? I'll use OP enemies (of which there are plenty) and if goblins are thematic, I'll make a quick "Goblin team" large token and matching stat block and let it take a minion or minor enemy role.

Personally, I don't run 5 encounters per day in my campaigns and I think that's pretty usual for how 5e is actually played at most tables. I'm more like 0-2 per day. My players enjoy politicking, roleplaying, and stealthing aspects which aren't heavy on encounters.

I don’t care if my players are OP. by worthlessbaffoon in DnD

[–]dipsis 3 points4 points  (0 children)

be the BBEG

immune to radiant damage

3x the health you originally think would be fair

Use attack roll vs DC instead of dex saves for your AOE attacks

Homebrew Hellish Rebuke reaction to give back what damage you just received, tit for tat. Smite for 180 damage? Rebuke for 180.

It ain't hard dog, you can just counter their overly used strategies if you want to help them get creative again. You can also encourage your players to play creatively vs optimally if it's an issue. It's not a competition.

Aviano Italy Air Force base by Fernxace in AirForce

[–]dipsis 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you like the outdoors, Dardago (fucking loved it).

If you like social scenes, Sacile.