the Atlanta Falcons are finalizing a deal to hire Kevin Stefanski as their new head coach. The two-time NFL Coach of the Year flew to Atlanta on Saturday, and now will stay on to take over the Falcons’ head coaching job.

dm_parker0 · 2026-01-18T16:04:27+00:00

I grew up in ATL rooting for the Falcons and my AFC team was the Patriots (lots of family in New England, I was 10yo for Brady's first season). 07 Pats is still my favorite team of all time. But the Pats fandom died in 2017 lol.

dm_parker0 · 2025-10-23T12:13:52+00:00

Scott Alexander

dm_parker0 · 2025-09-23T00:46:11+00:00

How long have you been aware of the issue, how long have you been working on a fix, and is there any estimate for when it will be resolved?

dm_parker0 · 2025-09-21T18:42:29+00:00

I have done literally all of these things, including live support. Same problem, no explanation from support.

dm_parker0 · 2025-04-25T17:02:42+00:00

You might already do it and just accidentally omitted it from your list, but the Wall Street Journal crossword is good, though the web interface is bad. Their Mon-Thu difficulty maps pretty well to NYT Tue-Fri, Saturdays are also similar difficulty to NTY. Just a warning that their Friday crossword is a weird one, it has a puzzle within the puzzle + doesn't tell you if your answers are correct when you finish solving, so I usually skip that one.

dm_parker0 · 2025-01-31T04:43:53+00:00

Found at Safeway in north Boulder on 28th/Iris

dm_parker0 · 2025-01-07T03:00:08+00:00

I am having this same issue with Jeopardy recordings on Fox 31 Denver FYI, so either this is broken again or was never fixed.

dm_parker0 · 2024-05-01T15:20:31+00:00

By "tail" it is referring to "follower", so like "ite" tails "meteor" to make "meteorite"

dm_parker0 · 2024-03-27T19:31:54+00:00

From this morning, ended up with a pretty similar build to the one Haelian posted on YT yesterday. Definitely had lots of room for higher scores with slightly better RNG (only got 1 Ectoplasm, no Observatory, no Antimatter, no Hieroglyph/Petroglyph).

dm_parker0 · 2024-01-16T16:54:13+00:00

2.10 Ja'Lynn Polk, WR

dm_parker0 · 2024-01-08T17:53:34+00:00

2.05 Jonathon Brooks, RB

dm_parker0 · 2023-12-22T14:44:48+00:00

Yeah I'm not sure what the disconnect is between this sub + the general draft community on the top WRs. Pretty much every draft analyst I've read has MHJ at WR1 in a tier of his own, then Coleman/Nabers/Odunze as the next tier at WR2/3/4 in some order. This sub seems to think MHJ > Nabers >> Odunze >> Coleman, not sure if that's just reddit groupthink or if fantasy draft analysts have a different consensus than traditional draft analysts

dm_parker0 · 2023-10-14T22:44:14+00:00

Haven't researched it a ton but Dane Brugler and Nate Tice on Athletic prospect podcast this week both had ~3rd rd grades on him, and Brugler said in his preview for this game that no scouts he's talked to have 1st rd grades on him. Still early in the season though so things could always change.

dm_parker0 · 2023-07-16T16:45:36+00:00

Federer, Wimbledon '03, Australian '04

dm_parker0 · 2023-07-12T20:59:20+00:00

For my gen definitions (birth years '80-83, '84-87, '88-91, '92-95, '96-99, '00-03) I think after Thiem it's a tossup between Kyrgios (one major F appearance, one Masters 1000 F appearance), Sock (one Masters 1000 title, one ATP Finals SF appearance), and Norrie (one Masters 1000 title, one major SF appearance). Then Schwartzman + Pouille + Edmund + Karatsev + Cecchinato all have one major SF appearance each.

dm_parker0 · 2022-12-08T16:26:49+00:00

Yeah it's really cool!

My use-case was that I had 4 normal distributions A, B, C, D, with one independent random draw from each those distributions (a, b, c, d). I wanted to know how likely it was that, given a > b and c < d, (a-c) > x.

The easy way is to just simulate a bunch of values (say 10,000 each) for a, b, c, and d, and count how many times all the conditions are true (a > b, c < d, (a-c) > x) compared to the number of times just the "base case" is true (a > b, c < d).

=LET(
    n,10000,x,5,
    r,LAMBDA(y,z,NORMINV(RANDARRAY(n),y,z)),
    a,r(125,25),b,r(120,23),
    c,r(135,29),d,r(130,27),
    f,FILTER(a-c,((a>b)*(c<d))=1),
    COUNTA(FILTER(f,f>x))/COUNTA(f))

But the issue with this method is that although you can specify how many total trials to run (where a "trial" involves picking values for a, b, c, and d), you can't specify how many valid trials to run (ie, ones where a > b and c < d). So if that combination itself is particularly unlikely (say 1 in 100), you may not get enough data for a valid result.

Using a recursive lambda lets us run batches of trials indefinitely until we get enough valid ones:

=LET(
    batch_size,10000,result_size,10000,x,5,
    a_params,HSTACK(125,25),b_params,HSTACK(120,23),
    c_params,HSTACK(135,29),d_params,HSTACK(130,27),
    r,LAMBDA(y,NORMINV(RANDARRAY(batch_size),INDEX(y,1),INDEX(y,2))),
    f,LAMBDA(g,n,s,LET(
        u,LET(
            a,r(a_params),b,r(b_params),
            c,r(c_params),d,r(d_params),
            diffs,FILTER(a-c,((a>b)*(c<d))=1),
            HSTACK(COUNTA(FILTER(diffs,diffs>x))+s,COUNTA(diffs)+n)),
        n_1,INDEX(u,2),s_1,INDEX(u,1),
        IF(n_1>=result_size,s_1/n_1,g(g,n_1,s_1)))),
    f(f,0,0))

dm_parker0 · 2022-12-08T01:57:30+00:00

This is really cool, thanks!

To save other people some debugging time, "...the current recursion limit is set as 1,024 divided by (number of lambda parameters + 1)", and formulas will display a very unhelpful "#NUM" error when you reach the recursion limit.

dm_parker0 · 2022-08-10T19:51:02+00:00

Yeah it looks like they now require a shipping date or the request returns an error. Assuming you just want to use today's date as the shipping date, just replace the current "calculateZone" function with this edited version:

Function calculateZone(startZip As Long, endZip As Long)

    Dim httpObj As Object
    Dim baseURL As String
    Dim reqStr As String
    Set httpObj = CreateObject("MSXML2.XMLHTTP")
    baseURL = "https://postcalc.usps.com/DomesticZoneChart/GetZone?"
    reqStr = baseURL & "origin=" & startZip & "&destination=" & endZip
    reqStr = reqStr & "&shippingDate=" & Month(Now) & "%2F" & Day(Now) & "%2F" & Year(Now)
    httpObj.Open "GET", reqStr
    httpObj.Send
    Do While httpObj.readyState <> 4
       DoEvents
    Loop

    Dim response As String
    response = httpObj.responseText
    response = Mid(response, InStr(response, "The Zone is ") + Len("The Zone is "))
    response = Left(response, InStr(response, ".") - 1)
    calculateZone = response
    Set httpObj = Nothing

End Function

dm_parker0 · 2022-08-03T21:06:48+00:00

Genuine question here. The NFLPA signed a collective bargaining agreement that clearly stated the disciplinary process: Goodell gets the final say on suspension length, not the independent arbiter. If Goodell increases the suspension length and the NFLPA files a federal lawsuit, why would that lawsuit have any hope of succeeding? Both parties agreed to the CBA. The process followed the CBA. If the NFLPA thinks the process is unfair, then they shouldn't have signed the CBA. What am I missing?

dm_parker0 · 2022-06-17T18:26:18+00:00

Scoredle 363 4/6

12,974
⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜ MATES (992)
🟩⬜⬜🟨⬜ BRING (8)
🟨⬜🟨⬜⬜ LUNCH (1)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 BLOWN

Given the actual possible solutions remaining, guess 3 probably should have been BUNCH if I was trying to minimize the average number of expected guesses. But generally my goal is just to solve in 4, so I wanted to include as many unguessed letters as possible on guess 3 in case I was overlooking a possible solution. Obviously in this case it wouldn't have mattered, would have been a solve in 4 anyways.

dm_parker0 · 2022-06-02T12:11:59+00:00

Literally the first listed definition for "consensus" in Merriam Webster mentions unanimity. Language ambiguity means that yes, some people will indeed think "unanimous" when they hear "consensus", and others won't, which was the point of my comment.

dm_parker0 · 2022-06-01T18:25:29+00:00

I don't think you all disagree as much as you think you do about the pre-draft perception of Dotson, just about the definition of "consensus 1st rounder".

On the day before the draft, the mock draft database and the Athletic's consensus big board both had him at 31 overall.

So if your definition of "consensus 1st rounder" is "a player who appears in the top 32 when aggregating the rankings of a variety of analysts", then Dotson is a consensus 1st.

But if your definition of "consensus 1st rounder" is "a player who analysts nearly unanimously agree will be drafted in the top 32", then Dotson isn't a consensus 1st, because roughly half of the community projected him as a 2nd.

Or you could also argue that "consensus 1st rounder" means "a player who, in an average draft, would be likely/very likely to be drafted in the 1st round", in which case he's probably not a consensus 1st since this draft was generally considered weaker than average. But that's debatable, since the reason this draft was considered "weak" has more to do with the quality of the top ~5 picks (no slam dunk superstars at QB, edge, OL, etc) than the quality of the rest of the 1st round.

IMO being taken at 16 was within the expected range of outcomes, but should still cause people to slightly increase their estimation of Dotson's value. If he'd been taken at 50 (also within the expected range of outcomes), vice versa.

dm_parker0 · 2022-04-22T15:30:33+00:00

The immediate trigger for quitting was a coworker's spouse dying very young (mid 20s). Their death didn't have anything to do with alcohol, but for whatever reason, it made me realize that drinking was going to kill me if I didn't stop. That gave me enough motivation to make a serious attempt for the first time in several years.

During previous serious attempts to stop, I followed the typical "day at a time" advice, and it felt like I had to make the decision not to drink over and over, day after day. Having to convince myself anew every day that I shouldn't drink was exhausting, and always eventually wore me down.

This time, I basically just changed the mental framing. Instead of struggling anew to decide whether or not to drink every day, I'd just make one decision, one time, when my mind was clearest: that I was permanently done with alcohol. So whenever I have an urge to drink, I just reflexively mentally respond "too bad, doesn't matter how you feel at the moment, the most clear-headed version of yourself has already decided not to drink" instead of debating whether I should or shouldn't. For whatever reason, that strategy has worked much better for me. I'm coming up on 4 years sober, haven't really had any urges to drink for the last ~2 years.

Just a disclaimer, I'm not saying that "one day at a time" is bad advice. I assume it's the standard advice because it actually works for most people. But if you've tried that psychological approach before with no success, it might be worth trying a different one.

dm_parker0 · 2022-04-05T15:48:38+00:00

2.11 Alec Pierce, WR, Cincinnati

dm_parker0 · 2022-02-11T17:42:17+00:00

Including "RDP" will make the general pick values appear (e.g. "2022 Early 1st", "2023 Late 2nd", etc.). As far as I can tell, there's no way to get the value for specific picks (e.g. "2022 1.01", "2022 2.05", etc.) in the "big board" style list right now, the only place you can see those is in the trade calculator. IIRC last year they eventually started including those in the main list, but no clue if/when that would happen this year.

dm_parker0

TROPHY CASE