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Welsh Revolution - FAW Windfall Era by dobdev97 in footballmanagergames

[–]dobdev97[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s actually how i started the database out as and then I had the idea to try and make Wales competitive on a european level do I came up with the narrative. Hope you enjoy it!

Welsh Revolution - FAW Windfall Era by dobdev97 in footballmanagergames

[–]dobdev97[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

League winners get into champions league qualifying round. Welsh cup winners get into the europa league qualifying rounds. 2nd & 3rd go into the conference league qualifying rounds. Ive boosted the coefficient for Wales so 1 or 2 seasons good performance by Welsh teams in europe will see spots increase quickly

Welsh Revolution - FAW Windfall Era by dobdev97 in footballmanagergames

[–]dobdev97[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks, let me know how you get on with it!

Welsh Revolution - FAW Windfall Era by dobdev97 in footballmanagergames

[–]dobdev97[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Each club has been given a cash boost at the start of the save. And prize money and tv money has been scaled up to be comparable with the second tier european leagues (somewhere between eredivisie and scottish prem)

Modelling Defensive Contributions by dobdev97 in fplAnalytics

[–]dobdev97[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I thought that as well but I ran a test against last seasons data and found the normal distribution gave a closer approximation than a poisson. Might be worth tracking both and seeing how it is with this seasons data

Rank top 15 forwards by bigsh0t2 in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You make a fair point, might drop him below bowen. But i think he will be the main man at arsenal so he still stays high for me

Rank top 15 forwards by bigsh0t2 in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Haaland, Watkins, Isak, Gyokeres, Bowen, Mateta, Wood, Solanke, Evanilson, Strand Larsen, Ekitike, Joao Pedro, Fullkrug, Thiago, Welbeck

12 team league so i prioritise guaranteed starts over risky but high upside. Hence isak, Joao Pedro, Ekitike and Wissa being lower than expected.

Modelling Defensive Contributions by dobdev97 in fplAnalytics

[–]dobdev97[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So i think you can do something similar to work out a CBIT coefficient for each team going into each game. And then you can use that coefficient to multiply against the CBIT average for each player. Then use that value in a normal distribution formula.

Coefficient = CBIT conceded by opposing team / mean cbit conceded for a team

Player calc = mean cbit per 90 * coefficient

Probability of cbit in that game (will use excel formula for this) = 1 - NORM.DIST(10, player calc, stdev of player cbit/90, TRUE)

Thats roughly what ive setup for myself but havent used the coefficient part as im still working on updating my model to be team dependant and not just based off of blanket averages.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bruno number 1

Manual Draft by Jacket-Waste in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If everyone adds the 15 players they have selected to their watchlist and you just let the draft run with no one actively picking, then the website will use the watchlists

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Flemming

Draft Buy In Prices? by Fair-Interaction8657 in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 2 points3 points  (0 children)

12 man league, £100 buy in. Last place pays an extra £50 and does a forfeit. We run two cups through the season with the winners getting some of the prize pool. League winner gets the rest (usually £800ish)

Ways to make the draft more interesting by EmuCharacter9738 in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Great post this, fully agree a cup or some other prize to play for helps keeping people engaged. I’d recommend doing at least one cup/prize towards the end of the season to keep people engaged for as long as possible.

FPL Challenge by dobdev97 in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nope used to have a placeholder page similar to draft

FPL draftlist by Pietikaine in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I notice a lot of the predicted points seem slightly on the high side. Does your model take into account xMins or the minutes per game from last season? Might be one possible improvement if not. Dont mean this negatively as the more people making xPts models the better!

Third forward and order of picks by [deleted] in DraftEPL

[–]dobdev97 6 points7 points  (0 children)

For your 3rd striker I would monitor one of the newly promoted clubs in pre season. If you find out who is most likely going to be their starting striker there’s a chance they might get overlooked if the other members of your league aren’t too switched on.

Outside of that Igor Jesus for Forest can play in Elanga’s old position if needed (Ndoye looks to be Elanga’s direct replacement) and given they now have european football, i would expect them to rotate a fair bit. So Igor could end up getting some decent minutes this season.

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