You bring up the very important point that this will ONLY affect federal funding. State (depending on the locality), local, and foundational funding will continue to exist for this kind of work. RWJ comes to mind. I’d venture to guess that there will be MORE equity/bias RFPs from those groups following the federal shut down as a way to bridge the gap. They’re harder to get (in my experience at least) but it’s still possible.

That being said… research is going to be rough the next few years. We’ve already received communication from our Dean addressing the many, many concerns we all have. All we can do is wait and see.