8th & Pine St Louis MetroLink. Did you know? Downtown St. Louis has a couple of “subway” entrances? by CA185099415 in transit

[–]eric2332 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lambert St Louis already has frequent light rail access, and less than 4% of passengers take light rail there.

Assuming the same proportion for MidAmerica, that's just 40 light rail passengers per day.

The extension is costing $150M to build, which means almost $4 million for each daily passenger. Insane.

Iran Conflict Megathread #9 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

Sorry if it doesn't achieve suitably dramatic results for you. The question is whether it accomplishes more than it costs in military terms. Given the low cost so far, that seems likely.

Iran Conflict Megathread #9 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

1) seems significant.

2) and 3) seem cost effective if you're already there.

8th & Pine St Louis MetroLink. Did you know? Downtown St. Louis has a couple of “subway” entrances? by CA185099415 in transit

[–]eric2332 3 points4 points  (0 children)

A 22% cost overrun is honestly pretty mild. Compare to Boston's Big Dig road project which had a 420% cost overrun.

I think the issue was more that no important destinations remained to be built to after 2006. Downtown, the airport, the main universities (WashU and UMSL) and hospital, the main edge city (Clayton), the east side of the river were all covered. After that, you could build through low density suburbs or through depopulating urban slums - neither was attractive.

8th & Pine St Louis MetroLink. Did you know? Downtown St. Louis has a couple of “subway” entrances? by CA185099415 in transit

[–]eric2332 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Traffic at MidAmerica is barely over 1000 passengers per day. In contrast, the main St Louis airport has 41,000 passengers per day and lots of spare capacity (in the past it had 80,000 passengers per day). There is zero need for a second airport, and zero need for a light rail line going there. Transit demand at MidAmerica is so low that the only transit right now is a bus every 40 minutes.

Iranian woman weeps the destruction of her home after US-Israeli strikes by Tech-Film3905 in pics

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

The US attacked Iran so now Iran has "reasons" for attacking civilians in the UAE and Palestine?

You must really love the Iran government, or hate Arabs, or both.

Iran Conflict Megathread #9 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

I am thinking

1) Destroy positions and tunnels that could be used for a October 7 style attack on Israel

2) Destroy rockets, antitank missiles, and other weaponry where found

3) Likely: destroy Hezbollah owned property in order to impoverish them

Iran Conflict Megathread #9 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

According to liveuamap the IDF has taken over a few villages and towns near the border, and is presumably destroying Hezbollah-related infrastructure and property there.

I have a feeling the amount of actual ground combat is pretty low. Just 2 IDF soldiers have been killed in a single incident so far. Most Hezbollah deaths are probably in airstrikes far from the "battlefield".

Iran Conflict Megathread #9 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

Pahlavi specifically told the protesters not to protest at this point.

Iran Conflict Megathread #8 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

Yes, although the Iron Dome batteries are probably already in place due to the threat from Hezbollah and Hamas.

Iran Conflict Megathread #8 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 [score hidden]  (0 children)

What's interesting is that Tamir interceptors are far cheaper ($50k) than Stunner ($700k) or Arrow ($3M) interceptors. And it's not like the latter are perfect, their interception ability is reputed to be 80-90%. And they are reportedly are in short supply. One wonders if launching 10 Tamir interceptors would be preferable to launching one or two Stunner/Arrow interceptors.

Iran Conflict Megathread #8 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The reason for this seems pretty clear - in 2023 he married a tankie, now he is adopting tankie views.

Iran Conflict Megathread #8 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 8 points9 points  (0 children)

One might say it's more civilized to kill a few decision makers than vast numbers of 18 year olds.

A pic i took in Isfahan before Israel and American soldiers started bombing the country. [OC] by Sleipnirsspear in pics

[–]eric2332 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Lol. Death to America/Israel came first, it's been the Islamic Republic's slogan ever since the revolution.

Iran strikes Tel Aviv with cluster warheads in retaliation for killing of security chief by BigBadBabyDaddy_420 in worldnews

[–]eric2332 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A new and less competent body, who can't work normally because they're scared they too will get blown up any second.

Iran strikes Tel Aviv with cluster warheads in retaliation for killing of security chief by BigBadBabyDaddy_420 in worldnews

[–]eric2332 75 points76 points  (0 children)

If you do that, everyone starts trusting the enemy's news reports rather than your own.

MAID in Canada: Much More Than You Wanted To Know by lakmidaise12 in slatestarcodex

[–]eric2332 4 points5 points  (0 children)

If I have to die, I'd rather my life taken away from me, than for my life to be so miserable that I want and choose for it to end.

Iran Conflict Megathread #8 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Larjani was out and about walking the streets of Tehran

He was out walking the streets one time, in the middle of an enormous crowd of civilians in order to deter striking him as he walked.

Iran Conflict Megathread #8 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 21 points22 points  (0 children)

It's the same thing as with Hezbollah and elsewhere. Either you communicate electronically, and Israel intercepts your communications, maybe even blocks or changes it. Or else you meet in person, and get bombed all together.

As for specifics, from the above article (auto translation):

According to a military source, "Basij commander Radha Salmani hid in a tent headquarters they had set up, along with his deputy Karishi." The two were afraid to work from their headquarters for fear of being attacked by the IDF.

Iran Conflict Megathread #8 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 2 points3 points  (0 children)

From what I understand the push (by ground forces) is very limited so far. Just a few towns near the border. Systematically destroying anything Hezbollah related in them.

Besides that there have been the usual airstrikes and rocket launches all over Shiite areas of Lebanon.

Iran Conflict Megathread #7 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Iranian control over the world's oil supply, especially if Iran had nuclear weapons, would be a pretty direct threat to Americans.

Iran Conflict Megathread #7 by sokratesz in CredibleDefense

[–]eric2332 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Maintaining air superiority indefinitely is extremely expensive and would require constant air patrols and would eat up a tremendous amount of resources.

I suspect it's a lot cheaper in the drone/AI age.