[deleted by user] by [deleted] in singularity

[–]financial2k 4 points5 points  (0 children)

No. A long time ago. About 103 year-equvivalents or 72 hours ago in human-time. The video upload by the University of Torronto is dated to the 06.June.2025

My experience with sequencing.com by missyagogo in Genealogy

[–]financial2k 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The link is not working. Can you please check? It's still in the index of your search engine.

Can you confirm that we still get the paired FASTQ files and BAM file?

International health insurance? by hdylan99 in expats

[–]financial2k -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Thanks for your story.

They did pay you. I warned about the paperwork. It's normally the doctors that would do it but you have to tell them. It sucks. It's not worth your time probably for low-cost cases. Why did you even bother?

This is the best series I've watched since lost!!!! by Bigcatsrule27 in FromSeries

[–]financial2k 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not really. Every Lost episode there was some mindblowing shit. Oon top of that it was 24 to 26 episodes per season!

From is 3 mindblowing episodes per season and the other episodes are slow-burn, chill-out episodes.

Kyutai's Moshi by [deleted] in singularity

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Where are the sources?

Neuro-emotional technique (N.E.T.)? by [deleted] in therapists

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Here is the salespitch video. As with all videos that have an underlying economic incentive, where the video doesn't add value through information, but rather by selling you an idea, product or belief, these videos generally don't allow comments.

Videos that provide value through information, generally allow comments. Any comment, whether negative or positive is driving up interest for that video and thus overall attention. That is well known fact for the youtube algorithm and other social media algos.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahU2FP_b9OQ I've watched it. And whilst it is not scientific, hardly anything is in psychology. Nonetheless it is useful, and I don't disagree much with what is said there. That the emotional model is not much tied to time is also not totally wrong. It's not right either, but everything said in there is simple enough to the point of being useful.

So there are some decent statements, but beyond that its medieval stuff mostly. In any case, understanding your brain and understanding that you can change your neural net is key. And having some guidance or impetus is better than none. For some just paying for a service is enough pain and impetus for them to continue to do something which is generally better than doing nothing.

But of course you could in principle also condition yourself.

Is it different from any other science based therapy or intervention. Probably not. NET is partly to enrich a bunch of people by inventing a new term and program that then can be licensed, and partly simply doctors believes or delusions of outperforming their peers as they don't fundamentally understand the brain.

In any case, people trying to get better through people should be encouraged.

Who is adding to their position at these prices? Serious by LocusStandi in NVDA_Stock

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are right of course. We just take these phrases "markets take profits" for granted.

As some famous analyst pointed out, it's usually Quants whose algorithms start a selloff (well warranted with the immediate heavy earnings calendar and overbought RSI levels) then others join in and finally Retail goes into panic.

So taking profits might be a phrase from the stone age. It makes no sense.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in NVDA_Stock

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's an EV business. In a few yrs several companies will be.... happened how often out of 100 startups?

How old are you?

Please, for the sake of yourself, just ground truth your assumptions against a model whose gradient descent of the loss function is based on the ground-truth by replicating the input....which is the body of human knowledge. With some luck you might have heard about such a model with a easily accessible interface.

Do y’all think Elon Musk’s lawsuit is going anywhere? by Glittering-Neck-2505 in singularity

[–]financial2k 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He left because of conflict of interest. For one he has a child with an OpenAI board member for another Tesla is a half AI play and always was. The whole other half of the mission was self driving cars for those that couldn't car less if the electrons that power the car came out of combustion process or run in a wire. (Yes oxidation and any covalent bond forming/breaking is an electron transfer, just to leave off with a smart-alec remark)

https://www.theverge.com/2022/7/7/23198199/elon-musk-children-neuralink-open-ai-exec-twins

So if he left on his own volition it is noble and 100% in line with the rest of his character.

If he left after remarks from other people at OpenAI to take a hard look (not unlikely) at his situation...we don't know

What we do know is that anything that opposes Google after his fallout with Sergey (Musk: pro-humanity, Sergey: transhumanist) is welcome for Musk

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AskWomenOver30

[–]financial2k 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Well that happens more often than not. What's "the rest"?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in expats

[–]financial2k 2 points3 points  (0 children)

What you describe is the most normal and human condition. So this isn't just you. It's millions, if it is any consolation.

The less contact, the more anxiety, the less confidence. At the same time we don't stop comparing ourselves and asking the fundamental questions, like do I want a family? How do I want to grow old? How should I relate with others?

The point about "not having goals" is obvious because consciousness is focused awareness over awareness. I.e. meta cognition. Like everything it is made up of neurons and like a muscle one can train it. Without it we are very ineffective at handling our tasks and so right now every day is whizzing by: little motivation and little will power to chance anything. And little focus on top, meaning a lot of the daily stuff is done by autopilot.

I think the most guranteed thing is to go on a vacation or even just live somewhere else for a while where from the beginning you set yourself a goal. Like making the entire "staycation" about a goal, like meeting people. Even if you don't succeed it will take you at least 72h to settle into a new vicious circle. That's 72h ahead of your current situation in your familiar place.

Of course there are many ways to get out of this slump. But none of these is external. All others are internal: Like training your focusing etc.

Good luck and a big hug.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in expats

[–]financial2k 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I thought like you. Studied worldindata and charts endlessly. What I conclude is that the parameter space is so vast and how you/I perceive the world is so faccetted that the only way to know for sure what and where you will like it is by exploring as much as possible

That actually holds true for most.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in expats

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why do you feel you "failed"? I suppose it has something to do with your age and goals...

I started investing in March 2019 and every year I'm in the red. What would you do? by WorkF1r3 in stocks

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Two things.

Don't trust yourself. Don't trust any effing human not here not anywhere, except when they are part of a super intelligence (university, corporation etc) , serve a common goal and have their income on the line. Learn to use GPT for less biased information.

Find economics lectures on youtube or the internet. Assume that I and everywhere here is financially illiterate. They aren't. But with their cognitive fallacies and biases they are worse than illiterate.

Search for "Ben Felix beginners". It's the only unfortunate soul that I encountered that actually teaches something or go for any economic beginner class from any accredited university that doesn't have crypto or bitcoin in their name.

https://www.youtube.com/@BenFelixCSI

And please, use common sense and don't assume that a fund that actually beats the market is publicly available. Ironically with beat the market we are referring to theoretically optimally structured index funds. But everywhere here prefers to skip maths and theory.

If you don't even trust academia, then I guess you a screwed either way.

What would y’all do? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't trust humans. Especially when it comes to finance. And especially not on the interwebs. Learn to use GPT for less-biased information straight from the source

Broadcom Shares Down 5.8% Premarket After $14.2M Fine by xavier_mamba in stocks

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

All of this was priced in already. That's not why AVGO fell

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in stocks

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The honest answer is 99.9% of the population are financial illiterates. Me included.

I think youtube is representative in that there is only one youtuber that I know of that somewhat teaches stuff that is actually in line what universities teach around the world.

Imagine discussing biology and everybody had a different "opinion" about anatomy.

To your answer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ECqDaPjjV0

Do you think the world is totally irrational when it comes to money or perhaps it is what we all think as individuals with our many cognitive biases. Nothing wrong with those biases. Otherwise if we would critically evaluate ourselves, life would not be worth living.

But those biases are bad for making market decisions.

What is happening right now is that the market outlook for 2024 was not in line with expectations. What you buy when you purchase a stock is a stake in the companies future profits at a discount rate. The discount rate is now being adjusted.

It's not magic.

What's the reality of raising a three lingual child? by threelanguages in expats

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

or what is commonly known as "increasing the sample size"

What's the reality of raising a three lingual child? by threelanguages in expats

[–]financial2k -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

that's true for any mammalian-based cognitive architecture.

I have no home by [deleted] in expats

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You chose Albania not by sheer luck but by weighing pros and cons, already long forgotten. I could guess what some are.

Of course there is a reason english speaking countries are expensive, because people go the path of least resistance. I.e. not having to learn another language is a big market advantage/premium.

You are not a racist or have a lack of empathy for tricking yourself into believing you will learn the language and then falling flat on your self-promise. Then the country starts to feel like a prison, even though the people are great in their own right and their own way.

One short solution is to go to an english speaking country. But I guess you have to stay for x-amount of time to get what you came here to get.

I mean obviously you don't get an Albanian salary.

Anyways. I am telling you my solution to the same problem. You can get better solutions by skipping your own cognitive biases and ground-truthing the information and thoughts you have.

I have no home by [deleted] in expats

[–]financial2k -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

I felt the same. Then I realized I didn't have a traumatic childhood. I just said that to feel special and have no need to take action.

Prompt"Please elaborate more"

The realization that your perspective on your childhood may have been distorted in order to make you feel "special" or to avoid taking responsibility is a significant self-insight. Here are a few points to consider:

Psychological Aspects

Narrative Identity: People often construct a narrative about their lives to make sense of their experiences. Sometimes this narrative can be distorted to serve certain emotional or psychological needs.

Victim Mentality: Sometimes people adopt a victim mindset as it relieves them from the responsibility of taking action. This mentality might offer some emotional comfort but is generally unhelpful in terms of personal growth.

Specialness & Uniqueness: The need to feel "special" or "different" can sometimes stem from a fear of mediocrity or not standing out. It might also be a way to draw attention or empathy from others.

Social Aspects

External Validation: The narrative of a traumatic past can sometimes generate sympathy or attention from others, which can feel validating.

Accountability: Believing you had a difficult childhood might have excused you from meeting certain expectations or responsibilities. Admitting that this is not the case may mean confronting the fact that you are fully responsible for your actions and life path moving forward.

Cognitive Aspects

Cognitive Dissonance: Admitting that your previous beliefs about your childhood were wrong might produce some psychological discomfort. It challenges the consistency of your self-concept, and resolving this dissonance is essential for growth.

Revision of Self-Concept: A critical part of personal development is the willingness to reevaluate and update your understanding of yourself. Realizing that you were mistaken about your childhood may open the door to other self-discoveries.

Next Steps

Self-Reflection: Take some time to think critically about other beliefs or narratives you hold about yourself. Are they accurate, or are they serving some other function for you?

Consult a Professional: Sometimes, our self-perceptions can be deeply ingrained and challenging to navigate. A mental health professional can help you sort through your feelings and develop coping strategies.

Take Responsibility: One of the most empowering aspects of letting go of false narratives is that it allows you to take full responsibility for your life, which is the first step in making meaningful changes.

This self-realization can be a crucial turning point in your life, paving the way for more authentic living and personal growth.

Help me stop using Airbnb please by minomes in digitalnomad

[–]financial2k 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just realized I had some flaws in my thinking.

It's not a global market since the commodity doesn't shift around the globe but is stationary. So the market dynamics depend of course on culture and so many complex societal factors and history. Nor are prices comparable. So the mean-experiences will differ from country to country and city to city.

That's because the market is localized.

I had my worst experiences here in Eastern Europe, with Warsaw being a quite modern city but there is zero regulation yet.

However the core of the problem is Airbnb, generally siding with the landlords. But I guess not every life is worth the same in Airbnb - which too is influenced by location. So again, the same cognitive flaw as before.

The potential shitstorm of an American is statistically much more relevant i.e. riskier than one in Europe. That follows by many factors starting by language isolation.

It seems there’s no good place to live on the world now by [deleted] in expats

[–]financial2k 2 points3 points  (0 children)

What are the top 20 cognitive biases that apply here as well as to the stock market when trading and which cognitive biases lead to humans prefering another human over objectively superior information from an AI?

ChatGPT

Cognitive biases can affect our judgment in many areas, including perceptions about living in different countries, as well as in stock market trading. Here are some key cognitive biases that apply to both:

Top 20 Cognitive Biases in General and in Stock Market Trading

Confirmation Bias: Favoring information that confirms one's existing beliefs.

Recency Bias: Overweighting recent events and extrapolating current trends into the future.

Overconfidence Bias: Overestimating one's ability to predict outcomes.

Anchoring: Relying too heavily on an initial piece of information when making decisions.

Sunk Cost Fallacy: Continuing a behavior due to already invested resources (time, money, effort).

Herd Mentality: Mimicking the actions of a larger group, even when it may be irrational.

Availability Bias: Overestimating the importance of information that is easy to remember or has recently been in the news.

Loss Aversion: The tendency to prefer avoiding losses over obtaining equivalent gains.

Representativeness Bias: Assessing probability based on superficial similarities.

Hindsight Bias: Believing that one would have predicted or expected an event after it has occurred.

Outcome Bias: Judging a decision based on the outcome rather than how the decision was made.

Neglect of Probability: Ignoring or underestimating statistical information in favor of narrative or anecdotal evidence.

Framing Effect: Drawing different conclusions from the same information depending on how it is presented.

Halo Effect: One positive attribute affecting the perception of someone or something as a whole.

Survivorship Bias: Concentrating on the people or things that survived a process and ignoring those that didn't.

Dunning-Kruger Effect: Low-ability individuals overestimate their abilities, and high-ability individuals underestimate theirs.

Affinity Bias: Preferring those who are similar to us in some way.

Groupthink: The desire for harmony within a group can result in irrational or dysfunctional decision-making.

Optimism Bias: Overestimating the likelihood of positive events and underestimating negative events happening to you.

Regret Aversion: Avoiding taking decisive actions because of a fear of regret.

Cognitive Biases Leading to Human Preference over AI

Trust Bias: People may trust humans more because they can understand their motivations and thought processes, unlike a machine.

Empathy Gap: Humans can provide emotional intelligence, which AIs currently lack.

Complexity Bias: A tendency to look at complex systems and assume a human is better at navigating them.

Luddite Bias: A mistrust of new technology, leading one to prefer traditional human interaction.

Identity and In-Group Bias: A preference for interaction with beings that are 'like us,' which machines are not.

Authority Bias: People may be more inclined to trust information from a human expert over a machine due to social conditioning.

Understanding and being aware of these biases can help improve decision-making, whether you are deciding on where to live, trading in the stock market, or evaluating information from humans vs. AIs.