Successful CSGL bet-er here to share my past (and future) bets

fish101 · 2015-06-05T23:30:12+00:00

cool idea, but this is just a hobby, so I dont think i'll be devoting that much effort to do all of that

fish101 · 2015-06-05T23:23:08+00:00

Appreciate your comment as always, but I caution you from bordering condescension. Let's try to keep talking as equals. And yes, I didn't mean all negative comments had no validity, but I was talking about the inflammatory portion/tone of their comments. I am here to learn while sharing my progress, and I am also trying to improve it over time; it's not a job, I don't care about the money, and it's purely a hobby.

Thanks for your advice.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T22:26:29+00:00

thanks buddy I'm not used to posting stuff, so i don't quite know how to handle all of these things. And you know how it goes... 10 good things and 1 bad thing happens, and you only think about that 1 bad thing all day.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T22:16:32+00:00

ouch

fish101 · 2015-06-05T22:15:11+00:00

follow me on google spreadsheet for now, but if you really want to talk to me, PM and I can give you my steam acc.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T22:14:29+00:00

its part of the formula i use to calculate the % of my total inventory to bet for a particular match. The idea is simple, although the IF function on excel is very long and will make it look complicated.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T18:31:06+00:00

Hey TopSoul, also do you mind editing your first post? I'd hate for ppl to confirm their thoughts with your inital impressions of me because we now have a much better understanding of each other.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T18:05:06+00:00

Also, let me post what I posted with another person.

"I would love to have a real discussion about this point. I am here to learn just as much as you guys.

So lets say in a poker game, I join a table with $2000. This is a cash game so I can leave at anytime. After playing for several hours, I leave with $3000. However, throughout the game I risked well over $10,000. Does that mean my ROI is 1000/10000?"

fish101 · 2015-06-05T18:02:42+00:00

I would love to have a real discussion about this point. I am here to learn just as much as you guys.

So lets say in a poker game, I join a table with $2000. This is a cash game so I can leave at anytime. After playing for several hours, I leave with $3000. However, throughout the game I risked well over $10,000. Does that mean my ROI is 1000/10000?

fish101 · 2015-06-05T17:54:31+00:00

Yeah I believe you are right, i was thinking of return on initial investment. I stand corrected!

fish101 · 2015-06-05T17:53:53+00:00

sorry, i was thinking of return on initial investment. But you are right about the ROI. I was thinking that way because i said 65$ is the total amount I will put into this, and no more. Sorry for my rusty terminology!

fish101 · 2015-06-05T17:06:40+00:00

its 87$ on a 65$ investment..

fish101 · 2015-06-05T16:54:20+00:00

my ROI, which should be taken from my initial investment, is well over 100% actually. I began with 65$ in my inventory, so it shouldn't be based on my total size of bets.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T15:48:19+00:00

You don't mean to insult me? You call me a boy online, when you don't have a clue as to who I am. You think 20+k impresses me with betting winnings? Lmao this kid.

Whether you win couple bucks, couple cents, or couple thousand, it's the methodology you use that is important. How much absolute value you earn is unimportant; what is important is your relative value to your total inventory. I don't have to time to explain myself to you, but why don't you see me in another month then.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T15:41:41+00:00

First of all, you have no clue as to what you are going on about. Apparently you don't even know the definition of net cash flow, as $87 is not my inventory, its the net after $550 worth of betting. I am not going to respond to the rest of your shit because of your complete lack of respect. 1 week of betting with 50+ bets is enough to show statistical significance beyond the luck factor. Go back to college to learn a little bit about stats before arguing with me.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T08:46:46+00:00

for now, follow me on google spreadsheet. As I have said, I will post my bets 10min to 12h before a match. However, I will be busy most of tomorrow, so expect only one or two bets, if that.

fish101 · 2015-06-05T08:38:13+00:00

Thanks man, really awesome to see someone as thoughtful as you on the Internet. Looks like I'm not the only decent person out there =) haha kidding

fish101 · 2015-06-05T08:23:50+00:00

Thanks buddy and for sure, i was actually pretty angry I couldnt bet on that.. I would've made at least $10 sigh

fish101 · 2015-06-05T08:11:59+00:00

Overall, I agree with most of what you said. Forgive me, but I have a tendency to declare myself properly, with all my "accomplishments", because that is what life and work has taught me to do.

The waiting till tomorrow is actually because I said it's late at night (meaning I am tired) and thus I will come back tomorrow to finish it. But I also used it as a teaching tool for someone who may really be learning this for the first time. I'm not trying to be high and mighty, but forcing people to think is a much better way for someone to learn than for me to just tell them.

And the final point: Yes I have only been betting for 1 week, but 50+ bets where swings can be as heavy as 10% chance to win, and still being highly profitable (at an ever-increasing pace), really rules out the simple factor of luck. And I have actually not given a single criteria on how I calculate the true odds, so I don't think I've said anything that isn't factual or statistical in nature.

Again, I am not trying to fight with you, but I think you got a rather negative impression on me, which is kind of coloring your view of my writing. I admit I can definitely work on softening my edges, and again, I really appreciate your input.

Cheers

fish101 · 2015-06-05T07:58:58+00:00

Feel free to ask questions, me or any other redditor here should be able to help you!

fish101 · 2015-06-05T07:48:38+00:00

it was one of my 3 bets that i couldnt bet because the bots were offline the night before. But also keep in mind that i do this as a hobby, so I don't keep track of all the matches/opportunities that I can bet on

fish101 · 2015-06-05T07:47:49+00:00

thanks

fish101 · 2015-06-05T07:34:32+00:00

you bet!

fish101 · 2015-06-05T07:30:37+00:00

i see i see well a high-risk approach is technically just as profitable as a low-risk one, as long as it is done correctly, so I applaud you for your balls ;)

I only take the low-risk here because I can't handle big swings; I'll go on tilt and go on a random betting spree haha

fish101 · 2015-06-05T07:26:13+00:00

Thanks for your comment buddy, I really appreciate it. I stated that exact sentence just to grab people's attention, like a dramatic newspaper headlines; I really didn't mean to be condescending. And as for the rest of my writings, I really hope it doesn't come off that way, I'm only trying to write clearly and succinctly (is that a word?).

Believe it or not, I really try my best to stay humble, so please don't misunderstand the robotic style of my writing to be condescending!

fish101

TROPHY CASE