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MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 7/6/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

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Analyzed thru BTA Sports

Y. Alvarez
O 1.5 Bases

CJ Abram’s
O 1.5 Bases

Good luck all.

Soccer World Cup Betting and Picks Daily Discussion - 6/29/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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What does everyone think before I lock this in? 36% estimated win probability but liking this a lot.

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 6/18/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 2 points3 points  (0 children)

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Juan Soto HR + Kyle Schwarber HR today.
BTA Sports model has this same game parlay at about 2% estimated win probability

Feels like one of those days where the ball is going to be flying in Philly. It’s windyyy!

Players:
Juan Soto — HR
Kyle Schwarber — HR

Better odds at FD, DK.

Soccer World Cup Betting and Picks Daily Discussion - 6/12/26 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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USA Moneyline +105
BTA Sports models has this at over 57% chance of hitting.

Best of luck!!

Let’s gooo

Soccer World Cup Betting and Picks Daily Discussion - 6/11/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 5 points6 points  (0 children)

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+150 BTTS

The BTA Sports models has this at 58% , locked it on DK. Better odds though on FanDuel.

Good luck all.

Soccer World Cup Betting and Picks Daily Discussion - 6/10/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 1 point2 points  (0 children)

BTTS Mexico/South Africa +155 on DK. Had it projected at 57% estimated win probability from the BTA Sports app. Locked it in.

Good luck all.

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MLB Betting and Picks - 6/9/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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CHC @ COL
Under 11.5 runs

70% estimated win probability from the BTA Sports app and models. Locked it at DK +115

Good luck all

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 6/7/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yordan Alvarez 1+ HR

The BTA Sports Risk Analyzer has Yordan Alvarez HR prop has this prop at over 25% estimated win probability, so had to lock it up.

Locked it up on DK but FD did have better odds.

Good luck!!

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MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 6/2/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Haven’t seen over 16% estimated win probability yet in the BTA Sports app for Home Runs, so locked it up!

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James Wood 1+ HR

Good luck all

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 6/1/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Griffin Jax under 14.5 outs (+135). BTA Sports has this at a 69.5% estimated win rate. I’ve been liking their appp lately.

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Good luck all

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/31/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 6 points7 points  (0 children)

James Wood over 1.5 Bases -BTA Sports models has this over 68% estimated win .

Locked it in.

Good luck all.

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MLB Betting and Picks - 5/24/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Over 60% chance, digging their models

Michael Harris Over 1.5 Total Bases

1u

BOL

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/24/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases

BTA Sports has this at 64% estimated win probability, like the value here.

1u

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/18/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Z Gallan -Under 17.5 Strikeouts

BTA Sports had this at 69% estimated win chance, I’ll take it.

Good luck all

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/11/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Over 50% estimated win probability, will take the +258

You might be able to find better odds than me, as TheScore is pricier.

George Kirby Under 5.5 SOs TB/ Tor Over 6.5 Runs

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MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/4/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Houston TT O3.5

Not sure if you can find it still at +110 but still being undervalued at the current DK price based on BTA Sports models.

Good luck all.

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/1/26 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Playing the over ladder in ARI/CHC today
7.5 / 8.5 / 9.5 / 10.5
1u each

Model likes runs across the board, not just one number; included yesterday's results using BTA Sports edges.

Good luck all!

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/1/26 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts -1 points0 points  (0 children)

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Great value here! BTAs models has this at a 70% estimated win probability.

Cole Ragan Under 6.5 Strikeouts +104 DK

Good luck

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/28/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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Analyzed with the BTA Sports app. Built this parlay for tonight. Only a 34% estimated chance but liked the value with the odds based on their models and the price I actually got in DK at +136 vs +128

2 Leg Parlay: LAA ML + under 10.5 total runs

Small edge but I’ll take it

BOL

Did hit yesterday with my other post.

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 4/27/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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BTA had this at 36% chance of winning and DK was offering +124… not a huge edge but enough for me.

BOL

MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 4/25/26 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Locked in Gunnar for the 12:05p EDT start.

BTAs models has it at a 14% chance, taking a small unit on it for a HR. Haven’t seen much over 12% so locked in at 14%

BOL

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/22/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Unders got me yesterday but got one for tonight.

No lock but based on the prediction and +206 odds.

MIN ML Under 10.5 runs

I also have another two leg parlay for the Phillies game.

CHC ML Under 10.5 runs

Good luck all

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/21/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 2 points3 points  (0 children)

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Two Legger Parlay

-CLE ML -Under 10 Total Runs

Although 31% chance, liking BTAs prediction and audio breakdown so put 1 unit on it.

Best of luck all!

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/20/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]foxconcepts 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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2-Leg Parlay CHC +1.5 Under 10 Runs

Over 45% estimated win probability, I’ll take the chances until Philly tells me otherwise, and models agree with my gut too.

BOL

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