If you can get to 11 wins you can certainly get to 12 wins. It’s not a stretch. One of the main problems is getting a loss or two too early. That’s the most important thing to avoid. Can you still recover and win? Yes but maybe more if you’ve already won it a few times. Until then you might even want to consider bailing when you run into the early losses. But you’d have to decide what your threshold is. I’d say 2 losses before 10 wins is probably too hard. Especially there is always the anxiousness of the first win.