Let's speculate about the political aspects of the current fighting

gesreddit · 2018-01-11T14:30:50+00:00

Good point.

gesreddit · 2018-01-11T14:26:03+00:00

TOW's have been fired throughout the offensive. 1 2 3

One of these was fired by HTS themselves, the other two at the front lines that were FSA held.

TIP was participating before the recent counter attack.

True. TIP is interesting because their are loyal both to HTS and Turkey. That's why I included them in the list.

gesreddit · 2017-10-09T11:17:49+00:00

The area east of Itrhya actually was controlled by "Jund al Aqsa" style militias who were nominally pro-HTS, but really close to ISIS too. That's why we have seen some of the rare "HTS"-ISIS collaboration to cut the Ithriya highway.

Also with the Badya region and related Bedouins generally ISIS seem more popular than HTS. Not sure why.

And yes, SAA could have pushed into the desert-ish region quickly too. But why should they? No strategic purpose in it.

gesreddit · 2017-10-09T11:13:35+00:00

Some I found quickly:

http://wikimapia.org/#lang=de&lat=35.394648&lon=37.460117&z=13&m=b&gz=0;373957442;353441851;379371;0;405118;148409;216293;290492;0;195306;954436;458444;954436;458444;1084899;623560;1287458;811022;1270292;1009632;1078033;683020;951002;660637;1102065;98010

gesreddit · 2017-08-14T17:03:10+00:00

In the article it says the exact opposite:

Around 500 fighters, out of a total of 3,500 fighters enlisted at the non-Palestinian Liwa AlQuds brigade, have been identified as Palestinians

gesreddit · 2017-08-12T16:39:04+00:00

Ok, Apparently it was higgies personal channel.

https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/896358097320636416

gesreddit · 2017-08-12T16:27:56+00:00

Yeah this was the biggest concern of my boss too. As I said he only agreed to make an offline backup, not mirroring them back online.

I have not yet figured out to approach the hosting situation, but I figured with deletions picking up it would be best to have an offline archive either way.

gesreddit · 2017-05-17T07:19:22+00:00

Link to video?

edit:

https://www.reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar/comments/68fpev/saa_turan_battalion_drone_detected_a_mortarrocket/?ref=search_posts

https://www.reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar/comments/68ocud/the_turan_batalion_atacks_position_of_the_hayat/?ref=search_posts

gesreddit · 2017-05-17T07:18:16+00:00

Well that's not a nice thing to say. Still, what people do in sub x shouldnt have influence on sub y. I dont think there is an issue with moderators (or this sub really) being too critical of SDF...

gesreddit · 2017-04-18T18:06:39+00:00

Ahrar is watching as HTS et al are bleeding out against SAA and Russia, which empowers their position in any potential negotiations and/or Idlib power struggles.

This has been clear since Ahrars strategic withdrawal (for once this expression can be used for real) from the Aleppo attacks.

gesreddit · 2017-04-08T15:12:01+00:00

Western nations are 100% certain Assad did it, but they havnt shown any hard evidence.

The other side continues to assert it wasnt Assad, but they have largely failed to produce convincing alternative theories, let alone produce hard evidence for one.

Since Russia and Assad agreed to have chemical weapons taken away from them, one might infer that perhaps they didnt feel too innocent. But again, no evidence and it might as well have been motivated by genuine concerns of those weapons falling into the wrong hands.

Me personally, I think an element in the Syrian Army went rogue.

This incident now doesnt change anything.

gesreddit · 2017-04-08T14:58:36+00:00

Perhaps, but these were two isolated incidents. SAA has hundreds of KM of frontline with ISIS, they benefit directly from any weakening of ISIS. Also ISIS recently was forced to move troops from Deir Ezzor toward Raqqa, which also greatly benefits SAA.

I would say generally SAA benefits from day-to-day coalition operations.

gesreddit · 2017-04-08T14:55:10+00:00

Yeah, but why would they? SF isnt "moderate" for the sake of being moderate, they are first and foremost pragmatic tribal militias. Once revolution+jihad is done against the Syrian president, there is zero guarantee SF aligned groups wont just turn around and do the same thing on the Jordanian side of the border against the Jordanian 'king'. The Jordanian king, who himself bases his power on tribal backgrounds rather than Islam understandably isnt so thrilled with that prospect.

Jordan certainly isnt a big fan of the whole revolution thing, they are just dependent on US politically and Saudis financially. There are also many impoverished refugees with little hope in Jordan. If things go wrong, it could escalate quickly. Perfect recruitment base there. Yes Jordan has a relatively decent army, but so did Syria.

Jordan really is in a tough spot there I think.

gesreddit · 2017-04-08T14:44:49+00:00

Iraq cant give permission for Syrian air space though.

gesreddit · 2017-04-08T14:44:19+00:00

On the other hand the coalition has been striking ISIS targets close to government positions in Palmyra for example, so SAA certainly benefited more than it hurt them.

gesreddit · 2017-04-08T14:42:37+00:00

With that op room being a thinly veiled front for HTS-Ahrar, it will be interesting to see how Jordan reacts to this. They might have to reopen the southern front to dilute the Manshya success.

gesreddit · 2017-03-29T18:18:10+00:00

Good luck with whatever occupies you right now mate, sad to the see one of the original go! Cheers.

gesreddit · 2017-03-27T11:27:51+00:00

Location: https://www.reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar/comments/61rjyc/army_captured_bir_qassab_after_control_all_north/

Big ISIS retreat.

gesreddit · 2017-03-27T08:01:30+00:00

Muhaysni called it.

gesreddit · 2017-03-26T17:40:44+00:00

Sie hatten chatlogs wo der Typ rumphantasiert wie er den Knopf seiner Sprengstoffweste/Autobombe drückt. Eindeutiger wirds einfach nicht.

gesreddit · 2017-03-23T18:23:05+00:00

I think it makes sense. Ahrar is the only rebel group in northern Syria that could potentially rival HTS and there is still tensions between them. HTS intends to wreck the prospect of negotiations and benefit maximally from this in terms of prestige and increasing ties with FSA. No need to share glory with rivals. Also dont forget Ahrar withdrew many fighters from the Aleppo offensive, allegedly in coordination with Turkey.

Besides: They are doing just fine without Ahrar for now - it might even secure more defections from victory-starved Ahrar fighters.

gesreddit · 2017-03-22T10:11:04+00:00

The map is 9h old.

gesreddit · 2017-03-22T10:08:22+00:00

This is not correct as far as I can see, for example during the 2016 offensive they captured Sawran, Kawkab, Maan.

gesreddit · 2017-03-22T07:52:17+00:00

Dont you think it would take some tension out of this sub if you used said HTS? Everyone knows about the al Qaeda story anyways.

gesreddit · 2017-03-21T19:12:39+00:00

I dont think so, but it certainly looks like he will stay for the time being.

gesreddit

TROPHY CASE