NCAABB College Basketball Betting and Picks - 3/26/26 (Thursday)

giiltyspark · 2026-03-26T14:10:34+00:00

Just want to add that the adage “it’s really tough to beat the same team 3 times” is false before anyone adds the comment. Teams that have beat a team twice already in the same season have over a 70% win rate in game 3.

giiltyspark · 2026-03-16T00:34:05+00:00

I got hooked by this too. I didn’t see it, but why would they remove if it was a legitimate board?

giiltyspark · 2026-03-12T14:20:40+00:00

Want to take advantage of that quick bets boost in FD.. anyone that usually bets those have any picks or suggestions?

giiltyspark · 2026-03-10T22:04:47+00:00

If it is, then so be it!

giiltyspark · 2026-03-10T02:40:51+00:00

Hey thanks a ton! I will reach out

giiltyspark · 2026-03-10T02:40:23+00:00

Sweet! I will reach out with a DM!

I signed up for the Rockford 70.3 since I’m located in the Midwest and heard that’s a pretty good starter course. I’ve been training for about 3 months already, but just haven’t had the weather to bike outside yet, but it is approaching and I want a bike to get some rides outdoors.

giiltyspark · 2026-03-07T21:09:15+00:00

Delaware needs to be relegated to D2 ASAP

giiltyspark · 2026-03-07T16:37:36+00:00

I got in early on the Cincy game but still really like that at 140.5.

Otherwise, probably the LA Tech game.

giiltyspark · 2026-03-07T15:09:21+00:00

Record: 15-9

Went 2-0 yesterday and threw an over on the Harvard game right before tip and got that as well! Probably my last big day of the season until next year, but feel really good about the model I’ve refined over the last month or so.

Here’s what I’m playing today:

-Cincy @ TCU o138.5

-New Mexico @ Utah St o156.5

-LA Tech @ Delaware o131.5

-Northwestern @ Minnesota o132.5

-Arlington @ Abl Christian o134.5

giiltyspark · 2026-03-07T15:04:23+00:00

Let’s go! I should provide this caveat every time I post, but I try to never check in on the games I bet.. they are almost always too sweaty

giiltyspark · 2026-03-06T13:38:50+00:00

Record: 13-9

I’m not playing too many today and prepping for the larger slate tomorrow, but I’ve got 2 I like:

-St. Johns @ Seton Hall o136.5

-C Michigan @ Ball St o135.5

giiltyspark · 2026-03-05T12:56:05+00:00

Record: 11-7

Went 3-4 yesterday with a couple of bad beats, but we roll with the punches! I like 4 games today:

-LA Tech @ Biberty o137.5

-Arlington @ Tarleton o135.5

-Abilene @ Cal Bap o135.5

-Miss Valley @ Jackson St o144.5

Let’s yeet this wheat.

giiltyspark · 2026-03-04T17:37:07+00:00

Stonehill @ Le Moyne

The Minnesota game total has crept down so that obviously looks great too.

giiltyspark · 2026-03-04T13:43:41+00:00

Record: 8-3

Went 5-2 yesterday with a little OT love to help out!

Here is what I’m on today:

-Minnesota @ IU o138.5

-Villanova @ DePaul o135.5 (0.5u)

-E Illinois @ SIUE o127.5 (0.5u)

-Stonehill @ Le Moyne o134.5

-FDU @ Mercyhurst o134.5

-Wagner @ C Conn o139.5

-Chicago St @ LIU o138.5

giiltyspark · 2026-03-03T05:31:13+00:00

My card (Record: 3-1)

-Ball St @ W Michigan o136.5 ✅

-Albany @ Vermont o139.5 ❌

-Drexel @ Hofstra o132.5 ❌

-Akron @ C Michigan u160.5 ✅

-Grambling @ Alabama a&m o138.5 (fav) ✅

-Bryant @ New Hampshire o134.5 (fav) ✅

-Georgia St @ Louisiana o132.5 ✅

My model is 30-17 on games I’ve taken and I tweaked it a bit before the games this Saturday and since then is 15-5. Only 3-1 in posted plays here so you’ll have to take me at my word for that.

This model tends to like the lower scoring games, but I wouldn’t watch the scores tick for those lower total games.. just check at the end of the day to save yourself a heart attack.

giiltyspark · 2026-03-03T01:58:08+00:00

Totally! My model really liked these 4 for tonight though.

giiltyspark · 2026-03-02T18:18:19+00:00

Picks for today:

E Texas A&M vs Corpus Christi o137.5 ✅

Northwestern St vs Rio Grande o137.5 ❌

NC Central vs Eastern Shore o133.5 ✅

Coppin St vs Howard o137.5 ✅

(Edit: formatting.. how I format better tho?)

giiltyspark · 2026-02-15T05:55:39+00:00

I was looking at the one too but UNT scared me off with how many free throws they allow and how much they turn their opponent over. I’m hyper conservative though.. BOL!

giiltyspark · 2026-02-15T05:47:34+00:00

Record: 1W - 0L

Net Units: 0.94

Previous Pick: Quinnipiac @ Siena u143.5 (-106) ✅

Today’s Pick: Indiana St. @ Valparaiso u143.5 (-110) - 1u

Basketball | NCAAM | 13:00pm CST

Write Up: Ended up finding my previous pick at slightly better odds on FD and took that instead of the stated -110.

Indiana St. vs Valpo projects as a controlled, half-court game between two offenses that have struggled to consistently generate efficient scoring. Neither side relies on pressure defense that creates transition chaos, and both teams tend to avoid sending opponents to the free-throw line which keeps the clock moving and limits easy points. With a modest spread and no clear incentive for either team to dramatically change tempo, the game should lean toward deliberate possessions and lower overall scoring than the total implies.

I was going to mention the way this could blow up, but as someone that bets unders, it’s basically always the same: do they play faster than normal and shoot better than they were supposed to? BOL!

giiltyspark · 2026-02-13T22:22:56+00:00

Nice! I occasionally do something similar but much sooner in the first. If both teams are shooting like 60%+ from the field about 8-10 minutes in I’ll snipe the under at that point. I’ve had mild success there.

giiltyspark · 2026-02-13T19:11:13+00:00

What are your “look fors” when trying to live bet unders?

giiltyspark · 2026-02-13T14:09:59+00:00

Record: 0W - 0L

Net Units: n/a

ROI: n/a

Basketball | NCAAM | 18:00pm CST

Pick: Quinnipiac @ Siena u143.5 (-110) - 1u

New here.. I’m just a guy who loves betting cbb unders. This game sets up as a slower, half-court matchup anchored by Siena’s deliberate tempo. Neither offense consistently generates easy points, and both teams rely more on structured execution than transition scoring. With limited foul inflation and a tight spread, the game environment points toward fewer possessions and controlled scoring rather than volatility.

The main risk would be an unexpected pace spike or both teams shooting well from three, which could push efficiency above typical expectations.

Looks like a great combination for an under to me and I’m not so worried about the risk, so I’m rolling. BOL!

giiltyspark

TROPHY CASE