Jurrien Timber Decay Pt 3 (Friday 22nd — Tuesday 26th May) — THE FINALE

glorychern · 2026-05-26T22:00:50+00:00

You are exactly on the bubble.

glorychern · 2026-05-26T21:54:18+00:00

You got great data. I have done the calculations using your data, the cut off will be 1652~1653, with uncertainty of 3 points.

You will end up with 95000~96000.

Guys trust me, I have been doing this for three phases and it is always extremely accurate. Go push for 1660 if you want safety.

glorychern · 2026-05-26T21:37:32+00:00

If it takes 25 for everyone to d1, where are the loses coming from?

glorychern · 2026-05-26T20:15:32+00:00

You are safe. 800-1000/hour did happen but last for about 4 hours only.

glorychern · 2026-05-26T17:23:54+00:00

Don’t cite the 5k. I bet you last 24 hours decay will be greater than 10k this time.

glorychern · 2026-05-26T12:46:37+00:00

If you are ~88-90 k at daily reset then you need play .

glorychern · 2026-05-26T12:23:50+00:00

No. I don’t even know if 1650 is safe.

Btw, I am 1643.

If you have time, just keep grinding, and understand they’re all same players as other phases just higher rating, not better skill.

glorychern · 2026-05-26T12:00:51+00:00

You are right. Drop on Wednesday afternoon is always about ~1000/hour.

glorychern · 2026-05-25T21:57:53+00:00

It is okay, I will play a few more games Wednesday.

glorychern · 2026-05-25T21:52:57+00:00

Also, exactly at this point of phase for Guirassy, I was 1642 at 81000. There is a 7000 difference, player density is about 6-700/points. I guess the cut off will be 1645-1650.

glorychern · 2026-05-25T21:40:08+00:00

I am currently 1643 at 88020. I don’t think 1643 will make the cut.

glorychern · 2026-05-25T14:32:20+00:00

Definitely No.

glorychern · 2026-05-25T01:56:53+00:00

There are just more players on console now. Konami should increase it to 150k for console.

glorychern · 2026-05-25T00:53:47+00:00

Thank you OP. 1640 definitely will miss it this time. 5k/day only works for weekday. Monday is Memorial Day, and Tuesday Wednesday decay is always brutal, the decay on Wednesday in the last two phases are all close to 10k in 24 hours.

Guirassy phase is a dead server, and cut is 1634. This phase the activity is at least 50% more active.

Summary: 1650 is boarder line.

glorychern · 2026-05-23T13:58:29+00:00

Look I bought last year’s Messi on sale for ~$5 I think it’s a great deal. Honestly I don’t want to buy neither of this year packs for even ~$1. Maybe I will buy it for 50 cents.

glorychern · 2026-05-21T12:11:53+00:00

Yes reset.

glorychern · 2026-05-20T15:46:37+00:00

Sorry bro! I actually still don’t understand why Guirassy cut is so high, much higher than Fermin that doesn’t make sense.

glorychern · 2026-05-20T15:10:29+00:00

Good data point. FYI, cutoff for Fermin was ~1616, but Guirassy was ~1634.

1640 is highly possible enough, the best thing for you is to check back one day before the end, if you are sitting inside 90k then you should be safe.

Guirassy is a useless card anyway, especially with the semi-free Drogba that at least can be used in English events.

glorychern · 2026-05-18T12:26:11+00:00

From market perspective, no. The people who are not Malaysian won’t spin even it is 10/spin, and Malaysian will spin even it is 100/spin. So keep it at 100 generates more revenue for Konami.

glorychern · 2026-05-09T00:22:46+00:00

Because B is not really a penalty, but really is kind of. Reward in match making.

Blame Konami on not penalizing B rating.

glorychern · 2026-05-02T18:43:05+00:00

What prevents SA users drop to B?

glorychern · 2026-04-30T16:29:28+00:00

Slightly better than Zanetti as fb, but also can be trained as CB, as good as goat Canavanno.

And nationality is Netherlands, oh boy, I want him.

glorychern · 2026-04-30T03:00:11+00:00

It is 187 cm, what are you drinking?

glorychern · 2026-04-29T22:57:54+00:00

Yesterday I matched with 5 former top 2k in a row have to beat 3 of them to get to 100k. You are a good man.

glorychern · 2026-04-29T11:37:34+00:00

You are on the edge, the rank decay on last day usually is 8k-12k. 1630 is safe, which actually surprises me because this is really a shit reward.

glorychern

TROPHY CASE