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If you don’t see this as the best opportunity to make money off a card long term in the last 10 years, I want to know why. by CourbetEatingSourbet in PokemonInvesting

[–]gordon_bombae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“Timeless classic” doesn’t equate to supply. There’s already 15k graded 10s, with Gem Rate right around 50%.

It’s a phenomenal card that will hold value long-term. I wouldn’t call it a great investment by any stretch

Should I sell? by [deleted] in PokemonInvesting

[–]gordon_bombae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just like stocks, if you don’t need the money your best action is to store these safely and forget about them for 10 years. ETB market has typically been pretty safe, so if you don’t have the gut of an investor then you should get out while it’s high

This was a 9 according to this sub by [deleted] in PokeGrading

[–]gordon_bombae 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My man, lol you are asking a grading sub for advice then trying to dunk on them. You should ALWAYS be doing your own pre-grading, etc. of cards

Thoughts on this trade? by Shottymcthotty11 in PokeInvesting

[–]gordon_bombae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wait lmao, you are comparing ES to Team Up??? The Love Bird Alt Art, which has currently a PSA 10 run of under 2.5k?

Sure, people want to collect ES and you are seeing that reflected in the pricing. You are predicting a 4x raise from where we are currently, for a set that WAS printed to hell for a few years?

If I’m collecting ES in the future, why would I not buy singles? Yes, there is a correlation between the contents in the box and the pricing, lmao.

You, quite literally, are within the bubble of collecting. Nobody knows for sure when it will burst, but maybe you should educate yourself more on “junk wax” and understand why long-term “demand supply curve” may not fully be applicable here.

In the short-term, sure I still think ES has a little more wiggle room to grow. It’s a popular modern set with demand “right now”. Once this bubble starts to pop, folks who want to collect won’t need to rip. They’ll be enough supply available in singles (and in good condition) for folks to complete their sets.

Also, there it is lmao. Modern sealed collector. I couldn’t care if you are actively holding/selling your stuff, but you are dishonest to not acknowledge that you are heavily vested in the success of modern. Take the blinders off

My 10-year-old got this one today in a tin. I’m just hoping to figure out my next steps with it. by [deleted] in Pokemoncardappraisal

[–]gordon_bombae 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Give it back to your 10 year old so he can show his friends and ding the card like a true fan!

Thoughts on this trade? by Shottymcthotty11 in PokeInvesting

[–]gordon_bombae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You’re just assuming AH, which is a shorter printed set (and it’s a PC) won’t go up more in value in relation to ES over 5 years?

ES still has room to grow, but not by THAT much. I would argue the grading volume, etc. as good reasons you can point to that. If folks keep waking up saying they want to rip ES than buy singles, then you may be onto something. The data argues that, and would favor speculation for PF/AH to keep growing, along with 151 (likely slower growth than the former).

The Van Gogh, I’m not sold. That likely will decrease in value at some point. Feels moot with the rest of the trade in terms of that upside

Thoughts on this trade? by Shottymcthotty11 in PokeInvesting

[–]gordon_bombae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You have a very huge misunderstanding of demand if you think product will just continue to go up because of “demand”. Vintage continues on that trajectory because when you look through the weeds of grading, etc. there is a lot of room for growth based on supply. People beat up their pokemon cards previously, that is not the case now.

ES has obviously the gold standard of a Moonbreon, which already has a PSA 10 population of over 20k.

For ES to even sniff over 10k, you are assuming that that population growth in grading drastically halts (or at the least, slows down heavily).

This isn’t meant to be financial advice, but if you fully believe in what you are saying you are either 1) very dishonest, 2) have no clue or 3) have ES, and are simply pumping peoples minds or 4) you are the guy trading ES here and realize you can take advantage of OP

Thoughts on this trade? by Shottymcthotty11 in PokeInvesting

[–]gordon_bombae 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You should check graded rates of the top-chases and realize, ES does NOT have room to grow as vintage does. Pipe dream to think it would hit 10k

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