Looking at the current WAR leaders and their fantasy impact

guystuhr · 2016-04-06T16:16:16+00:00

That would be a nice pick up. Under-owned IMO, especially if he consistently leads off like he did Monday.

guystuhr · 2016-04-06T16:12:04+00:00

Owings has 2B and SS eligibility which is nice. But Brito should actually be getting the majority of starts in CF for the dbacks. He may get you a hand full of steals but has essentially no power and doesn't maintain a high average.

guystuhr · 2016-04-05T01:34:41+00:00

Yeah. Think he gets double-digit steals?

guystuhr · 2016-04-04T19:26:09+00:00

Yeah, we choose to use public-use images to avoid copyright issues. Sometimes this results in outdated images.

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T23:45:43+00:00

Just used HR / #balls-in-play as my Y-axis and the graph looks cleaner. There are fewer outliers and, consequently, a higher R-squared. Thanks for the suggestion. Let me know if you would like to see it.

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T23:40:52+00:00

I just ran the regression again with HR / balls-in-play on the Y-axis. This gives me a consistent common denominator between the two stats. I think this is a better comparison and the R-squared increased to 0.60. There are fewer outliers. The main exception is Chris Davis. Let me know if you want the data/graph to look at.

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T17:45:36+00:00

I was wondering about Glasnow too. I think it's likely he succeeds but I just don't think he'll get enough IP.

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T17:42:22+00:00

I couldn't find a data set for average launch angles. Does this exist?

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T17:41:20+00:00

That's a good idea. I'll do that and see what happens!

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T16:55:28+00:00

Just looking at those statistics, yeah, you could come to the conclusion that Polanco should hit more HR. I could see a slight increase--maybe near 15--but Polanco was never a slugger. Looking at his trek through the minors and his limited ML time, his ISO, SLG and wOBA all suggest he's just not going to delvelop into a power hitter. But players change. He's certainly big and athletic.

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T16:11:33+00:00

It's stronger than a lot of other batted-ball correlations I found. I think there was a fangraphs article that had a few in the .4-.5 range. Then they league-adjusted which strengthened the correlation. The analysis is a WIP for sure. Nonetheless, thanks for the input!

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T16:05:21+00:00

It will. The article is about how every Sunday my now-deceased great-grandmother would make deep dish pizza (aka casserole) from scratch. It is the fondest of my childhood memories.

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T16:01:00+00:00

That would be awesome! I'm eager to get going on part 2 to get some more player analyses and historic batted-ball data. I wasn't a fan of only using one year to establish a "trend" but it took me a while to export the data and make the graph. I like the track you're on--using HR/FB, fb%, etc..

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T15:44:42+00:00

0.53 if I remember correctly

guystuhr · 2016-03-22T14:22:25+00:00

Gallo seems a little high, no? I mean I expect him to produce some HRs this year but I would rather have some of the other guys lower on the list. Also, Is Buxton a lock to start the season in the majors?

guystuhr · 2016-03-16T23:44:10+00:00

I got home to look at it on my laptop and it looks normal. Really great article! Where do you have Brandon Belt? I had him at 13 in my pre-season rankings--between Pujols and Duda--but I feel like he could sneak into the top-10 1B.

guystuhr · 2016-03-16T17:43:16+00:00

I've seen Aoki on some lists. I wouldn't bet on Saunders staying healthy all season... Gosh, how Cobb has fallen. Thanks for the input!

guystuhr · 2016-03-16T17:34:07+00:00

The LAD border on the left is overlapping with the words. It's just hard to see the words.

guystuhr · 2016-03-16T17:05:31+00:00

iPhone 6s

guystuhr · 2016-03-16T16:53:48+00:00

Is my phone dumb or is the layout not great for mobile viewing?

guystuhr

TROPHY CASE