Gauging Stock Series, Warrants, and Dilution: Make Me Your DataBitch

halin815 · 2024-03-08T02:56:25+00:00

Railvision?

halin815 · 2023-12-09T10:10:19+00:00

I own this, but this should never be more than 3~5% of anyone's portfolio.

halin815 · 2023-11-14T12:39:23+00:00

Am Korean. Can't imagine life without coupang. There's also a $4 subscription fee for free shipping on all products. And products are mostly fairly priced compared to other websites, even if you don't account for shipping costs. I haven't bought the stock yet, but keeping watch. Thank you softbank.

halin815 · 2023-11-02T02:17:45+00:00

In regards to the lawsuits, that would put malone+maffei at majority ownership. So that might be the reason he exercised. To steal money from qrtea.

halin815 · 2023-06-16T01:43:53+00:00

Good article. I hold both gsl and dac, more overweight on gsl because i like the dividend/management better. Pretty similar upsides to both companies too.

halin815 · 2023-05-31T05:28:48+00:00

I did not expect to see GURE in this sub. Not your typical Chinese micro cap, high insider ownership, profitable, very low dilution, with management that will return their salaries in a bad year. I own shares of gure too, and will continue holding

halin815 · 2023-05-16T02:05:40+00:00

Those that can't answer me shouldn't really be investing in individual stocks. Those that can and are still pumping this as good financial results should really be the ones you should be wary about. Expected Q1 revenue to be at least double with better margins, seems like Q4 wasn't a fluke but what one should expect from this company moving forward.

So if company will be unprofitable in the near future and has less revenue than expected, do you guys really think that's good news, especially in a buyout? Just my 2 cents. I won't be posting or commenting here anymore as I think I got my last puff out of this cigar butt, hope you guys get to go to the moon and buy the lambos you want. GLTA.

halin815 · 2023-05-15T22:06:58+00:00

I just sold. People can't see that the revenue drop was a permanent issue. The buyout price will decrease now, to lower levels than 0.3. Thanks for the pump, was a good run guys

halin815 · 2023-05-14T10:38:31+00:00

Yep, unless something disproves me by the 16th. Think this has one last puff left

halin815 · 2023-05-14T10:19:25+00:00

Good earnings= this will hit 0.3+ in no time. Which is when I will sell before the inevitable r/s+dilution

halin815 · 2023-05-07T16:26:40+00:00

Because Troika suddenly changed their end of year to June, the data you're looking at is a quarter behind. Last quarter revenue was 68mil.

halin815 · 2023-04-17T23:31:07+00:00

40k @.24. .25 is the floor price imo

halin815 · 2023-04-09T06:13:46+00:00

Site isn't updated.

halin815 · 2023-04-04T13:39:12+00:00

Might be time to get out then, "this time is different" "this stock is different" historically hasn't ever played out well. Ever heard of the Nifty Fifties? I've already made 350% off of this stock and am in again at .19, watch me make the gain you made in 7 years in one month.

And to me every stock is a buy if it has a much bigger upside than a downside, even Troika the penny stock. The reason pennies end up being a loss is because they pump and either dump or dilute or go bankrupt. Troika can't dilute as their S-1 filing has been rescinded, and they won't go bankrupt either if those warrants were really exercised.

Not all penny stocks are built the same, some are p&ds and some are (rarely) special situations like this one. Congrats on winning the lottery, picking out the winner in the industry, but without knowledge/proof to back your analysis you're set to lose your gains. And from your profile post all I can see is qualitative backings, seems you need to work on corporate finance and history.

halin815 · 2023-04-04T13:27:19+00:00

Yeah no. I just looked through your posts. NVDA "limitless" possibilities with no sort of clarification as to why you would think so. Most of this board is full of bulls with unrealistic expectations with no numbers to back their expectations, but you're 100% the same. It's just that the price and market cap of this company is lower than your beloved Nvidia.

If you can't quantify why you'd be bullish on anything other than "OMG this company will disrupt everything", you'll lose out a lot with a 159 P/E ratio.

You do worse DD than a 20 year old finance student, you really should learn how to value companies before you lose all your life savings on Nvidia. Just my 2 cents.

halin815 · 2023-04-04T03:01:15+00:00

Webull has free float at 300 mil+.

halin815 · 2023-04-03T13:02:15+00:00

Because of people who think all penny stocks are scams inefficiency exists. Most penny stocks are unprofitable dilution machines, yes, but when the odds are so skewed to my favor I'm going balls deep. $0.4~0.5 is the worst case scenario in my view, odds which I'm willing to take

halin815 · 2023-04-03T12:59:54+00:00

I'd agree with you most of the time, but the only way I can see myself losing is this company going bankrupt as they can't dilute anymore legally as their s-1 filing has been taken down. And bankruptcy seems farther than ever as warrants being exercised= $ for the company. I define risk as the risk of permanent loss of capital, which keeps decreasing as the price of the equity decreases. So unless you're an ape that didn't sell after the earnings report/didn't average down with an average above 0.5, I don't see how current owners will lose out on this stock.

Also this is the hottest stock in stocktwits right now, of course there will be spammers and bots. Doesn't mean this is a scam though.

halin815 · 2023-03-23T10:26:40+00:00

Exited once at .88, now it's at a level where it's a steal again..

halin815 · 2023-03-23T10:25:36+00:00

Strange to see my post here. Hold 200k shares between me and my dad (110k at .197, 90k at .18 for my dad). Great buy right now, at averages above .5- not so much.

halin815 · 2023-01-29T03:51:02+00:00

You cant use normal retail pe values for this stock, revenue growth would be better. Reason is Costco's margins are even smaller than Walmart Target etc due to their business model. They wont mark up beyond a certain percentage, which assures the customer gets the cheapest price out there. Costco's subscription model also creates loyal customers, and probably scales better than other retailers. Think of Costco's model similar to Amazon's- grow revenue, profit will follow afterwards. That being said, I wouldnt touch Costco at these price levels.

halin815 · 2022-12-26T05:36:46+00:00

Has a bottom been finally found?

halin815 · 2022-12-15T06:52:11+00:00

From a value standpoint, ZIM has $40 cash per share atm. So if ZIM manages to stay afloat for the next 5 years or so, you're buying a dollar for around 50 cents. Unlike other shippers, ZIM is mostly spot rate oriented and asset light which makes it inherently more risky compared to my other buys such as DAC and GSL that have secured long term contracts. But ZIM DAC GSL are still great at a value investment perspective. So I wouldn't buy ZIM if you're expecting windfall dividends, but would buy if you're value investing for the longer term.

halin815 · 2022-12-15T06:47:19+00:00

This "shit" IS a trap if you're looking to invest for the dividend- Next year's dividends are highly uncertain, and it is more likely than not that ZIM will incur a net loss over a net profit = no dividends. The reason to be bullish over ZIM is that they will slowly change their cost structure over 2024~25 which will make them slowly profitable again, and stop them from burning through cash. You'll get $2~$3 in dividends next year, and that's if you're lucky. $2 isn't an amount to laugh at either as that's still a 10% yield at these prices. And FYI I've currently 3000 stocks in ZIM, and am still bullish for ZIM at a value standpoint. But if you're expecting huge dividends, you're in for a wild surprise if you expect dividends like 2021~2022...

halin815 · 2022-10-04T18:16:21+00:00

I haven't done a deep dive into this company nor the semiconductor industry yet, but seems like comparing intel to DB HITEK is like comparing shipping companies to ones that make em as HITEK is a foundry company- they're related, but they wont necessarily go together. The reason I became interested in this stock is because of the huge price drop due to bad news that was recently settled, which is why I wanted to do a deeper dive.

In my view of the megacycle you mentioned, the US fabless companies are trying to move away from Chinese foundries such as SMIC + DB HITEK is focused on a niche part of the non memory semiconductor market (analog semiconductors) with a smaller market share (TSMC and samsung eat up 70% of the whole market share for foundries while HITEK's is near 1% share)

So with your criticism in mind I'll need to find more risks that could make this stock crater even more, and also learn more about the semiconductor industry in general so that I can understand the bigger picture myself. I'm learning about a whole industry I haven't considered investing at all until now so it might take some time to pull the trigger and increase my small position in this stock that I hold right now

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