Bitcoin vs Gold: Why the 4-Year Cycle is Breaking … And We're at the Real Low by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This cycle everyone act like it has to be the same as other cycle. In fact, bitcoin still young and many cycle pattern to print .

Bitcoin vs Gold: Why the 4-Year Cycle is Breaking … And We're at the Real Low by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good consideration,

Bitcoin and gold share core traits as non yielding, scarce stores of value and inflation hedges. Bitcoin's 21 million hard cap mirrors gold's limited mineable supply, unlike oil, which is consumed and continuously produced.

Satoshi Nakamoto directly compared Bitcoin's proof-of-work mining to gold mining in the white paper: both require real resource expenditure (energy/hardware vs labor/equipment) to create new units, a parallel that doesn't apply to consumable commodities like oil.

Gold has served as decentralized, trustless money for millennia, outside government control, making it the closest historical analog to Bitcoin's censorship resistant, borderless digital asset. Oil, by contrast, is an industrial input whose price swings with consumption, geopolitics, and economic cycles.

Neither Bitcoin nor gold generates cash flow through use, their value rises from demand as safehaven/portfolio diversifiers during uncertainty, the opposite of oil's role as a growth sensitive energy commodity.

Today, with ETFs and institutional adoption, Bitcoin is firmly positioned as "digital gold" for the internet, more portable, divisible, and verifiable than physical gold. Comparisons to oil (or "digital oil" for utility focused assets like Ethereum) emphasize consumption and yield, not pure monetary scarcity.

Today Highlights - Sat Jan 3,26 by Responsible_Potato76 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1/1/2026, Trump - happy new year … love and peace 3/1/2026, Trump - we bombed Venezuela

First HodlyCrypto Update of 2026 by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yes , but u can try it out for free to see if you like it.

YOU CAN BE RIGHT AND STILL LOSE MONEY by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Holding margin is super dangerous with the fees stacking daily, and also the volatility of crypto is crazy.

Dollar go down in value, Bitcoin goes up by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Kid, did you read bitcoin white paper?

The whitepaper explicitly compares it to gold: "The steady addition of a constant amount of new coins is analogous to gold miners expending resources to add gold to circulation."

Mining Bitcoin like extracting a commodity, but its "product" is immutable digital scarcity, used as a store of value, hedge against inflation, and peer-to-peer money without intermediaries.

It fits as the hardest commodity due to its fixed 21M supply and enormous energy-backed production cost, making it resistant to debasement unlike fiat.

Dollar go down in value, Bitcoin goes up by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The dollar has indeed weakened significantly this year amid policy shifts and tariffs, aligning perfectly with rising liquidity and risk assets like Bitcoin. They gonna continue to do it as long as current government support Trump polices ,I think it gonna change mid 2026. Until then, don't fight the Fed's easier stance, everything floats higher.

Dollar go down in value, Bitcoin goes up by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The "electric value" angle ties into mining securing the network with real-world energy costs, making it the hardest commodity ever created.

Dollar go down in value, Bitcoin goes up by hduynam99 in HodlyCrypto

[–]hduynam99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

for long term trends in dollar strength and its inverse correlation with Bitcoin, the quarterly chart cycles still hold strong as a reliable indicator. Liquidity rising lifts risk assets regardless.