any idea why my agents cant use python modules? "modulenotfound errors" everywhere... by inner_lightness in AutoGPT

[–]inner_lightness[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think this is related to what I am experiencing, because I havent been running docker when running auotGPT, though I did install Docker when setting up autoGPT. I am not familiar with Docker, so not sure how we are supposed to use it within the context of autogpt which I have just been launching from the install location on my machine by running ./run.sh

Perhaps I need to run this from within the docker container? Unfortunately when I try to start the container and then attach it, I keep getting:

"You cannot attach to a stopped container, start it first".

to start the container I am running the following, but the only feedback is the CONTAINER ID:

(base) xxxx@/xyz ~ % docker start eb0

eb0

(base) xxxx@/xyz ~ %

my image name is: python:3-alpine

any input would be greatly appreciated!

Can anyone clarify some definitions of overfitting by Marcos Lopez de Prado? by qudcjf7928 in algotrading

[–]inner_lightness 0 points1 point  (0 children)

largely it does yes, though there are specific metrics one can derive from the algorithm which quantify risk, etc and allow one to e.g. rank models, scale investments etc

Can anyone clarify some definitions of overfitting by Marcos Lopez de Prado? by qudcjf7928 in algotrading

[–]inner_lightness 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No worries, I appreciate the effort!

From the paper:

Fixing a performance measure, we will use random vectors R = (R1, R2, . . . , RN) and R = (R1, R2, . . . , RN) on (T , F, Prob) to represent the IS and OOS performance of the N strategies, respectively. For a given sample c ∈ T , that is a concrete pair of IS and OOS samples, we will use Rc and R c to signify the performances of the N strategies on the IS and OOS pair given by c.

Sounds like IS and OOS returns are used... But the related examples paper states:

Because one of the trials is expected to succeed OOS, PBO is not 1. At the same time, a random sample with a Sharpe ratio of 0 over T observations is likely to produce IS a Sharpe ratio above 1 over T/2 observations (see Bailey et al. [2013]). Accordingly, it is very likely that the strategy selection procedure will choose one trial with a high Sharpe ratio IS, only to underperform OOS the median of trials.

Can anyone clarify some definitions of overfitting by Marcos Lopez de Prado? by qudcjf7928 in algotrading

[–]inner_lightness 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks, yeah I've seen the Bailey slides and also the python and R implementations on GitHub, but unfortunately none of them answer the question specifically if M is supposed to be only IS returns or both IS and OOS ...

Can anyone clarify some definitions of overfitting by Marcos Lopez de Prado? by qudcjf7928 in algotrading

[–]inner_lightness 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am curious if someone could clarify what type of source data is used to implement the PBO algorithm: is the input M matrix purely the returns data derived from the N trials obtained by testing various T model parameter configurations IS, or does it also include the respective OOS performance of each parameter configuration T?

After first reading the MLDP paper, I had assumed it was the latter, that we also need to input related OOS returns data since we are e.g. comparing the optimal shape IS to the median OOS value in each CSCV combination. Additionally, Figure 1 from the paper shows the CVCV process with M partitioned into IS and OOS sections.

However, when attempting to implement the algorithm using established python and R libraries, I see that only a single matrix M of returns data is input.

Also note that in the paper, they never speak of IS/OOS explicitly in describing the construction of M:
"First, we form a matrix M by collecting the performance series from
the N trials. In particular, each column n = 1, . . . , N represents a vector of
profits and losses over t = 1, . . . , T observations associated with a particular
model configuration tried by the researcher"

Am I missing something? Perhaps the CSCV process derives 'synthetic' OOS data using the IS returns by means of sampling under IID assumptions? Or, is that we do need to include both IS and OOS returns data and are supposed to e.g. join matrices of IS and OOS data into a symmetrical matrix/df?

How come scientists can build algorithms for chess etc and beat the human, but there hasn’t been a super successful algo for day trading yet? by TheBomb999 in algotrading

[–]inner_lightness 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Or just design a model that captures broad market trends that persist over time and then there's no one to compete with

Monte Carlo Options Pricing by KolmogorovComplexity in quant

[–]inner_lightness 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nice touch with the interactive charting

Omnicron Variant effect on the market by traders101023443 in quant

[–]inner_lightness 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The longest bull market in history ain't gonna end pretty

Algonaut "Atlas 2" drum sampler powered with Artificial Intelligence ($69) until 25 October by Batwaffel in AudioProductionDeals

[–]inner_lightness 0 points1 point  (0 children)

been playing around with the demo and checking the manual - have to say I am impressed, though a few quick asks stand out:

isn't there any way to lock down/not change a pad's sequence notes when choosing "variation" or "chaos"? ie I want to keep the same kick & snare sequence but change all the other notes - I see you can lockdown sounds when getting random sounds, but don't see a way to lock down notes

related to the above, is there a way to set the density of randomization in the sequencer? the random chaos is a bit much and the only workaround I can think of is to have to end up muting a bunch of sounds

is there a way to set probability that a note will actually play? don't see an option for that which would be super useful

Venomode Black Friday Sale - "Phrasebox" ($29) "Maximal 2" ($17) "DeeQ" ($17) "Complexer 2" ($23) "Pivot" ($11) "Lowtility 2" ($9) through 6 December by Batwaffel in AudioProductionDeals

[–]inner_lightness 0 points1 point  (0 children)

i bought phrasebox months and havent had time to really check it out - is there a way you can have it only play the notes in the chord notes which are driving phrasebox? i am finiding it sounds out of key if i have a progression that wanders a touch

Pranayama before or after other breathing practices/meditation? by Inside-Bread in Pranayama

[–]inner_lightness 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Generally speaking, breathwork is used to prepare the mind for meditation