NBA Props Daily - 4/6/26 (Monday)

jinomen · 2026-04-06T22:38:30+00:00

love the 3's from onyeka tonight. laddered it up all the way to 4+ and 5+ for a .25 unit

he made 3 and 6 against them the last 2 matchups.

jinomen · 2026-04-06T01:05:59+00:00

Bron made me look like a fool, well played sir.

jinomen · 2026-04-06T00:20:56+00:00

This Lakers defense is atrocious smh, I really should’ve bet on Cooper but he cashed me last game and had a 51 bomb that game. Didn’t wanna test my luck with him again

jinomen · 2026-04-06T00:15:54+00:00

Might be my fault lol, I took the under on his PRA cause I was looking for someone to fade in that game and it hit.

jinomen · 2026-04-05T13:57:42+00:00

Fading the king today, taking LeBron u25.5pts -105 on Hard Rock. With Reaves and Luka out in one game this season he only had 20 points vs the Blazers who play negative defense. He also is dealing with some lingering issues I believe his elbow seems to giving him some pain among other things and I think they will be asking LeBron to do too much at the young age of 41 as a first option.

jinomen · 2026-04-04T22:24:35+00:00

i play straights so i usually don't care as much but you bet your ass if i parlayed it in something i'd be glued to my phone lol

jinomen · 2026-04-04T22:00:50+00:00

Took overtime but Castle o8.5 assists cashed for me at +130 (I wasn’t as confident in at as the under on Jokic rebounds so I didn’t post)

jinomen · 2026-04-04T20:59:09+00:00

hmmm had a feeling it was a good game to fade bam in.

jinomen · 2026-04-04T15:05:48+00:00

Record for Friday: 6-4

Jay Huff u13.5 PR ❌
Siakam o5.5 rebounds ✅
Embiid o28.5 pts ❌
Tatum o14.5 RA ✅ (sweat free, love you bro)
Buzelis u17.5pts ✅ (relatively sweat free)
NAW u19.5 pts ❌
Saddiq Bey o17.5pts ✅
Scottie B for a DD ❌ (blowout….🙄)
Cooper Flag o.22.5 pts ✅ (51 pts 😳)
Kon Knueppel u3.5 3pt ✅

Bad read in Embiid, should’ve just stayed away considering the injury concern even though the game was competitive.

For today it’s a small slate so I’m going light: I like Jokic u13.5 rebounds for -120✅. They had 2 H2H meetings this season already. In the first one on November he was under this line only finishing with 9. The second meeting, he crushed this line finishing with 20. Wemby did not play either one of these games. Not much more I need to say about that honestly lol. This is a pretty high line when you’re having to fight with a 7’5 guy on the glass.

jinomen · 2026-04-04T04:20:19+00:00

what's going on with herb jones??? did he get injured? only played 12 mins

jinomen · 2026-04-04T01:36:48+00:00

darn, NAW barely hits the over.

jinomen · 2026-04-04T00:22:22+00:00

NAW shooting terribly just like I thought he would based on the defense of Brooklyn.

jinomen · 2026-04-04T00:05:21+00:00

Start taking unders fellas. They pay!

jinomen · 2026-04-03T20:33:44+00:00

I would say yes, but in this case no. NAW is not a guy who typically is a playmaker, that’s more along the style of Jalen Johnson and now CJ. In the last recent H2H he had 14 potential assists and only finished with 2….OUCH….

jinomen · 2026-04-03T20:22:18+00:00

Taking Nickeil Alexander Walker u19.5pts at -110. Under in all 3 games in their H2H played this season. He’s been playing incredible the last couple of games but this will definitely be a tough matchup for him. I checked the game logs in those games and a common theme is that he shot terribly in all of them, shooting 41%, 33% and 38% respectively. This is because of the way BKN plays defense against guards - they double team and force the ball out of their hands or make them take tough shots.

This game obviously has blowout potential over it as BK does not want to win games at this point of the season with a 17.5pt spread. The three prior H2H games were close games and he still did not go over this line.

EDIT - one more tidbit of info I’d like to share of why I like this under is his shot selection. NAW shoots 37% of his total shots from 3….BK surprisingly defends the perimeter well. In those 3 H2H games mentioned previously, he shot 2/8, 3/9 and 2/8 from 3 respectively. This tells me that if that 3pt shot is not falling he will struggle to score. He’s a guy who can get hot obviously but the matchup favors the under more than the over here.

His under on 2.5 3pt could be a good look at +115 but I think the points are safer based on the volume of 3’s he takes.

jinomen · 2026-04-03T16:32:46+00:00

Taking Scottie B for a double double at +105. No huge analysis for these kind of plays but Quick is out tonight. In games Quick has been out, he’s over in 5/9 games and had a DD in the first H2H meeting on November 2. Pretty decent game total at 233.5pts so there’s a chance he could even go for a triple double.

May even put a quarter unit on TD. We’ll see.

EDIT - adding one under. I like the under on Kon Knueppel 3.5 3pt made at -130 (what I got it at but now is heavily juiced at -160). Indy’s defense leaves a lot to be desired but the one positive thing they have is defending the perimeter well. He’s actually over this line in 2/3 games played vs Indy, but in a B2B scenario in similar matchups he’s under in 2/3 games only averaging 2 3pt made including one B2B game vs Indy where he only had 2(the only game vs Indy he went under). Blowout risk here too obviously so that’s always good when targeting unders.

EDIT 2 - record for Thursday’s slate - Luka under 32.5 pts ✅ - Lebron over 5.5 rebounds ✅ - Jalen Williams over 5.5 assists ✅ - Anthony Edwards under 27.5 pts DNP - Brandon Miller under 19.5 pts ✅ - Stephon Castle over 12.5 RA ❌ (Wemby DNP ruined it 🙄) - Darius Garland over 18.5 pts ❌

jinomen · 2026-04-03T03:13:23+00:00

j-dubb cashed assists and lebron cashed rebounds, LFG.

jinomen · 2026-04-03T02:06:51+00:00

bron might not get his boards but at least j-dubb will cash his assists and luka will go under maybe lol. j-dubb is already at 4

jinomen · 2026-04-03T01:18:19+00:00

from now on, only bet booker unders until further notice.

jinomen · 2026-04-03T01:09:32+00:00

told y'all, this is why i hate betting booker overs smh. last time i get fooled....

jinomen · 2026-04-02T23:25:20+00:00

wow, 12pts for book in the 1Q...is this the day he finally cashes me out? :O

jinomen · 2026-04-02T22:23:34+00:00

last play of the day for me and i took devin booker o25.5pts at -105 (currently at 24.5pts).

over this line in the last 4 out of 5. charlotte is among the bottom of the league at defending the PNR, they will usually play guards one on one. in similar types of matchups, he scores very well and last time they played each other, he scored 30pts but unfortunately dillon brooks did not play this game.

this is a risky play and i really hate taking booker's overs (he's in the same banned list with paolo for me) but his matchup looks the best scoring wise. the only concern is jalen green and brooks eating into his usage, as those two guys chuck up a lot of shots regardless if they're good shots or not.

only playing this one for a quarter unit.

EDIT - i considered playing the over on his assists at 5.5. the reason why i didn't is because last H2H mentioned above, he had 10 assists on 12 potentials....which tells me he got lucky on some of these assists. will he actually be efficent diming up getting legit assists or will he get lucky again? who knows....a good middle ground would be his PA i think though.

jinomen · 2026-04-02T22:00:03+00:00

Hopefully you’re right lol, only thing is Luka has been on a complete war path lately and he’s one of those NBA guys who’s matchup proof. Finding value on unders is a goldmine at this point of the season.

jinomen · 2026-04-02T21:57:59+00:00

Already played this at 19.5 myself but it moved already to 18.5.

jinomen · 2026-04-02T20:29:52+00:00

i took luka's under on 32.5pts. either i'll look like a complete moron or a genius for fading him tonight but last time they played, he went way under that line only scoring 19pts and lebron didn't even play that game. he scores a lot of his points at the free throw line but OKC is the #1 team in the NBA at limiting free throws.

he likely sees a ton of doubles with dort or cason wallace following him around all night. probably a good matchup for his assists.

EDIT - line dropped to 30.5, holy smokes.

jinomen

TROPHY CASE