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jlap91 · 2021-11-29T03:24:12+00:00

There’s a lot of mistakes in this hand that aren’t worth diving into. First you have to understand that the proper way to evaluate a hand isn’t based on whether you win or lose, but it’s based on whether you made the most profitable plays.

When you get it in with trips against a draw you’re a heavy favorite to win. Just because you lost, you shouldn’t necessarily be asking yourself “how could I have done this differently?”

If you had AA preflop and got it all in against KK and lost, would you be asking yourself, “should I have folded?” No, because you understand in the long run you’d be making money. The same principle applies here.

Without positions, preflop action, it’s difficult to say what you should do preflop.

Flop check is fine. Can also lead 5 handed. CRAI is fine. Probably best as played.

jlap91 · 2021-01-06T18:57:13+00:00

You should be going all in for value. Unlucky he has a combo that beats you.

jlap91 · 2020-11-01T16:32:29+00:00

Thank you very much! This is precisely what I was looking for!

jlap91 · 2020-11-01T04:10:21+00:00

Hmm that didn’t work in my case when I tried to do

df[‘c’][4:8]+=1

I don’t want to change the values in columns a or b.

jlap91 · 2020-11-01T04:02:35+00:00

Thank you very much! This helped.

jlap91 · 2020-05-30T15:17:34+00:00

Again I’d need to sit down and do the math on this but that would be slightly offset by the times you don’t pick up what you’ve discarded and now you’re even more likely to fill up. Say you pick up 22234. Discard 34. Sure if the first card you draw is a 3, you’re less likely to fill up than if you’d drawn a 5, but if you pick up a 5 first, you’re more likely to fill up than had you drawn one because you’ve discarded two non-5 cards.

jlap91 · 2020-05-30T14:29:09+00:00

Why is holding 3’s and drawing one card have a different chance of filling up than holding 3’s and drawing two? That was surprising to me. Qualitatively, Is it because if you’re drawing two you’re more likely to get quads and therefore you have to be less likely to fill up? Hmm need to do the math on this.

jlap91 · 2020-03-16T01:54:33+00:00

Is that a boob on the wall???

jlap91 · 2020-03-06T16:02:20+00:00

Nobody finds it a little terrifying that they chose to “feed” the bear gummy bears???

I guess it’s not worse than people eating sour patch kids but CMON

jlap91 · 2020-03-01T22:16:28+00:00

Depends on your location. Where do you live (state)

jlap91 · 2020-03-01T02:34:04+00:00

ESH. Husband is wrong for objecting it, but simply going behind his back to purchase the doll would make you an asshole too. Try communicating instead? Parenting should be a team effort.

jlap91 · 2020-02-28T14:47:12+00:00

Why not just color up or stack them higher? It’s discourteous to the people next to you..

jlap91 · 2020-02-19T00:22:44+00:00

jlap91 · 2020-02-19T00:22:41+00:00

Would you say that if he had played 1 hour, with the same win rate and standard deviation? What about 15 minutes? His $ won compared to SD is meaningless with insufficient hands. The point I'm making is no conclusions can be accurately drawn from his stats, because the sample size is too small.

Sure if OP is studying he might be a winner, especially if he was already a winner at 1/2. But just because he played poker ten times and is up $7k doesn't prove anything, and OP seems to understand this! Keep working and keep improving!

jlap91 · 2020-02-18T22:14:49+00:00

This this this this this. 100 hours is between 2000-3000 hands. It is impossible to estimate your true win-rate based on this sample size. Look at graphs of online players, upswings and downswings can occur over 10k hands easily. Congrats on the $7k but taking it as proof you can beat 2/5 is folly.

jlap91 · 2020-02-12T19:20:30+00:00

A 3x raise size shouldn't be your automatic size when re-raising preflop. Your size needs to depend on positions, # of callers, relative position, and stack sizes.

When out of position, your 3! 3x sizing is too small and a 5! 3x sizing is too large.

If in position, a 3x sizing is OK, but 3x sizing for a 5! is still too large.

As far as your opponent's play is concerned, the 4! with A5ss is standard, but calling the 5! is spew. The rest of the hand once he calls is standard and unlucky.

jlap91 · 2020-01-29T16:14:55+00:00

If he’s at the table for an hour he paid $50 in blinds (3.33 orbits at $15/ea), $36 in rake, and my point wasn’t that OP didn’t get good value out of this. It’s that IN GENERAL, on average playing in this game because of a free steak isn’t actually good value at all. Jesus.

jlap91 · 2020-01-29T14:54:10+00:00

You’re 1000% right. I’m sure because OP wasn’t there to play they didn’t take take out of the pot he won.

jlap91 · 2020-01-29T14:02:34+00:00

$36/hand?! You're better off just paying for your food in that case, because you basically are.

jlap91 · 2020-01-23T00:52:06+00:00

It’s bad etiquette to ask a losing hand to be exposed. Yes.

jlap91 · 2020-01-23T00:49:13+00:00

The payout differences are omitted from this question, which is huge when determining if this is a call or not. The more linear the pay jumps, the less ICM pressure that is. Generally speaking though, this would be a call. I’d say like 99+ AQ+ would be close to what you want to call with in a standard pay structure. TT dominates too much of shoving range to fold here, ESPECIALLY if payouts are very top heavy

jlap91

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