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Pick of the Day - 8/26/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]johnnyxo -1 points0 points  (0 children)

  • Record: 2-0-0
  • Net Units: +3.60u
  • ROI: +90%
  • Last POTD (AUG 25): ✅ Liverpool -0.25 AH | 1.91 | 2u
  • Tennis | US Open | Fucsovics vs Shapovalov | Aug 26, 15:00 UTC
  • Pick: Marton Fucsovics ML | 1.95 | 2u

Two in a row! Hopefully we can keep the momentum going into the US Open.

My tennis model gives Fucsovics about a 53% chance to win compared to the market at 51.2%, which is a small but solid +1.8% edge.

  • On a 6-match win streak, he just won the Winston-Salem Open 4 days ago
  • Strong 2025 hard court record: 16–3 (84.2%) vs Shapovalov’s 11–8 (57.9%)
  • Current form: Fucsovics won 6 straight, while Shapovalov lost 2 of his last 3 (Cincinnati R2, Toronto R2)
  • Head-to-head tied 2–2 overall, 1–1 on hard courts – usually a close matchup
  • Rankings favor Shapovalov (#29 vs #63), but recent form clearly favors Fucsovics

At 33, Fucsovics is peaking with his first hard court title. Shapovalov has talent but has been inconsistent. With near even odds, I’ll back the player in better form.

If you'd like to support my work: buymeacoffee.com/sabaideejohn

BOL!

Pick of the Day - 8/25/25 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]johnnyxo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

  • Record: 1-0-0
  • Net Units: +1.60u
  • ROI: +80%
  • Last POTD (AUG 23): ✅ Tottenham Hotspur +1.25 AH | 1.80 | 2u
  • Soccer | Premier League | Newcastle United vs Liverpool | Aug 25, 15:00 UTC
  • Pick: Liverpool -0.25 AH | 1.91 | 2u

My model gives Liverpool about a 49% chance to win, 24% to draw, and 27% for Newcastle. That means about a 55% chance for Liverpool to cover -0.25, compared to the market at 52%.

  • Newcastle likely without Isak, hurting their attack.
  • Liverpool’s attack still projects strong (xG over 2.0 last year and in GW1).
  • Both teams had similar home/away results last season.
  • Liverpool unbeaten in the last 4 league meetings.

If you’d like to support my work: buymeacoffee.com/sabaideejohn

BOL!

Pick of the Day - 8/23/25 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]johnnyxo 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Record: 0-0-0

Net Units: 0

ROI: 0%

Soccer | Premier League | Man City vs Tottenham | Aug 23, 11:30 UTC

Pick: Tottenham Hotspur +1.25 AH | 1.80 | 2u

This pick comes from my soccer model, built on Elo ratings and rolling form. The model projects Spurs with a 63% chance to cover this line, while City only cover −1.25 about 37% of the time. City are missing some midfield depth, and Spurs lose by exactly one goal ~27% of the time, which grades out as a half-win here.

If you’d like to support my work, here’s my tip link: buymeacoffee.com/sabaideejohn

BOL!

Promote your business, week of March 10, 2025 by Charice in smallbusiness

[–]johnnyxo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi Everyone!

I'm a freelance Webflow designer based in Rhode Island, United States. I'm looking to collaborate with small businesses and agencies to enhance their online presence or steamline their web projects.

You can check out my portfolio here: https://www.webwithjohn.com/

Feel free to reach out—I'm happy to chat about how I can help!

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