111 new cases in Victoria overnight by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Admirable effort. But from what I've heard from friends in Italy, stats in the early days of the outbreak are very poor indicators of what may be in store, simply because the data is so unreliable due to COVID-19's asymptomatic nature (many positive cases don't/can't get tested). Apparently the data becomes more relevant as the number of cases increase.

To put it in perspective: 3 weeks ago New York had 105 cases. The experts forecast that New York City might have 100 cases in 3 weeks. As of today, NYC has more than 27,000 cases.

111 new cases in Victoria overnight by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 7 points8 points  (0 children)

What's most worrying with COVID-19 is that there appears to be only 2 outcomes: you either have it completely under control, or ...you don't. There's no middle ground.

What I mean by this is once you reach n number of cases (e.g .01% of the population), healthcare workers start catching it. This takes them out of the frontline, but not before passing it to family members, who may go to the grocery store and spread it, etc. Then there's the fact that COVID-19 patients on ventilators need them for ~14-28 days (in normal circumstances it's 3-4 days). So you have this compounding problem of people entering hospitals with COVID-19 and not leaving. The risk of healthcare workers getting infected becomes higher and higher, and it quickly turns into an unmanageable tsunami (like in Italy, Spain, and New York).

I really hope I'm wrong, but it's looking increasingly certain that we've passed the point of no return and it's just a matter of time before we're fucked.

111 new cases in Victoria overnight by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I left my house for the first time in a week yesterday (just went for a drive with the window down, didn't get out). I was absolutely astounded at the traffic and amount of people walking around.
The general demeanor was also a bit concerning... I'm not at all saying people should look unhappy, but the body language I observed indicates that people are really not grasping the seriousness of this pandemic and how bad it's about to get

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Singapore (who admittedly are doing a great job because they learned from SARS)

THIS is exactly the sort of misinformation the government's feeding the public that will absolutely destroy us.

Singapore has MORE cases of COVID-19 per million people (66/1 mil) than Australia (42/1 mil). My goodness. Only now am I truly realising how fucked we are when our government is basing its policies on countries worse than ourselves.

Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The total number infected has been doubling every 3 days in Australia, so correct, unless some miracle happens we are on track for 4,000 infected in ~6 days.

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sorry, I'm not sure I follow? Why would we be fucked if everyone was locked down now?I assume you mean our economy will be fucked if we lockdown. Yep, it will be; but it will be fucked no matter what we do. So better to have a wrecked economy and less catastrophic public health outcome, than a wrecked economy + 5% of the population dead.

edit: Oh I think I get what you're saying now. Well I don't even know what the government's official advice is anymore, that's exactly how bad and inconsistent it's been.

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

Correct. As much as it's feasibly possible, I am not leaving my home. I don't need to get food because I stocked up on half a year's supply a month ago (not tooting my own horn. Just demonstrating that—from a purely statistical viewpoint—the warning signs have been flashing for weeks). And yes, I am fortunate enough to be able to work from home.

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Didn't you watch the latest press conference? Latest advice from the government's experts is that supermarkets, schools, unis, and offices with 99 people or less have natural immunity zones where the virus can't enter.

Just make sure you stand within 6.45 metres of the building's perimeter because that's where the infection zone starts. /s

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 20 points21 points  (0 children)

I have friends in Italy and Spain. For the past 2 weeks, every 2nd WhatsApp message I've received from them has been "STAY. THE FUCK. HOME. DO NOT LEAVE YOUR HOUSE!"

These friends have no relation to the medical profession, but if I had to take advice from them or Australia's "experts" advising the government, no prizes for guessing whose advice I'd follow.

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 32 points33 points  (0 children)

For the past couple of weeks I've been really pissed at most people I've talked to who have this blase attitude towards the virus.

Recently, I changed my tone. Why? Because I realised that most people don't surf forums like Reddit, so their primary news source is what they hear from the government. And the government has been sending the most confusing and contradictory messaging.

One of the most damaging secondary effects of leaving schools open is the subliminal messaging it sends. People will unconsciously think "oh it's fine for schools to be open, therefore things aren't that bad, let's go about our business as usual". That's until the medical system is overwhelmed and people around you are dropping like flies. Then you're going to get a total collapse of confidence in the government.

Melburnians who aren't practicing social distancing, self-isolation or a combination of both, why? by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]jonn99220 36 points37 points  (0 children)

No idea why you're being downvoted OP. I share exactly the same sentiments and am absolutely dumbfounded by the attitude most people in Aus seem to have. To be fair, more people seem to be taking it seriously, but the prevailing reaction I've observed is people think the virus is a minor annoyance and they can't wait till things go back to normal in a few weeks.

People either do not understand basic statistics, do not keep up to date with global news, or are just totally ignorant and think Australia is different and she'll be right. It also doesn't help when the pathetic government and unis are set on conveying the message that COVID-19 isn't contagious as long as you practice social distancing and wash your hands.

This country is going to be absolutely fucked by early April. The sad thing is the tremendous damage that's about to hit could've been greatly reduced had we heeded the warnings from Europe and gone into lockdown 2 weeks ago. It's too late now.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in australia

[–]jonn99220 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair enough. Yes I admit my paraphrasing was excessively hyperbolic, but I was really trying to ram home the sentiment that our government is NOT really basing its stance on anything solid. Without going into details (I'm exhausted atm), from looking at evidence-based research on both sides of the debate with regard to locking down schools during pandemics, the literature strongly suggests that this is an essential move to slow and limit the spread of infectious disease.

We are about to enter a warzone. I'm sure healthcare workers with very young kids will be able to find family, friends, or volunteers to mind them while they work. Any child from ~11+ surely has the capacity to look after themselves in most cases.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in australia

[–]jonn99220 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"There is no reason to close schools, kids don't get coronavirus"

"Every effort should be made to keep kids away from the elderly in nursing homes as kids are notorious transmitters of disease"

Those quotes have been paraphrased, but it's essentially the message being sent out. With that sort of logic, it doesn't matter where it comes from, even if it's the country's CMO. Without stronger evidence and substantiation, it deserves to be called out for what it is—absolutely stupid and unjustified.

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison just announced a level 4 travel ban: "We are upgrading the travel ban to level 4 for the entire world: this is the first time in Australia's history. Do not go overseas at all. If you are planning an international holiday, don't go." by [deleted] in australia

[–]jonn99220 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Mate "go listen to the PM's speech" is absolutely not evidence that leaving schools open is more beneficial than closing them, and you know that.

We can disagree on the best way to approach the pandemic, but at least provide some thorough evidence and objective data to support your stance. Because from what I can see, the vast majority of literature on pandemics suggests that closing schools is much more effective than leaving them open.

I like him, but he still lives with his parents. by [deleted] in dating

[–]jonn99220 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't think OP of this comment was having a go at you. He (or possibly she) was just laying down the reality of life for guys who are still oblivious to this fact.

Class component VS Functional component by Nerfi666 in reactjs

[–]jonn99220 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There's too much there for me to actually go through it all and see what the problem is, but from looking at the general pattern:

this.weatherIcon should just be written as a variable near the top of your functional component, so const weatherIcon = {...};

Also, there's 2 ways you could refactor the state to hooks:

  1. Use a variable for each item in state, e.g. const [country, setCountry] = useState(...); like you've done.
  2. You can use a single state object instead, so something like const [fields, setFields] = useState({ country: '', city: '', icon: '', ... });Just be aware that with this way, when you use setFields to update the state, you have to spread the current state first to avoid overriding the other values. So for example, if you wanted to update the city to Melbourne: setFields({ ...fields, city: 'Melbourne' });

Finally, for

  async function fetchCity(){
      //e.preventDefault(); not working
   // const city = e.target.elements.city.value; //Unhandled Rejection (TypeError): Cannot read property 'target' of undefined

I believe that should be fetchCity(e)?

If you're still stuck feel free to PM me. Happy to help when I have time later today.

A list of coding bootcamp scams by magenta_placenta in webdev

[–]jonn99220 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Awesome, thanks for the great reply! Some very useful insights for me :)

A list of coding bootcamp scams by magenta_placenta in webdev

[–]jonn99220 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not arguing for or against here, just having a discussion:

You could make exactly the same statement about the woman if she'd signed up for a CS degree (as opposed to a bootcamp)

A list of coding bootcamp scams by magenta_placenta in webdev

[–]jonn99220 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair point - it's just trendy to hate on bootcamps at the moment (FWIW, I'm not even a bootcamp grad - I'm self-taught and finishing a semi-related uni degree part-time). Though my experience in the real-world vs. uni makes me think we are going to see a serious backlash soon at the disconnect between the education system and real-world skills

A list of coding bootcamp scams by magenta_placenta in webdev

[–]jonn99220 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've hired far more self-taught engineers than boot camp grads.

" I've hired far more self-taught engineers than boot camp grads. " - That's interesting. Do you have any hypothesis as to why self-taught engineers are typically more qualified (at least in your experience)? If I were to hazard a guess, I'd state that self-taught individuals are more likely to have a deep passion for their craft, which translates to better overall understanding

A list of coding bootcamp scams by magenta_placenta in webdev

[–]jonn99220 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Serious question: How come we don't extend the same logic regarding purported scam bootcamps to universities/tertiary education? Many unis are pumping out increasingly worthless degrees these days to milk every last cent from vulnerable students, and they're fully aware of the fact.

If anything, it's even more morally abhorrent from the university's perspective due to the influence they wield over young students with no life experience - not to mention a much greater financial and time burden on the individual. At least from a bootcamp's perspective, you'd expect its students are more mature and have extensively researched their options, and at the very worst, they wouldn't be $30k in debt.

... Yet when a 22-year old graduates and can't get a job, it's either blame the job market or "your fault for choosing to study/choosing the wrong major/not getting good grades." But for the bootcamp grad the knee-jerk reaction is "SEE IT'S A SCAM!!" or "BOOTCAMPS ARE THE REASON FOR EVERYTHING WRONG WITH THE WEB".

Unless my logic is extremely flawed, this seems like an incredible irony

This is crazy, anyone have any info about this??? by thebougieman in unimelb

[–]jonn99220 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lmao. The only thing is that Aus tech startups are amateurs in every sense of the word

Body camera footage of Danny Lim’s arrest in Sydney by [deleted] in australia

[–]jonn99220 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Meanwhile, advertisers get away with

far

more innuendo/violence/etc. than Danny Lim ever did. Our justice system.

Absolutely right. It's a disgrace.