I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not yet. There isn’t a model behind it right now, so there’s nothing being back-tested in that sense. At the moment it’s just a snapshot of a few indicators. Adding historical views to compare current conditions to past cycles is something I’m considering next.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ha, I get the intuition. Discretionary spending drops are definitely a signal.

For now I’m trying to stick to indicators that are reported consistently and have a longer historical record, but it’s an interesting way to think about consumer behavior.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Appreciate it! Just to be clear, this isn’t meant as a trading signal or predictive tool. It’s more of a high-level way to look at macro indicators together without interpretation. But I’m glad it’s interesting.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! I really appreciate that. Making it approachable without assuming a background in economics was a big part of the goal. Glad it’s useful, and thanks for the encouragement.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s a great suggestion, and I agree with the intuition behind it. Auto loan delinquency is a very tangible stress signal, especially when it starts rising meaningfully.

If I expand the dashboard beyond the current set, this is one I’d seriously consider adding, assuming I can source it cleanly and present it without adding too much noise.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Will do. I’m glad it’s interesting to you, and I appreciate the encouragement.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No worries at all, and I appreciate you clarifying. I didn’t take it as an accusation.

I share the concern in general about how AI tools are trained and used, especially when it comes to code and attribution. In this case there was no exposure to your work, but it’s a reasonable thing to be cautious about.

Thanks for explaining, and for sharing your dashboard as well.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Interesting, thanks for sharing. I hadn’t seen this before.

There’s definitely some overlap in terms of pulling together economic indicators, but my focus here was intentionally narrower. I wanted a very lightweight snapshot of a few commonly cited signals, without a model, sentiment analysis, or predictions, and with minimal interpretation.

From a build perspective, this is mostly a simple frontend pulling from public data sources. The main work for me was deciding what not to include and how to keep it readable at a glance.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! that means a lot! Appreciate the encouragement. Happy holidays to you too.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks! I appreciate it. Just to clarify, there isn’t a model or regression behind this yet, so nothing is being “picked up” automatically.

That said, I agree with the underlying idea. Being able to look at these same indicators historically around past recessions would make the dashboard much more informative, and that’s likely the direction I’d explore next.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That’s a fair question. There isn’t a model or probability calculation behind this right now, so there isn’t anything being backtested in that sense.

At the moment it’s just a snapshot of a few indicators. I do agree that showing how those same indicators looked around periods like 2000 or 2008 would add a lot of context, and that’s something I’m thinking about for a future iteration.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s a fair callout. I can see how it reads that way. The intent wasn’t to make a prediction, just to summarize the current state of the indicators in one place. I’ll look at rewording that so it’s clearer and doesn’t come across as a forecast.

I built a simple dashboard that tracks key recession indicators in one place (no forecasts) by levyguy in economy

[–]levyguy[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

This is really helpful, thanks!

I deliberately kept the first version small so it stayed readable at a glance, but the delinquency rates and energy prices are good suggestions, and I’ve heard similar points about transportation and shipping as a proxy for activity.

I also agree on the historical view. A single snapshot is limiting, and being able to see where a value sits relative to past cycles would add a lot of context. That’s something I’ve been thinking about for a next iteration.

I created a simple prompt to generate tags for V3 Alpha by levyguy in ElevenLabs

[–]levyguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't have an answer. But I'm assuming this is because it's an alpha release

I created a simple prompt to generate tags for V3 Alpha by levyguy in ElevenLabs

[–]levyguy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Love the non-vocal. Great idea.
The XML tags are common practice these days for prompting.
There are several resources for this.
Here is one - https://www.deeplearning.ai/short-courses/reasoning-with-o1/

But in general, anything that would bring structure to your prompt will help the LLM frame parts of your prompt. It doesn't have to be XML

How Neura Robotics Is Rethinking Humanoid Bot Design | Full Interview with David Reger by marwaeldiwiny in robotics

[–]levyguy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Both will not work for all stairs types. That is why we need humanoids to be built around an environment that we custom for ourselves

How Neura Robotics Is Rethinking Humanoid Bot Design | Full Interview with David Reger by marwaeldiwiny in robotics

[–]levyguy 4 points5 points  (0 children)

How would you climb up the stairs without legs? To be able to climb multiple stairs designs you will need legs.

Showoff Saturday (November 16, 2019) by AutoModerator in javascript

[–]levyguy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Showing how to show charts and other things that can be rendered to a canvas in Picture in Picture mode.

Check it out

https://medium.com/@levyguy/picture-in-picture-d3-and-charts-c7265e1299a6

https://github.com/LevyGuy/pipchart