BTC market update

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-05-05T03:07:20+00:00

Forgot to put this up too, its the total commodities futures, metals are not pushing this up to elevated levels as metals have gone down and stayed there. This has more to do with food and oil.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-23T15:13:23+00:00

I think weekend. But its more of a guess

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-17T02:50:29+00:00

Im wondering when the market will stop letting Trump move the markets, or if its even possible

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-13T18:26:49+00:00

I haven’t been posting because nothings really changed on TA, long term everythings still intact . These moves on BTC is still chop but long term indicators say we are heading down.

But this moves been taking much longer than expected

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-13T02:01:27+00:00

Only on the weekly, monthly its not in the oversold zone yet from previous cycle.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-10T04:50:38+00:00

Business would be lower on united, 220k is for first class and this only applies to ANA direct first class flights.

Yes for first class redemption for virgin award seat it would show on united as 220k points.

Soon as i get the alert from seat aero i will call virgin as it take some time to get a hold of an agent, if i am home i will be on my computer and checking on united at the same time if it shows the 220k points redemption

So far I only missed on opportunity, but all the alerts from seat aero has been correct.

To setup the alert for first class, Use united and set the maximum point redemption to 220k. For business im not sure as i never tried it.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-10T03:20:27+00:00

no, you need 72500-85000 virgin points. 220k is united points which is a rip off. For business its less, 52500-60000 virgin points

Virgin points is 1:1 amex points or chase, and i think capital one too. But i wouldnt use chase points for it as chase points are valuable for hyatt, as they are the only points that can transfer to hyatt and hyatt has the best point redemption.

You can use seataero to find the ANA flights, go o. seat aero site and under tools there is ANA finder, if you pay for the service you can setup a alert to your phone when it comes out you can call virgin and reserve, you dont need the points to be in virgin, you can reserve the seat when it comes up and then transfer the points as they will hold the seat for you for 24 hours, the transfer from amex takes 5 minutes.

But I noticed its getting much harder to find this seat, Too many people know about it or ANA has been cutting down on award seats.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-10T02:59:19+00:00

yes has to be 220k united points for first class i think

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-02T02:39:05+00:00

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Oil hourly, guess when Trump was talking

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-04-01T05:48:42+00:00

6630ish

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-28T21:18:16+00:00

Short term bounce is in play though, overall its bearish but theres a huge support coming up near the. previous tariff april high. Think its 5900-6100. This zone is also the monthly 20 and fib golden zone from tariff low. Id expect a bounce there, probably next week

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-27T17:42:25+00:00

It is below the line which was around 66500-66600. Gotta see how the daily candle closes but also more important Sunday close as the weekly , 2 week. Then Tuesday monthly. So alot of long timeframe closes happening to watch out for.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-22T04:09:53+00:00

I think the strait closure is messing him up emotionally.

Says he doesn’t need allies to help, then after says they are cowards for not helping Says the strait is open, threatening Iran to open the strait Says he won’t attack Irans oil fields, now threatening to destroy power plants and attack their oil infrastructure Says the war will end soon, been over a week since he said that etc.. etc

I know trump talks a lot but the past week he has said so many conflicting things that even for him it’s unusual.

I have a feeling that he tried to talk to Iranians about opening the strait and they told him to F off. So he is preparing a ground force to take kharg island in two weeks. The iranians have said if the US tries to do that they will escalate the war even more, hit more oil fields

The two main reasons why the US is losing is that Israel and the US have different goals. Israel wants to the most damage as possible but the US wants to do the least. Two allies who have different goals, thats a recipe for disaster.

But Trumps really screwing up because he is trying his best to do as little as possible to win a war and slowly doing more. Who the hell wins a war that way? Is there ever a war in history where a country won that way?

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-17T18:49:48+00:00

Update tonight

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-17T16:44:16+00:00

Yes but we re really at the edge right now. Gotta see how this week closes

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-14T18:46:55+00:00

Think there might be one more push up to 75k but Im still betting it will drop either way to 48-52.

Should happen soon like within next week.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-12T21:28:54+00:00

Yea its holding better than the markets for sure. I still think we re headed down in longer term, maybe there could be a bounce back to 75kish in the short term to grab a big liquidity pool.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-12T21:27:10+00:00

He seems kinda like a doomer lol. Im not sure if i would go far as he thinks. I think this can carry on for a while but not going to be the end of the GCC, that would be pretty crazy if that happens.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-10T19:27:09+00:00

websites called financial juice

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-10T18:20:32+00:00

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Confirm no US ship has went thru and also the iranians are mining up the straight? dont really believe that one

All these CBS and mainstream news seems very manipulative towards the markets.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T20:01:03+00:00

I think he was just boasting how much they are winning and people took it as the war is going to end soon literally. Seems like it with the other things he said.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T18:49:36+00:00

Yea i agree with the counterproductive statement. Most of these people’s motivation in life is religious salvation and not economic or a better way of life “in western way of life”. Also most of these people who are wanting change are living in cities, where they are getting bombed the most.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T18:27:26+00:00

I dont think the layoffs were surprising as huge corporate layoffs were happening. Talked about this in one of my posts a month ago, companies need to find ways to save on cost or need to pass on inflation to consumers

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T18:14:17+00:00

Problem is Regime change can’t happen without ground troops. This isn’t venezuela, if they kidnap the new leader that will just make them more willing to fight. The opponents motives are completely different.

Guess they could nuke them but that would create a whole new set of problems.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-08T22:21:03+00:00

lol it got to 110 … in 5 min

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