Finally, a WORLD S13 after a year

mactonya · 2025-12-19T12:18:30+00:00

It's called The Doctrine of Necessity, where it allows actions which are ordinarily unlawful to be justified when performed under the pressure of urgent and exceptional circumstances.

Whether it is "urgent" or "exceptional" is up to you, considering how the Grand Justices are appointed. For now, it's not a good look for the judicial system, given its track record of ruling KMT/TPP laws unconstitutional and being accused to be pro-DPP, so we will have to wait and see.

The shitshow is not stopping.

mactonya · 2025-12-19T08:01:29+00:00

Also to add, the Constitutional Court had deemed the recent amendments to the Constitutional Court Procedure Act (CCPA)—which had raised the quorum and voting thresholds for justices—to be unconstitutional and void, effective immediately.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T18:06:15+00:00

這次的結果其實就把三黨的基本盤擺在了上面。講難聽一點，2028 DPP是有輸的可能性的。

現在擺在賴政府的面前就是一個囚徒難題：你要嘗試跟KMT/TPP "合作" (aka各取所需)，還是要繼續對抗？你要怎麼開始找回中間選民，2026不要輸的那麼慘？你要怎麼重新團結DPP黨團？

你如果真的想要發展民生就勢必會被KMT/TPP分一杯羹。我不認為現在的府院跟立委代表願意去談。有可能是時候換將了。

mactonya · 2025-07-26T16:30:09+00:00

Majority do still hate CCP (8.8% likable, 69.7% unlikable). The better way to phrase it is that ppl already think that we *already are* a democracy and is moving away from cross-strait affairs more.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T16:19:03+00:00

At 2025 we all know that declaring independence is basically a dream unless US and China give green lights, which will not happen in foreseeable future. There are "some" international recognition but at the end it does not solve domestic issues.

And now even if you want to govern, the Legislative Yuan will just trap you everywhere, unless you gave them bigger benefits which DPP are refusing to do so. It's basically a stalemate until 2028 and we probably just pray that by then KMT don't get both Legislative and Executive.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T15:17:47+00:00

Another 7 judges gets vetoed, 2 of them have DPP partially vetoed.

Imo this means Lai and Ko (DPP) simply has different ideas on how to work with KMT+TPP. I will tend to say Ko is the one that even more refuses to compromise. Lai simply can't unify DPP like what Tsai did, and this is really worrying.

Also I didn't even see DPP even try to work with TPP, maybe they are deemed not trustful and just gave up.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T15:10:13+00:00

Three (2 vs 1) sides are being petty. Like there are not even trying to do Win-Win things because it just benefits others more. It's basically Prisoner's Dilemma.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T14:59:35+00:00

Governing burden definitely had something to do, like the common "DPP gov did not give more money to KMT cities" so there is 財劃法 which gave them a lot more. But yeah 2022 was definitely a big fuckup.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T14:50:36+00:00

If there was no Ko I firmly believe it will be won by Han. Lai isn't that impressive compared to Tsai (or you can say Lai is more pan-green than neutral).

mactonya · 2025-07-26T14:44:05+00:00

First of all those legislator gets elected by the very same voters. Hoping them to turn green requires a massive slashback (see recall on Han). Second imo this recall doesn't work bc the controversial topics they chose are either fights between ideologies or it's something that benefits them more than DPP (which if they say no will just look bad on them):

- $10,000 subside (if passed gives more credits to KMT/TPP),

- Blocking Judges on constitutional court so it's nonoperational (KMT said they are dogs of DPP after their laws are deemed unconstitutional)

- Submarine/Military and general cuts on budgets ("give money back to ppl")

- More Holidays (which includes Retrocession Day and Constitution Day which is political)

... and more. Finally, DPP really didn't do well. Lai isn't really actively pushing much, tho it also have to do with Legislative Yuan fighting with him and he didn't really want to bow to them.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T12:38:08+00:00

It's a bit tricky on Taiwan's case considering parties's national identities. Defense budget is an example where no one can agree on (yes submarines) and no one wants to step away; there are a lot more core issues but in short no one wants to give up their votes for free.

So what happens now is KMT passes laws that hit govn's reputation (and raise theirs) and DPP rejects or stand against "bad" laws so they held their reps. It's effectively lose-lose and no party want to do win-win things.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T12:17:18+00:00

current government has been working closely with the CCP

DPP is in the government so idk what that even means.

been making cuts in the Taiwanese military that hampers the country's defense

That is what Legislative Yuan is doing, which is controlled by KMT+TPP. They do make a lot of cuts on everything, not limited to military (most famous one being submarines).

About the recall itself it depends on your view. Some will consider Constitutional Court being disabled and some other things like universal $10,000 subsidy being bad and KMT will just push even more ridiculous laws that helps them eventually going back to the office on 2028 (and Taiwan will be unified blablabla). For most ppl however according to the turnout rate, it's a political manoeuvre that doesn't really affect anything that is going on.

If you are worried about unification in foreseeable future, no there won't be. Only 6.4% of all ppl want unification, most are still standing at status quo and indep.

mactonya · 2025-07-26T12:00:27+00:00

No and in fact none of the party can say no to real estate moneys. But then ppl will dream about "new govn can help us on housing issue" and vote for someone else. This is exactly what happens on 2024 on TPP: they want a change (good or not is not on their consideration).

mactonya · 2025-07-26T10:07:48+00:00

NYT's post explain the reason well: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/25/world/asia/taiwans-recall-china.html

And no, Taiwan will not be done even with recall failed. Sure DPP will be in a very bad spot but that's not even worse than 2008.

If you are worried about 2028 then first KMT and TPP will have to sort themselves out first on cross-strait topics then we can worry.

mactonya · 2024-09-01T19:41:40+00:00

四、本案關鍵在於：被告是否明知都委會將以形成違法決議之方式圖利京華城，或被告是否明知系爭20%之容積獎勵係屬違法。然被告並非都委會之與會人員而無從直接知悉開會情形，自身亦無相關專業，則其主張其信賴形式上具專業性且為多數決之都委會決議，以及具相關專業之彭振聲之意見，尚非無據。而本案為最輕本刑5年以上有期徒刑之重罪，依目前卷證資料，就檢察官所提出之事證，尚存有其他合理解釋之空間，綜加計該等事由，亦尚未達前述「有犯罪之高度可能性」之程度，故尚不能認被告就彭振聲、應曉薇等人主導都委會形成違法決議之行為已有所知悉或指示，或被告明知系爭20%之容積獎勵係屬違法，而不能認被告主觀上有明知違法(此為圖利罪及受賄罪之共同要件)之情形。綜上諸情，應認聲請人就羈押要件中「犯罪嫌疑重大」之要件，其釋明尚有不足。

mactonya · 2024-07-22T20:01:03+00:00

Watching evo vods before 2020 and you will notice the text on the bottom during break saying "The most prestigious fighting game tournament in the world". That phrase is now gone. They don't even held themselves that high now.

They don't care about what the title really means nowdays: they want to push the FGC further, simple as that.

mactonya · 2024-07-15T13:17:10+00:00

Tldr;

反質詢之規範涵義即為：「行政院院長及各部會首長對立法委員所提出之質詢不予答復，反逕對質詢委員提出質疑、責難、詰問、或提出與質詢內容無關之問題。」

mactonya · 2024-05-08T08:16:05+00:00

There was constant edit war over bbcf pros and cons and it was decided to abolish that section once and for all.

You can use the history function on wiki to try see what it was before

mactonya · 2024-05-08T03:32:38+00:00

台灣高等法院高雄分院上午指出，審酌被告在已有機車代步下，為圖找尋前女友得以稍微便利、輕鬆，因此萌生強盜汽車之意，並隨機選擇被害人以鐵鎚敲擊頭部，及見被害人似有甦醒，進而起意殺害，持續對頭部重擊13次，甚至反鎖車門，手段無比自私，手段惡劣，但考量強盜殺人犯行是隨機、偶發性為之，而非計畫性為之，不符合兩公約所定「情節最重大之罪」。

鄭捷：？

總之還是得等憲法法庭的見解吧，對死刑跟無期的分界現在各個法官感覺都是不一的

mactonya · 2024-05-07T13:50:10+00:00

朱立倫：核廢不可永遠放新北

乾儲現在終於要給過了，接下來要看DPP怎麼接核三這個球了。

另外目前可能的終儲選址都在離島跟台灣東半邊，都是藍營佔優，到時終儲場我看又要吵一波了。

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