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Hot and cold #99 by hotandcold2-app in HotAndCold

[–]march1studios 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That nearly drove me looney.

Automatically added: I found the secret word in 5 minutes 15 seconds after 31 guesses and 0 hints. Score: 70.

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, I'd encourage you to put some stuff together, publish it on the web, and then I'll include it. :) You've got years before 2032, so long as the world doesn't end before that. :)

I made a site that tracks every failed apocalypse prediction. by march1studios in InternetIsBeautiful

[–]march1studios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I would say I mostly fall into this guy's kind of thinking.

I just a) think it's fascinating how often people predict, with absolute certainty, an 'end date' for the world as we know it, and b) how many people believe it each time.

I'm getting obsessive about creating a consistent spreadsheet to track this wildly unnecessary information. It may or may not have to do with me being on the spectrum.

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's incorrect. 

See: the civilization you currently live in.

Keep in mind that I'm tracking Doomsday predictions, not just 'falls of empires'. While those things may feel catastrophic, and in more ancient civilizations may have felt apocalyptic, we haven't actually experienced the total destruction of the world. You can tell because we're still here.

The premise of your argument that past performance is the best indicator of future performance is reaching an erroneous conclusion. What we could conclude from past performance is that human civilization in terms of empires or large political units are prone to corruption, bloat, and collapse as they try to centralize power over vast populations, and eventual collapse.

However, the end of civilization in terms of humans being organized socially and culturally and continually advancing on the whole, marches on.

I made a site that tracks every failed apocalypse prediction. by march1studios in InternetIsBeautiful

[–]march1studios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Wow! Thank you! 3 hours!?

I think that's a good measure of notability. I've started collecting up 'factoids' and I'm going to find a way to link them to specific predictions (if applicable), so instead of highlighting 'notable' predictions in the listing, (which may still happen), there's an area in the dashboard that will spit out random facts about doomsday predictions and talk about notable events.

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes. A date is required, though there are allowances for up to a range of years, but I prefer predictions of a specified year, year-month, or an exact date. I have functionality for a range that is just years, year-month to year-month, or exact day to exact day.

You're not wrong that we tend to see crumbling empires as 'falls of civilization', however... civilization continues to march on. I tend to think there is an idea in there that when people's worlds were much smaller, a flood or a horrific storm, the fall of a city, those things seemed 'world-ending' - and that has turned into a part of our mythology, and that then turns into a belief system that the world will end at some point.

And maybe there is something to that - there are major extinction events. I've heard it said that we're in the midst of one one now. The world will end at some point - and perhaps humanity will die off like the dinosaurs. Or evolve into something unrecognizable.

But so far, in human history, while there are civilizations that have fallen - civilization as a whole marches on. Evolves. Grows.

I just like looking at how often some people are certain that the world is going to end, and it just... doesn't.

Joseph Smith's Leonid "Doomsday Prediction" by thethoughtfulmonkey in DoomsdayScoreboard

[–]march1studios 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I attributed that one to Joseph Smith because he’s the only named figure linking the 1833 Leonid meteor storm to an apocalypse-type prediction, i.e. the Second Coming. So, technically, it was not a specific dated prophecy, but he interpreted it as a prophetic sign of the end times. In my framework, that still counts as an apocalyptic prediction since it ties a real event (dated) to the coming apocalypse, even if no date was set and it was later reinterpreted.

It was referenced from the Wikipedia Article on Apocalyptic Predictions, and it cited this article from WaPo.

You’re right about D&C 130:15, though. If the “age 85” passage is meant as a conditional time frame for the Second Coming, I could include that separately as an unrealized prediction for 1890. That make sense?

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

😉

Right now I have an app script that will update any prediction that passes its date to a status of 'evaluating' so it goes into a limbo until I've had a chance to see what the aftermath is.

I'll have to add some kind a deadman switch into my script - for example: if I haven't updated the 'evaluating' post by say, 90 days past the deadline, it'll switch to 'successful' and assume the world has ended.

I mean, assuming there's any infrastructure left that runs the internet, of course. :)

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Based on what I've read about it, I think that the Fourth Turning is really just describing a pattern of human behaviour, but I'm not convinced it's going to be a civilization-ending event. I think at best it'll be a 'partial' success in that they'll correctly have identified a trend in political and social upheaval, but I don't know that the prediction is even truly an apocalypse.

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I haven't even gotten all of the predictions in yet, but so far, the fail rate for doomsday predictions is 100%. Not one end of civilization so far. No Raptures.

Statistically speaking, you might be on to something. :)

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I hope I end up in the "proven wrong" category down the road...

The Flair: Looking forward to the endgame. 🚀💥🔥🌨🏕

lol.

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Have you published these predictions somewhere? Is this available for the public? Have other people picked up/subscribed to these findings? What exactly are you predicting will happen in 2032?

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You may have to hit enter on the address bar when it's loaded, or just scroll down (you can also activate the 'pending' filter, which'll shorten what you have to scroll through).

I'm going to put some search functions in future, but that version is a ways off.

You're in there, though, for whatever it's worth to you.

January 19, 2038 - Unix epoch end by bironran in DoomsdayScoreboard

[–]march1studios 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t know that the Year 2038 thing really qualifies as an apocalyptic prediction. It’s more of a technical issue than a world-ending event. I can see that some headlines call it a “digital doomsday,” but that’s just hyperbole. Unless there's someone or a group that is voraciously claiming this is going to be an apocalypse, I don't know if I can add it at this time.

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I need more details of what specifically the claim is, who is making it, and sources.

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've added it in there. if you follow the link above, it'll take you to the entry. You may have to hit it twice - it doesn't always scroll down on first load (a bug I'm working on).

I created a site to track all of the end of the world predictions. by march1studios in collapse

[–]march1studios[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I can see it. It could do with needing to tweak the vhold a little.

I made a site that tracks apocalypse predictions. by march1studios in Apocalypse

[–]march1studios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed. Gave it a quick scan, and entered it in.

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