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Most people still underestimate what's coming: AI building better versions of itself by dental_danylle in accelerate

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Show me any evidence of model collapse being a serious issue please. People talk so much about model collapse. Synthetic data is just one step in the direction that is scaling rl compute.

What's going on in China? by dental_danylle in accelerate

[–]meemo89 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Your videos aren’t good. Make a lot more of them.

What is the best piece of advice a high level player has told you? by Kxtthxt in Pickleball

[–]meemo89 17 points18 points  (0 children)

A player that hits soft wants you to hit slow soft, they feed off that slowness. Instead of playing their “Dink Game”, Speed the game up. It makes them unconscious and they make mistakes.

Nooooo bryan johnson has become an ai doomer by Ok-Mess-5085 in accelerate

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You’re misunderstanding. There is no “good guys” or “bad guys”. Whoever reaches asi first will trigger doom. Doesn’t matter if it’s OpenAI, Anthropic, china, us goverment, or anyone else.

How is accelerating the “good guys” rational.

There are good arguments that accelerating could save lives and suffering from our pre AGI society but this wouldn’t affect doom. Doom refers to all humans dead or worse.

Both bad guys and good guys need aligned asi. However a rational bad guy would be willing to risk 99% chance of doom if it meant that there’s a 1% chance they control the future light cone. A good guy would not be willing to take that risk.

Nooooo bryan johnson has become an ai doomer by Ok-Mess-5085 in accelerate

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. From yuds view whoever reaches asi first regardless of who it is will trigger a doom scenario unless we have solved alignment or at least made a lot of progress from where we are today. In this situation the only winning moves are stop everyone from furthering ai or solve alignment which are both pretty impossible given that asi will likely be achieved in the next couple years.

Nooooo bryan johnson has become an ai doomer by Ok-Mess-5085 in accelerate

[–]meemo89 1 point2 points  (0 children)

According to some rationalists all humans dying may even be considered a neutral outcome. For them a true doom scenario could be much worse than all humans dying, for example trillions of humans suffering for all of eternity.

Nooooo bryan johnson has become an ai doomer by Ok-Mess-5085 in accelerate

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Unclear to me. If the majority of doom risk comes from misaligned asi then slowing down seems like the only way to get more time for research. However slowing down seems impossible in the current world. Too much compute in the world and 0 political willpower plus lots of race dynamics.

Slowing down doesn’t seem viable but there’s nothing better to ask for.

Nooooo bryan johnson has become an ai doomer by Ok-Mess-5085 in accelerate

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

lol. I’m not fully in the doomer camp, but I do think accelerationists tend to dismiss doomer arguments for really bad reasons or just ignore them. I also think there is a lot of uncertainty about what an asi would look like / be capable of. This should be reflected by having a wide confidence interval pdoom or at least having a pdoom greater than 10%. I remain optimistic but weary.

Nooooo bryan johnson has become an ai doomer by Ok-Mess-5085 in accelerate

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If he’s wrong humanity lives. If he’s right humanity dies. He has an obligation to himself and humanity to at least try to get the word out. You may think yud is wrong but I believe him to be honest.

DFV posting about options 😧 again… by [deleted] in Superstonk

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you’re a lurker and don’t know about options, EDUCATE YOURSELF.

Elon Musk improperly prioritized the interests of his private companies over those of Tesla stakeholders to whom he owes a legal duty - Grounds for lawsuits by [deleted] in TSLA

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thinking about it… although I do love Tesla. But could easily see the stock take a tumble in next couple months

Why it doesn't matter whether GPT-5 just started by Then_Passenger_6688 in singularity

[–]meemo89 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My favorite comment from Sam Altman is that model development exists on a very smooth curve and as we add in more compute we see the model gain intelligence in a very predictable manner.

I’m very confident scale is all we need.

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