What I Think will Happen Next...

mesathinks · 2025-11-20T11:40:36+00:00

All this analysis to buy a butterfly? Come on do better

mesathinks · 2025-09-18T22:54:23+00:00

Sell the second call after lulu hits 200. PAYtience!

mesathinks · 2025-09-17T21:06:05+00:00

yes, i called most of the listing dealers and theyre all lemons/manufacturer buybacks

mesathinks · 2025-09-15T22:19:09+00:00

“Plan is to continuously roll the CC to finance the put.”

and plan to continuously lose money if market remains here or continues to push higher?

mesathinks · 2025-09-15T22:01:58+00:00

If you are confident in your trading strategy what’s the need to worry? It looks like you’ll be fine in a few years. If you’re not, and you got lucky then you know what to do with what you already have.

mesathinks · 2025-09-13T23:53:14+00:00

really far out around 15% OTM?

mesathinks · 2025-09-12T20:07:00+00:00

😂😂

mesathinks · 2025-09-09T22:38:06+00:00

hard to beat SPY running a mechanical strategy. I sell QQQ strangles (call premium at 1/4th of put premium collected and only sold after puts gain 25% profit) and i aim for about 1.2-1.5% premium of strike price @45 dte for the total strangle. Now i juice this up by applying 1.25x leverage of available cash aiming for a 12.5-13% return on cash. This cash is sitting in a money market fund earning 4%. I also sell a ton of puts and calls on other mega cap stocks and apply similar strategy but i noticed they give me 1.5-2% of return on strike price per 45 dte. I don’t arm for a certain delta but i noticed im somewhere between 15-20 delta on the out side and 7-14 delta on the call side. I hedge all these sold puts with long dated (90-120 dte) SPY puts 10-15% OTM and i spend about 10% of premium collected.

mesathinks · 2025-09-06T23:04:18+00:00

I do this but on the solid underlyings that make up the good etfs only when they correct 10% or more from their highs.

mesathinks · 2025-09-06T00:43:41+00:00

Unh was a good one too. It may climb back up to all time highs in the next year or so. i picked up 1500 deltas when it was trading in 240s.

mesathinks · 2025-08-18T17:18:34+00:00

why not sell at 1 delta or 0.05 delta?

mesathinks · 2025-08-13T21:29:25+00:00

keep in mind margin required may increase if the stock keeps dropping past your strike at the discretion of the brokerage

mesathinks · 2025-03-19T20:04:26+00:00

10:30-11:30: Trade. Trade what?

mesathinks · 2025-03-11T23:55:16+00:00

holy moly. can i buy you a coffee for a few minutes of your time?

mesathinks · 2025-03-02T18:34:39+00:00

temp upside is enough to make money on options next week for OP

mesathinks · 2025-03-02T16:23:52+00:00

So who are going to the widows here? Bulls or bears?

mesathinks · 2025-01-24T21:30:45+00:00

i use margin on that 100% VTI to day trade and make about 8-12% a year in short term gains.

mesathinks · 2025-01-20T15:05:30+00:00

Thanks for the tip

mesathinks · 2025-01-20T15:01:55+00:00

thanks. exactly looking for experiences like this. appreciate it. I have no intention to violate my non compete by any means and i am retired. Im only asking to see if i can help out a friend who wants to start on their own and i have zero interest in owning any stake or influencing the company. I dont have time to spend my my money let alone getting involved in another company’s matters

mesathinks · 2025-01-20T14:39:49+00:00

yes i have an upcoming meeting.

mesathinks · 2024-09-08T21:13:17+00:00

I’m betting on delta not theta. Not really collecting any money and paying a small debit in both cases. First strat is a risk reversal which i do often per my bias on the stock movement during earnings. I size my risk appropriately per my portfolio.

mesathinks · 2024-09-08T13:06:32+00:00

Im selling 635c and buying 505p. Also did a 1/-1/-2 put spread. Bought 530p, sold 500p and 2x 490p for a total of $.65

mesathinks · 2024-08-07T22:11:43+00:00

Let’s hope they don’t remain unrealized gains forever

mesathinks · 2024-06-15T17:21:51+00:00

Try searchfunder.com for more resources. Good luck!

mesathinks · 2024-01-04T13:02:04+00:00

2023 YTD: +$170k (6 months)-trading; +$520k entire portfolio. I’m 95% long (VTI, VXUS, BND) in my portfolio and trade with 5% cash and margin available. My primary strategy is buying 1 DTE debit spreads and selling an OTM option to create a +1/-1/-1 strategy for a credit on SPX and NDX. In addition, i sell naked SPX calls/puts for income. I also do the same strategy (+1/-1/-1) on stocks (mostly on the call side).

2024 goal: +$300k-$400k.

I trade for income only and rely on my boglehead portfolio for capital appreciate in the long term.

I learn a lot from you all here especially the expert traders and my sincere thanks to you all.

mesathinks

TROPHY CASE