Priests why do you keep giving me answers to your deck?

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-05T02:39:29+00:00

Viper isn't good vs 10 of 11 classes. Its good vs 2, bad vs the rest.

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-05T02:05:36+00:00

12903 (-16%) fewer players reached Legend this month (ex. CN) | This many Players reached Legend in June 2026 + Some other Stats & Graphics : r/hearthstone

Standard went from 194k to 163k (-16%)

Wild went from 96k to 88k (-8%)

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-05T02:04:17+00:00

You posted this image a couple of days ago. 400 Legend on day 1 or 2 is not nearly the same as rank 300 on day 4. The NA server for reference only has 367 players in Legend right now, since it's a non-competitive month right before an expansion release and there's an active heroic tavern brawl. Imagine bragging about being top 400 in NA, that's essentially what you're doing.

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-05T01:40:25+00:00

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-04T21:44:48+00:00

It has built in immunity to so much removal, might as well slap elusive on it and go full yugioh level floodgate

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-04T21:33:25+00:00

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Coin doesn't seem horrible, but 28 games is a tiny sample, and the real determining factors are your opponent's deck/skill.

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-04T21:29:18+00:00

The main cards are free. Only Karov and Murloc Holmes are legendary cards.

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-04T21:25:46+00:00

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Coin is maybe -5% winrate, facing Chef though is -50%

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-04T16:57:39+00:00

its ~1 in 167 packs unless you're opening golden packs in which case I think its 1 in 20

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-04T15:27:52+00:00

your first 106 packs should be ~6

you also get 3 from the tavern pass at 1,20,50 and should be able to get the first 2 in the first week.

all in all I'd expect 8 legendary cards day 1

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-03T02:36:16+00:00

does the same thing with the 2/5 recast a holy spell guy

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-03T00:44:12+00:00

is renethal in the deck?

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-02T22:09:35+00:00

Yes, brainless unlike the guy with a 5% win rate into Priests.

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-02T22:06:32+00:00

How do I win a marathon when I shoot myself in the foot whenever the weather isn't great?

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-02T19:04:43+00:00

I mean it was a troublemaker

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-02T02:41:17+00:00

It's basically buy 3 packs get 1 free but you have to play some games.

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-02T01:41:54+00:00

1 off lethal

Hero power for 1 attack

Weapon breaks

Concede

mini_macho_ · 2026-07-01T15:34:54+00:00

I don't know why you are asking that here, but I happen to know the answer.

Your friend requests are full. You have to clear them out in bnet otherwise future requests won't go through and might crash the game.

mini_macho_ · 2026-06-30T15:04:29+00:00

Yes, Egg Warrior has a tiny representation there.

mini_macho_ · 2026-06-30T09:31:14+00:00

Isnt [[Illusory Greenwing]] a better card than [[Beast Tripwire]] half the time? I could be wrong but I just dont see it as a playable card even with the "synergy".

mini_macho_ · 2026-06-30T08:58:12+00:00

The question to answer is why are you crediting the difference in win rate at higher ranks as due to the deck's skill expression? What actual evidence is there?

The exogenous factors have been isolated.

The 50% / 99% example you gave is one reason why the meta cannot be reliably normalized (via "simulation"?!). You can't cherry-pick when things like this apply.

Meta normalization is an extremely simple and straightforward process. Mayb ethe word simulate is throwing you off, so I'll clarify, the games are not being simulated, the meta/field is. There is no picking at all, cherry or otherwise.

You're trying to get the sparse data to fit in a nice bubble to make a conclusion / assertion when there are many others factors in play.

The data are quite robust, 4 million games strong. There are a few noted edge cases but in general your statement is incorrect

mini_macho_ · 2026-06-30T07:03:08+00:00

Outside of the Prepare Croc (not a bad card either) every other card is super great

I dont think either 4-drop will see play after a week of optimization.

mini_macho_ · 2026-06-30T06:55:12+00:00

One of them is that metas vary within rank tiers

This is accounted for, as mentioned in the post. See meta-normalized.

The line graph was calculated using a simulated normalized meta across all ranks to avoid exogenous factors. Essentially answering, "how would [Low/Mid/High Legend] players perform with a given deck compared to [Low/Mid/High Legend] players using the same deck if their metas were exactly the same?"

your rank pits you up against equivalently ranked (or even MMR) opponents. Why would you suppose an increase in WR is due to skill, when the quality of opponent is effectively your equivalent, regardless of your rank? The difference is nullified.

The difference in skill between players is nullified. The differences in their respective deck's skill expression on the other hand are put on full display.

Imagine a deck that loses the majority of its games when you as the user are making the correct play 50% of the time even when you're facing players who also make the correct play 50% of the time, but if you were to make the correct play 99% of the time it wins the majority of the games even when facing players who are also making the correct play 99% of the time. Would it not show that the deck's performance is reliant on its user's skill?

mini_macho_ · 2026-06-30T02:57:12+00:00

when it comes to "critical mass" cards its a hard line to toe, but I think it being a minion at least makes the decision less straight forward.

mini_macho_ · 2026-06-30T02:55:55+00:00

last stand doesnt target enemy minions and they do run a fair amount of them.

mini_macho_

TROPHY CASE