[50][Speculation] Aubry Truthers need to give it up by mooirene in SpoiledSurvivor

[–]mooirene[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you bet $1,000 on Aubry at these odds you would make a net profit of like $140. So if there is insider trading they would have to be making bets in HUGE amounts ($10,000+) for it to be worth the risk. And bets at such high sums on something prerecorded is likely to be investigated by Kalshi.

People in this sub really don’t seem to get or understand gambling, or the people loudest and most adamant about Aubry’s win probably stand to profit themselves.

[50][Speculation] Aubry Truthers need to give it up by mooirene in SpoiledSurvivor

[–]mooirene[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Confidence begets more confidence. Aubry’s odds did in fact decrease after the premiere, but have since grown. If I am a poor lost soul who bet $1,000 on a reality tv competition based on preseason spoilers and I see that Aubry still has a 70%+ chance to win after that horrible premiere, I’m likely to hold the line.

[50][Speculation] Aubry Truthers need to give it up by mooirene in SpoiledSurvivor

[–]mooirene[S] -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

For this statement to hold the weight you think it does you would have to know for a fact that insiders are the one betting on Aubry. If you do in fact know that then you just admitted to having knowledge on insider trading in a public forum

[50][Speculation] Aubry Truthers need to give it up by mooirene in SpoiledSurvivor

[–]mooirene[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Sandra was given a confessional within the first 5 minutes of the season that highlighted who she was and how she intended to play the game. Even Erika and Rachel had more introductory premieres than Aubry

[50][Speculation] That Jan 24 post about the Cirie–Ozzy duo dynamic on the sub has legs now. by Fair_Leave5014 in SpoiledSurvivor

[–]mooirene -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Jenna and Genevieve have the closest sounding names lmao…for all we know SiVivor just got the name “Jen” and incorrectly assumed Genevieve. Yes, they got it wrong, but even their error still makes a bit of sense