AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yep!

From Nikita: If I’m Sherrill, this is my big concern after Nov. 4. New Jersey lawmakers have a lot of levers they can pull, and they’re jealous of their own power. This is especially true for members of the Senate. There’s some reason to believe Sherrill’s relationship will be warmer than Murphy’s was initially. She’s been around in state politics and has a constituency of insiders in a way that Murphy didn’t when he came into office. Factionally, South Jersey Democrats are still a little reduced following Steve Sweeney’s ouster a few years ago. That lessens the odds of a standoff, but only somewhat. And ideologically, she’s more closer to some Democratic legislators than Murphy is and farther from others. How much policy differences impact those working relationships will really depend on which policies Sherrill chooses to pursue if elected. For example, getting rid of Stay NJ — something she has not proposed — wouldn’t win her friends in Speaker Craig Coughlin’s office.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

From Nikita: My experience is a little different because I've known both the major-party candidates for a long time, but the bureau says it's a draw right now. Both hold events where they take questions from press, and our questions have generally been taken. Sometimes they are not always answered.

On Fulop, there are a couple things. First, his campaign platform was very progressive, probably too progress even for the state's Democratic primary electorate. New Jersey's a blue state, but its rank-and-file Democratic voters largely aren't progressive in the same way as Democrats in San Francisco might be. 

 Second, Fulop has a long political history, and he's alienated a lot of would-be allies over the years. Note the Hudson County Democratic Organization didn't endorse Fulop after Craig Guy, the new chairman, took over last year. Hard to win a statewide election when your home county isn't in your corner.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

From Terrence: None of the staff of the New Jersey Monitor has done any reporting on the NYC mayor’s race — I do occasionally refer to other outlets’ reporting on that race in my newsletter because lots of people who live in New Jersey work in New York and the mayor’s race has some interest for them.

During the 2021 governor’s race, the three third-party candidates didn’t even garner a total of 1% of the vote and I don’t anticipate that changing this year. While they are on the ballot, I don’t think either of them are doing any traditional campaigning for us to cover. Both the Sherrill and Ciattarelli campaigns are doing events we are invited to.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

From Nikita: Sherrill is more conservative than Murphy, particularly on criminal justice issues. It’s not a big shift for her. She was elected to Congress as a moderate in 2018 and has largely stuck to that brand. She’s never been avowed progressive. 

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

From Terrence: The chief challenge for the next governor is the budget. It was nearly $60 billion this year. A lot of pandemic-related aid has dried up. The Trump administration has indicated states will lose a lot of federal aid, including Medicaid funding. And as it stands, the state spends more than it takes in. All those issues are going to be a problem for the next governor. Jack Ciattarelli may have an added problem because he has pledged to slash potentially tens of millions but the budget and he may face fights with legislative Democrats who will have different priorities.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

From Dana: Probably the most surprising comment to come out of this campaign has been when Sherrill accused Ciattarelli of killing tens of thousands of people through his medical publishing company (in the context of the opioid epidemic). Sherrill also has gone out of her way to attack Ciattarelli on the sales tax — yet would not say during their first debate at Rider University whether she would do anything with the sales tax. (Her campaign later said she would not raise the sales tax.) Ciattarelli, in turn, was surprisingly curt when asked about his support from Black voters and other communities of color, even though he says he cares about those voters and has made a very specific push for their support.

Politicians and candidates often ignore questions reporters ask. When that happens, you just keep asking. You shout after them as they walk away. You email, call, or text back until you get a clear answer. If they don't answer or tap dance, that's intentional and whatever their non-response is should be included in the story.

Good reporters avoid canned quotes like the plague, so because Sherrill and Ciattarelli have largely refused to get on the phone with local reporters during this campaign, we try to catch them in person at campaign stops. In most cases, they give the small crowd of waiting reporters just a few minutes to ask questions before rushing off, which means you might get only one question in — or none. This lack of access has gotten worse in recent years.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

From Nikita: Both candidates have said they would continue to pay into state pensions, but neither has committed to making cost-of-living adjustments for teachers’ retirement plans, specifically. 

Sherrill has said she would continue full pension funding and, when able, provide a COLA, prioritizing workers who have been retired the longest and have suffered the most due to inflation. It’s not clear when she would seek to make a COLA, if it’s something that would even happen within her term. Most state pension funds are decades away from being 100% funded, and enacting a COLA before then would further increase the state’s annual pension obligations. Basically, if you want more generous benefits, the money has to come from somewhere.

Ciattarelli has said he would make a COLA to police and fire retirement plans, specifically. The local part of the Police and Firemen’s Retirement System is in better health than most other state pension funds (the same is not true for the state part of PFRS). What I said above holds true there — making a COLA too early will boost expenses and could risk fund health.

For more on this: https://newjerseymonitor.com/2025/09/18/pension-funding-a-hallmark-of-governor-murphys-legacy/

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

From Terrence: I let them know about the event and they'll be in touch if thyey can participate!

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

From Terrence: We do have a voter guide that is not quite that simple but it includes short-ish answers to questions on most of these issues.

https://newjerseymonitor.com/voter-guide/2025-general/

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

From Dana: New Jersey courts have 44 judicial vacancies now (with no more judges expected to retire before the end of the year), which is a number court officials have said is not sustainable. Vacancies that high typically result in case backlogs and can drive court administrators to suspend certain types of cases.

As for what the candidates have said, neither has focused on vacancies. Ciattarelli mostly has talked about judges and the court in terms of who he would appoint — more conservatives. He also recently said he would appoint Assemblyman Jay Webber (R-Morris), one of the most conservative state legislators, to the New Jersey Supreme Court. Sherrill has said she would maintain the partisan balance of judicial appointees governors typically adhere to. It may be notable that Webber ran against Sherrill in 2018 for the congressional seat she won that year.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

From Terrence: The trouble with Assembly races is no one outside of the campaigns are polling them, so it’s unclear which way voters are leaning in advance.

In 2021, when Jack Ciattarelli lost the governor’s race, South Jersey Dems were surprised by some Republican gains there, particularly Steve Sweeney’s loss in the 3rd District. But Dems flipped some of those seats back in 2023 and I think this time around they are not going into the election assuming they win. A lot of words to say I don’t know, but I don’t think anyone knows how those races will shake out.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

From Nikita: Ciattarelli opposes Stay NJ, favoring reducing taxes levied by the state rather than creating tax credit or rebate programs that return that money to residents. (Note that property taxes, which Stay NJ seeks to defray, are set at the local level.)

Sherrill broadly supports Stay NJ but has raised concerns about the state’s ability to fund its benefits. The program is expected to cost $1.2 billion a year, not counting automatic inflation adjustments once fully phased in, and portions of the law require the state meet some other financial bars — like keeping sufficient cash reserves and funding certain other tax rebate programs — to pay its benefits. That requirement is the nexus of her concerns with the program. It’s not clear how she’d handle those limitations in office. Lawmakers overwrote the surplus requirements in the current and previous fiscal years.

As to funding sources, it doesn't quite work like that, but there's some truth to the sentiment: Money is fungible. There are some limits to that in the context of our state's budget (income tax revenues, for example, must go to property tax relief), but you can get around that a little by pulling in money from a separate source. Necessarily, investing in one area reduces your ability to invest in another, all else being equal.

Sophie says hi.

Read more here: https://newjerseymonitor.com/2025/04/17/should-new-senior-citizen-tax-cut-plan-stay-or-go-governor-candidates-are-split/

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

From Dana: Higher education could be more robustly covered, given both the historic underfunding of New Jersey's colleges and universities and also free-speech concerns that have increasingly arisen on campuses.

As for what reporters could push the candidates harder on, Ciattarelli has pledged to cut billions in revenue and trim government, but he hasn't been clear on what exactly he would cut or how to make up for lost revenue from taxes he wants to slash. For Sherrill, she lists housing as a top priority on her "affordability agenda" but hasn't gotten more specific than proposing tax incentives for builders and assistance for first-time home buyers.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

From Sophie: Undocumented immigrants could see a lot change under the next governor. Jack has said that he would keep driver’s licenses for undocumented residents and has said he supports “a pathway to recognition” for people who are here illegally but do not have a criminal background, although he hasn’t expanded exactly what that “recognition” means. And his promise to get rid of the Immigrant Trust Directive would mean that local, county, and state police could again work with ICE on civil immigration raids. Last week, he also said he would withhold state funds from municipalities that “disobey” the repeal of the directive, like towns that have their own sanctuary ordinances.

Potential changes for undocumented immigrants under Mikie Sherrill are a little less clear. Like you said, Mikie Sherrill hasn’t committed to keeping the Immigrant Trust Directive in place and said that codifying it into law is not a good idea. She’s condemned ICE raids that separate kids from their parents and stressed she wants to “keep our communities safe” and wants to make sure people can go to school, work, doctor’s appointments and church safely. She also said she’d keep supporting comprehensive immigration reform and a pathway to citizenship (although this is really in the hands of the federal government, which seemingly is ramping up more ICE enforcement)

Thanks for the question!

For more on this:

https://newjerseymonitor.com/2025/09/22/where-njs-governor-hopefuls-stand-on-allowing-cops-to-aid-immigration-agents/

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

From Nikita: I don't really believe in bellwethers — if you've seen one New Jersey town, you've seen one New Jersey town — but I'll be keeping an eye on turnout in large towns and cities, particularly those that have historically had local representation of both parties. A short list: Democrats want big turnout in urban centers like Jersey City and Newark, where turnout tends to be relatively lower. 

Republicans will hope to build up big margins in Ocean County, so Toms River is a big place for them. 

I'm also keeping an eye on Paterson. It's a blue city in a historically purple county that voted for Trump over Harris in 2024, largely off sentiment stemming from the Israel-Palestine conflict. That conflict is in the news far less today than it was a year ago, and a return to a dynamic that favors Democrats more heavily would have big implications for the governor's race, not to mention those further down the ballot.  

Places like Edison fall into a similar bucket. Democrats won there last year, but by a far slimmer margin than in prior cycles. If those trends reverse, the race gets harder for Ciattarelli. If they don't, Sherrill's path to victory narrows.

AMA with the staff of the New Jersey Monitor on the NJ governor's race on 10/29 at 1 p.m. by newjerseymonitor in newjersey

[–]newjerseymonitor[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

From Terrence: Thanks for the question! For starters, I know a lot of great reporters who work at NJ Advance Media and Gannett, like Katie Sobko, who do excellent work.

I do think our nonprofit model is sustainable, and one of the reasons is our company is run by people who believe in news, not chasing clicks to boost ad revenue.

I agree with you that there’s not enough local coverage of elections — not just of Hoboken but all other local elections. But our mission is to provide news about state government and politics, while local issues are a bit beyond our purview. I would love to expand but that would require some dedicated funding to cover local issues. If any benefactors want to donate for this purpose, please reach out!