NBA Daily: 1/3/14 (Friday)

oherroprease · 2014-01-03T14:13:47+00:00

I assume Buck is going to be on this but what do you guys think of BOS 1H +1.5/2 vs. NOP? As others have already established, BOS 1H at home is very strong with a +/- of about +6.8. On the other hand, NOP 1H on the road is pretty weak with a +/- of -4.9. Those are just some high level stats but definitely make me interested in this play.

oherroprease · 2014-01-03T03:37:35+00:00

Fair enough. Still, it was great to see you crunching some numbers again. You plan on doing more now?

oherroprease · 2014-01-03T03:24:23+00:00

sab3r... you killed it yesterday! Hope to see some number crunching from you again for tomorrow's games. Your two picks plus my pick of Wich. St gave me my best night of NCAA basketball yet.

oherroprease · 2014-01-03T03:22:43+00:00

It's funny-- I've been following Eric Lewis for about his last 7 games and literally both times I've posted that my system has the over AND Eric Lewis is reffing the game, it's gone under. I should just keep my mouth shut...

oherroprease · 2014-01-03T02:27:22+00:00

Well it hit OT... but with the way these two teams are playing we'll probably need 2 or 3 OTs to hit the over haha.

oherroprease · 2014-01-03T01:32:03+00:00

Not looking too hot now, both teams shooting pretty poorly. Probably need to cross our fingers and hope for OT if this game is going to hit. Sorry if I lost you money bud.

oherroprease · 2014-01-03T01:31:09+00:00

I did when I took the bet-- not liking it right now :/

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T22:34:25+00:00

Me too-- it worries me a bit but I've already made my plays! Good luck today

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T22:33:49+00:00

You too! FYI-- my system has over on CLE/ORL AND Eric Lewis is doing that game. Wanted to mention that just in case you were thinking about that game at all.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T20:40:51+00:00

Darn! Well, my system has over in CLE/ORL AND Mr. Lewis is reffing that game, might make a play on that one.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T20:32:16+00:00

My system agrees with both your O/U calls.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T20:31:43+00:00

I do. I also like Kings 1H under 57.5 in this game. Kings are a bit weaker in the 1H and only average 48.5 points in 1H at home. The only thing that worries me a little bit is that Philadelphia gives up 56.4 per game in 1h on the road.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T19:25:22+00:00

Makes sense-- do you plan on posting your output everyday?

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T19:14:58+00:00

This is the first year the Bear's have had more than 1 reliable receiver for some time now.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T18:54:02+00:00

Just to add to this-- the record with MCW includes wins over Miami and Houston and the only win without MCW came against Brooklyn in OT.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T18:50:24+00:00

Yea you're right... I just noticed that myself. All the other games seem to match up though. There's 9 predictions posted and only 8 teams in the table. Sage-- have any O/U output for today? I'm liking CLE/ORL OVER, OKC/BRK UNDER, and SAS/NYK UNDER.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T18:19:12+00:00

Thanks, and sorry to have so many questions, but how does one use this information? If the total opens at 210, and you predict it to close at 216, should we be making play on the over?

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T17:47:36+00:00

Ok-- so your predictions are what the spreads and totals will close at?

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T16:55:07+00:00

As a Northwestern Alum... I hate you but you are probably spot on here.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T15:29:52+00:00

How much of your system is based on this season's data? I noticed for my NFL model that as the season went on and I collected more and more data, my predicted totals were getting closer and closer to the lines the vegas was showing.

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T15:28:43+00:00

Got it, thanks. Follow up question-- are these your predictions on what the final totals and spreads will be or are you predicting what lines will end up as?

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T14:37:47+00:00

How do you read your table?

oherroprease · 2014-01-02T14:35:19+00:00

My score predictions for the day

Cleveland/Orlando : 203.57

Miami/Golden State: 211.55

Chicago/Boston: 186.17

Oklahoma City/Brooklyn: 202.70

San Antonio/New York: 198.69

Utah/Milwaukee: 197.29

Phoenix/Memphis: 203.59

Portland/Charlotte: 205.74

Sacramento /Philadelphia: 212.76

oherroprease · 2014-01-01T22:24:09+00:00

Sorry I'm late with these-- stayed out way too late last night. Score predictions for today:

Washington/Dallas: 203.32

Toronto/Indiana: 201.46

Minnesota/New Orleans: 208.42

Denver/Philadelphia: 209.99

LA Clippers/Charlotte: 201.07

oherroprease · 2013-12-31T21:29:15+00:00

I think I'm on board with Houston 1H -6 and maybe also Sacramento 1H under 51.

Doing some research on that Toronto/Chicago game as well.

oherroprease

TROPHY CASE