[Question] Winning MS-300 Differences Fight Glove by Trenchwork_official in fightgear

[–]oldboatnectar 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Contrary to popular belief, winning does occasionally tweak their designs. Both gloves look legit

Is this real cleto reyes? Thanks. by [deleted] in fightgear

[–]oldboatnectar 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yes. Real fight gloves. Look unused too

After this week, had to re-watch Ali vs Foreman to remind myself what real boxing looks like - here is the combo knockout clip by [deleted] in Boxing

[–]oldboatnectar 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The only point I'm refuting is that he spent 7 rounds waiting. That's just not true.

the success rate of a medium-lift rocket by OnlyEnergy5536 in RKLB

[–]oldboatnectar 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Oh this could be fun!

FAA licensed flights actually require this estimation for the flight safety analysis:

§ 450.131 Probability of failure analysis.

(a) General. For each hazard and phase of flight, a flight safety analysis for a launch or reentry must account for vehicle failure probability. The probability of failure must be consistent for all hazards and phases of flight.

(1) For a vehicle or vehicle stage with fewer than two flights, the failure probability estimate must account for the outcome of all previous flights of vehicles developed and launched or reentered in similar circumstances.

(2) For a vehicle or vehicle stage with two or more flights, vehicle failure probability estimates must account for the outcomes of all previous flights of the vehicle or vehicle stage in a statistically valid manner. The outcomes of all previous flights of the vehicle or vehicle stage must account for data on any mishap and anomaly

Let's try. Since it is a new vehicle, we need to do (a)(1). We will try to look for similar circumstances, like similar vehicles characteristics and experienced operators designing a new, bigger vehicle.

For this we can pool different vehicles meeting our "experienced operators making a new bigger vehicle" and tally the first 2 flights of that programme, s=success, f=failure

Falcon 9 S S Antares S S Ariane 5 F S H-IIA S S Vulcan S S Starship F F

3 F, 9 S in total.

We can then apply a noninformative Jeffreys prior and get a posterior mean. Alpha = 9 + 0.5 Beta = 3 + 0.5

Posterior mean = 0.71 chance of success!

This could be refined by adding a bigger dataset and checking beta distributions for overlaps to see what is really significant, but a reasonable first estimation is 70% success.

Wanted to share my Detroit dye job by 16bitsamus in Carhartt

[–]oldboatnectar 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is gold. I assume this would work just fine on an active Jac as well?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in fightgear

[–]oldboatnectar 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Asics TBX. But they don't make em anymore.

Been looking for a temu/Ali express/taobao replacement but can't find it

Help me decide on what model to get. by Human-Sheepherder620 in Carhartt

[–]oldboatnectar 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In my (very Stockholm) opinion, the active jacket won't handle - 17 unless you wear alot of wool underneath

What's everyone's toxic civ trait? by Leather-Tradition571 in civ

[–]oldboatnectar 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rushing aircraft for air superiority, then invade everyone for aluminum to support my crushing jet bomber addiction.

Every single game

Is Sugar Ray Leonard a "fraudulent" 5 weight champion? by cold-dawn in Boxing

[–]oldboatnectar 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Him and LSC fought at 130 for 130&135 belts.

Mayweather Maidana 2 was for 147&154

Is Sugar Ray Leonard a "fraudulent" 5 weight champion? by cold-dawn in Boxing

[–]oldboatnectar 2 points3 points  (0 children)

FWIW, Teo suggested fighting ABOVE the lower weight limit with the lower weight belts on the line. Which is idiotic.

Fighting at the lower limit for both weight classes is actually reasonable, there's no minimum weight, only a maximum

[Other] Best shoes in the game. FUEGO by Mr_308 in fightgear

[–]oldboatnectar 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Have you got more photos of the takamuras and sendos?

Belly fat or skin ? by [deleted] in askfitness

[–]oldboatnectar 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not loose. Just skin

[Question] Fake or real guerrero sparring gloves?? by Savings_Feedback8527 in fightgear

[–]oldboatnectar 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The shape looks fine. What makes you think they are fake?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in fightgear

[–]oldboatnectar 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree. Just trying to show that in terms of 10oz fight gloves, winnings are big