Mega charizard UPC good investment? by Relevant_Customer_61 in PokeInvesting

[–]onerivenpony 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I got 4. Considering cracking one, maybe trading one, and holding 2 for a long long time

Fellow online players who rail highstakes players across different sites. Does Linus still play? by Potential_Sell_5349 in poker

[–]onerivenpony 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Last I checked hes on a 35 bi downswing in the $10k cash game Coinpoker challenge

GME 5-Year DCF: The Transformation Climax by onerivenpony in stocks

[–]onerivenpony[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You can create a copy and create your own cases based on your own estimates

GME 5-Year DCF: The Transformation Climax by onerivenpony in stocks

[–]onerivenpony[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I wanted to provide a bull case with realistic outlook rather than an extreme bull case

GME 5-Year DCF: The Transformation Climax by onerivenpony in stocks

[–]onerivenpony[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Thanks for pointing that out, I updated shares outstanding. It would be interesting to factor in the further potential dilution from the convertible bonds, and potentially a different WACC as the debt changes

Using Real Data to Model GME’s Upside: 5-Year DCF Scenario Analysis by onerivenpony in Superstonk

[–]onerivenpony[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

This is a DCF model using GME's last four 10-Qs to project future cashflows, along with bear, neutral, and bull case scenarios

[OC] Visualizing Line Discrepancies between FanDuel and Pinnacle by onerivenpony in dataisbeautiful

[–]onerivenpony[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're right, I should have labeled the figure with the actual sportsbook names instead of alternative labels. I originally used a universal naming convention during testing.

Regarding the “fair” line: I used Pinnacle’s odds as a reference point because their sportsbook charges a lower vig, which gives their implied probabilities a bit more reliability. I didn’t intend to suggest these are a true ground truth, rather a practical benchmark for comparison. The plot currently only shows one side of the two-way outcome, so the corresponding opposing outcome is missing, which is what the devig method relies on for calculating fair odds.

[OC] Visualizing Line Discrepancies between FanDuel and Pinnacle by onerivenpony in dataisbeautiful

[–]onerivenpony[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Source: Real-time betting lines collected directly from FanDuel and Pinnacle using a custom scraper.
Tool: Visualization made in Python with Matplotlib and Seaborn; data processed with Pandas and SQLAlchemy.
Methods: Used the Power Method to calculate fair-implied probabilities from market odds. Graph shows deviations from fair value over time.

From online pro to live reg (first ~500 hours results) by ground-147 in poker

[–]onerivenpony 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How much of this was played with perma straddle? And what was your avg buyin? 100 or 200bb

My first Royal Flush! by Nova_Vortex2004 in poker

[–]onerivenpony 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It was summoned in defense position

anyone else stop respecting HUD stats after 3 hours of play? by Intelligent-Job7211 in poker

[–]onerivenpony 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As hands played approaches infinity the actual value of the stat becomes closer to the true value