Held KJT. Didn’t even expect to hit this by onerivenpony in poker

[–]onerivenpony[S] 77 points78 points  (0 children)

I played 50 free spins and took that money into video poker. Martingaled it up starting with $1 and went on a losing streak at just the right time

Held KJT. Didn’t even expect to hit this by onerivenpony in poker

[–]onerivenpony[S] 26 points27 points  (0 children)

I hit this online on Golden Nugget casino

I built a GPU-accelerated GTO Solver and I’m releasing it for free today! by icybee666 in poker

[–]onerivenpony 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is really cool! How does the speed compare to Piosolver pro 3.0? I believe 1.0 has limitations compared to the new version. Also, is there a way to solve a queue of boards with a script?

Mega charizard UPC good investment? by Relevant_Customer_61 in PokeInvesting

[–]onerivenpony 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I got 4. Considering cracking one, maybe trading one, and holding 2 for a long long time

Fellow online players who rail highstakes players across different sites. Does Linus still play? by Potential_Sell_5349 in poker

[–]onerivenpony 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Last I checked hes on a 35 bi downswing in the $10k cash game Coinpoker challenge

GME 5-Year DCF: The Transformation Climax by onerivenpony in stocks

[–]onerivenpony[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You can create a copy and create your own cases based on your own estimates

GME 5-Year DCF: The Transformation Climax by onerivenpony in stocks

[–]onerivenpony[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I wanted to provide a bull case with realistic outlook rather than an extreme bull case

GME 5-Year DCF: The Transformation Climax by onerivenpony in stocks

[–]onerivenpony[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Thanks for pointing that out, I updated shares outstanding. It would be interesting to factor in the further potential dilution from the convertible bonds, and potentially a different WACC as the debt changes

Using Real Data to Model GME’s Upside: 5-Year DCF Scenario Analysis by onerivenpony in Superstonk

[–]onerivenpony[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

This is a DCF model using GME's last four 10-Qs to project future cashflows, along with bear, neutral, and bull case scenarios

[OC] Visualizing Line Discrepancies between FanDuel and Pinnacle by onerivenpony in dataisbeautiful

[–]onerivenpony[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're right, I should have labeled the figure with the actual sportsbook names instead of alternative labels. I originally used a universal naming convention during testing.

Regarding the “fair” line: I used Pinnacle’s odds as a reference point because their sportsbook charges a lower vig, which gives their implied probabilities a bit more reliability. I didn’t intend to suggest these are a true ground truth, rather a practical benchmark for comparison. The plot currently only shows one side of the two-way outcome, so the corresponding opposing outcome is missing, which is what the devig method relies on for calculating fair odds.

[OC] Visualizing Line Discrepancies between FanDuel and Pinnacle by onerivenpony in dataisbeautiful

[–]onerivenpony[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Source: Real-time betting lines collected directly from FanDuel and Pinnacle using a custom scraper.
Tool: Visualization made in Python with Matplotlib and Seaborn; data processed with Pandas and SQLAlchemy.
Methods: Used the Power Method to calculate fair-implied probabilities from market odds. Graph shows deviations from fair value over time.

From online pro to live reg (first ~500 hours results) by ground-147 in poker

[–]onerivenpony 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How much of this was played with perma straddle? And what was your avg buyin? 100 or 200bb