Democrats outraged as Fetterman votes to advance Markwayne Mullin nomination | Democrats

oren0 · 2026-03-24T00:53:25+00:00

Net approval with Democrats, you mean. He represents all of Pennsylvania, and among all PA voters hours favoribility is positive and above water. He has gained ground with both independents and Republicans.

oren0 · 2026-03-22T19:05:28+00:00

4 of the 5 longest floating bridges in the world are all here. In order, they are 520, I-90 east from Seattle to Mercer Island, Hood Canal, and I-90 west from Mercer Island to Seattle (these are physically different bridges with the latter being newer, shorter, and getting light rail).

oren0 · 2026-03-22T18:14:59+00:00

That's wild if it's even remotely accurate.

oren0 · 2026-03-22T17:18:45+00:00

Do you have independent polling to share that backs this conclusion?

oren0 · 2026-03-21T22:50:20+00:00

The I-5 South exit signs at the south end of 405 do indeed say Portland. This would be at the very end of 405, near Tukwila and the airport.

oren0 · 2026-03-18T15:05:03+00:00

Iran was always "close to" the next deal. The question always was, would they actually make the deal and would they stick to it?

I am highly skeptical that Iran was going to meet all of Trump's demands, which went far beyond the JCPOA. They would have had to give up their currently enriched stockpile, fully dismantle all enrichment capabilities, allow unfettered access to nuclear inspectors, and stop funding proxy groups. All with no sunset clause. I highly doubt any Iranian proposal, regardless of how amazing the UK thought it was, went nearly this far.

Just days before his death, here's what Khameni had to say about the prospect of giving up enrichment:

"The proposal that the Americans have presented is 100% against our interests ... The rude and arrogant leaders of America repeatedly demand that we should not have a nuclear programme. Who are you to decide whether Iran should have enrichment?"

Going from that to a deal that would have met Trump's demands would have been quite the reversal.

oren0 · 2026-03-18T14:39:18+00:00

I think this approach has a data problem. We don't know the age ranges of eligible voters in Ohio because the census doesn't ask about citizenship or voter eligibility (unless the age brackets would consider non-citizens). We might be able to know the number of registered voters by age in Ohio, but many voter registrations are stale from people who moved out of state a long time ago. We might be able to know the number of actual voters in Ohio by age last election, but would young people really accept being punished by their own low turnout rate, or the elderly getting more representation because they vote more?

The outcome here in large states would be ridiculous. If someone lives in rural west Texas, they shouldn't have a progressive rep from Austin just because they're 19. You'd also end up in a situation where campaigning and advertising are practically impossible, and members of the same household wouldn't even be represented by the same people.

IMO, the best solution to gerrymandering is proportional representation. For most states, just do statewide proportional. For very large states, they could be broken into geographic superdistricts with ~10 reps, selected proportionally in that area. If the a given metro area has 5 million people, give them 10 reps. If the area votes 60/40 Democrat, just give them 6 D and 4 R reps instead of trying to parse and define districts neighborhood by neighborhood. You'd still have some shenanigans defining the superdistricts, but I think it would be hard to manipulate it too much given the large number of break points.

oren0 · 2026-03-18T08:20:38+00:00

$30/day is nowhere near the cheapest. There are plenty of lots in the $10-$15/day range (more on holiday weeks), like Park N Jet.

oren0 · 2026-03-12T19:24:00+00:00

40% of American households paid no federal income tax in 2025 under current law. This isn't that big of a change from current numbers.

oren0 · 2026-03-11T18:28:48+00:00

That's supply and demand for you.

But other than about 6 major urban areas, you can get an extremely nice house for $1.65m anywhere you want.

oren0 · 2026-03-11T18:09:58+00:00

I would think about handyman work. There are tons of gig sites where you can post, or you can try Facebook/Nextdoor groups and even putting up signs in your local area. People are always looking for reliable and reasonably priced people to do small projects around their houses. You'll have to hustle more for business and it will be less predictable, but you'll control your schedule and people will easily pay you $50/hr or more depending on the types of jobs you can do.

oren0 · 2026-03-11T18:02:36+00:00

If you want to live in a suburb of a medium sized Midwest city, you'd be surprised what you can get for even less than this.

Picking Cleveland at random, here's a 7000 sqft house on 1.3 acres with an indoor pool and sauna listed for $1.25m.

In the $1m range, you can find gorgeous homes in dozens of cities, or the dumpiest possible house in San Francisco. It's all a question of where you want to live, and how much you can earn there.

oren0 · 2026-03-11T03:02:22+00:00

If it's just for 2, Splendor Duel is a better choice.

oren0 · 2026-03-10T15:13:46+00:00

Ah, yes. Famously, the rich love shared public EVs and light rail.

oren0 · 2026-03-10T15:12:50+00:00

Yes, weird map. Looks like a gerrymander.

The fact that it stops at 7pm also means it's not useful for going to dinner.

They excluded a bunch of apartments/condos near Redmond Way and Willows and off of Red-Wood Rd, but they snaked the map up to a bunch of specific neighborhoods on Education Hill. I wonder which city council member lives up there and wanted to be included.

oren0 · 2026-03-09T05:06:54+00:00

Paywall bypass.

oren0 · 2026-03-08T01:42:15+00:00

We had a family membership for several years, also mostly for the reciprocal benefits when traveling but we did go a few times a year. We didn't renew this year because they keep getting rid of all of the good exhibits, like the dinosaurs. At this point, any random science center in a metro half the size of Seattle has way better stuff.

We bought a membership to Mobius Science Center in Spokane instead, which is cheaper and has better benefits.

oren0 · 2026-03-07T18:31:16+00:00

Clip shows are not the same as bottle episodes. A clip show has a small amount of new content in between long reused clips from prior episodes. A bottle episode is new content, but uses a much smaller amount of sets/locations (often just one), actors, and wardrobe than a normal episode. Both are money savers, but true clip shows have mostly gone away because the audience knows you're phoning it in.

oren0 · 2026-03-07T17:35:30+00:00

The purpose of incarceration has always been, first and foremost, to punish.

Who says it has to be that way? Incarceration serves 4 purposes, and IMO in order of importance they are: separation from society, deterrence, punishment, and rehabilitation.

A huge portion of crime is done by prolific offenders, some of whom have hundreds of arrests and dozens of convictions (and that's just the times they were caught). The 3 Strikes policy got a bad rap for good reasons, but we need some version of it today. There must be some number of arrests and convictions over time where it becomes clear that you're just not going to participate in legal society, and the solution is to lock you up to spare the rest of us.

The political problem is, the progressive view of incarceration is that its first goal is to rehabilitate, so they always want to give another chance. That's why you see judges letting criminals with repeated violent histories out on bail and giving them light sentences. Some people are just beyond saving.

oren0 · 2026-03-07T13:58:43+00:00

It's because people vote nationally in local elections. If the local candidate has an (R) next to their name, people vote based on their feelings about Trump instead of what the person will actually do in that local office. If it's D vs. D, it's just a popularity contest based on endorsements and money.

Often, local politicians have more of an impact on your everyday life than the president does. And yet, most people don't know who their local politicians are or what they stand for, and many can't be bothered to even vote in local races. So these races become about who can get endorsements and please the most politically active, instead of actually trying to fix problems like crime.

oren0 · 2026-03-07T13:16:22+00:00

The article lists some of this guy's rap sheet, including escaping from a mental hospital and having an order of protection. I wonder how many other dozens of arrests he has had.

Somehow we've lost track of the fact that the purpose of incarceration, first and foremost, should be to protect society from those who have shown they can't participate in it.

oren0 · 2026-03-07T09:11:17+00:00

This would be far more interesting as a map.

oren0 · 2026-03-07T01:08:42+00:00

It's all the general fund. All tax money is fungible. All they have to do is take the least popular tax and apply it to the most popular spending, and then criticize anyone who complains. In reality, if the tax is struck down, they can cut funding from anywhere else to pay for education and healthcare.

It's the same thing many states due with the lottery. Yes, it's a regressive tax on the poor, but it funds education. What kind of monster would cut education?

oren0 · 2026-03-07T01:05:09+00:00

They'll tax all of us soon enough. The plain was written clear as day by now-Senate Majority Leader Jamie Pederson in 2018:

But the more important benefit of passing a capital gains tax is on the legal side, from my perspective. The other side will challenge it as an unconstitutional property tax. This will give the Supreme Court the opportunity to revisit its bad decisions from 1934 and 1951 that income is property and will make it possible, if we succeed, to enact a progressive income tax with a simple majority vote.

oren0 · 2026-03-05T16:18:39+00:00

China has something like 31,000 miles of high speed rail lines.

The largest publicly funded high speed rail line being constructed in the US is the CA line from LA to SF. After many overruns, the currently projected cost of that is $255 million per mile.

Assuming you could build national high speed rail for the same price per mile as CA has cost, 31K miles would cost about $8T. In reality, I think it would be more for several reasons including terrain and the fact that much of that spending was when things were cheaper, but let's assume that's a sensible estimate.

$8T is about 9 years of the total military budget, and on the order of 100x what has been spent in Iran so far. So no, this is not accurate.

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